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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-09 20:58:1721:04:18 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260309-205808.210057.md

Report Overview

  • Generated: 2026-03-09 08:5809:00 PM MYT
  • Symbols Covered: 3
  • Format: Combined markdown briefing

At a Glance

Symbol Spot Regime Path Weekly 68% Support / Resistance Breakout ↑ / ↓
RKLB 70.11 TRANSITION Sideways / Range 60.76 – 79.46 67.00 / 73.00 34.8% / 34.0%
ASTS 89.47 TRANSITION UP trend (expanding) 71.80 – 107.15 89.00 / 90.00 48.8% / 48.9%
AAOI 95.58 TRANSITION UP trend (expanding) 76.84 – 114.32 95.00 / 96.00 41.6% / 64.5%

Analyst Notes

Read the At a Glance table first, then jump into each symbol section for the full setup, risk map, and trade plan.

1. RKLB

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 60.8–79.5.

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 70.11
Report Time 2026-03-09 08:5709:00 PM MYT
Execution Regime TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma SHORT
Trend Path Sideways / Range

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 60.76 – 79.46 1σ move 9.35
Weekly 90% 54.73 – 85.49 wider risk band
Support 67.00 downside defense
Resistance 73.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 70.06 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 34.8% close above upper band
Breakout Down 34.0% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.74 directional flow
Put/Call OI 0.90 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 31,779 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 49,243 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-03-13 4 70.20 102.19%21%
E2 2026-03-20 11 70.36 90.49%50%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
51.48 67.49 81.84 1.59 0.00 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 60.8–79.5.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~54.7 or ~85.5.
  • 67 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 73 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~70.06); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Up/down odds are similar: range behavior is more likely.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 68-71 range: fade extremes

  • 73: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 67: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: Sideways / Range

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 67-68
  • Trim: 70.5-73
  • Add: close > 73
  • Cut: close < 67

2. ASTS

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 71.8–107.1.2.

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 89.47
Report Time 2026-03-09 08:5709:00 PM MYT
Execution Regime TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma SHORT
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 71.80 – 107.15 1σ move 17.6768
Weekly 90% 60.40 – 118.55 wider risk band
Support 89.00 downside defense
Resistance 90.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 89.54 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 48.8% close above upper band
Breakout Down 48.9% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.66 directional flow
Put/Call OI 1.00 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 29,006 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 53,064 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-03-13 4 90.13 126.76%78%
E2 2026-03-20 11 92.75 146.77%79%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
49.52 86.75 106.39 2.36 0.00 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 71.8–107.1.2.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~60.4 or ~118.5.6.
  • 89 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 90 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is below the pivot (~89.54); moves can accelerate and feel 'slippery'.
  • Up/down odds are similar: range behavior is more likely.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 88-91 range: fade extremes

  • 90: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 89: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 89-89
  • Trim: 90.0-90
  • Add: close > 90
  • Cut: close < 89

3. AAOI

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 76.8–114.3.

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 95.58
Report Time 2026-03-09 08:5809:00 PM MYT
Execution Regime TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma LONG
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 76.84 – 114.32 1σ move 18.74
Weekly 90% 64.75 – 126.41 wider risk band
Support 95.00 downside defense
Resistance 96.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 95.05 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 41.6% close above upper band
Breakout Down 64.5% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.54 directional flow
Put/Call OI 1.57 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 16,010 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 15,766 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-03-13 4 99.03 1.59%
E2 2026-03-20 11 98.05 127.59%60%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
28.42 30.10 109.11 4.96 23.44 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 76.8–114.3.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~64.8 or ~126.4.
  • 95 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 96 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~95.05); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Market is more worried about breaking support than breaking resistance.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 95-100 range: fade extremes

  • 96: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 95: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: elevated (breakout odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 95-95
  • Trim: 96.0-96
  • Add: close > 96
  • Cut: close < 95

Generated by stocks-automation (Markdown edition)

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