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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-09 21:04:1822:40:43 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260309-210057.223917.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260309-221754.md Extracted Symbols: AAOI, VXX

Report Overview

  • Generated: 2026-03-09 09:0010:39 PM MYT
  • Symbols Covered: 32
  • Format: Combined markdown briefing

At a Glance

Symbol Spot Regime Path Weekly 68% Support / Resistance Breakout ↑ / ↓
RKLBAAOI 70.11TRANSITIONSideways / Range60.76 – 79.4667.00 / 73.0034.8% / 34.0%
ASTS89.47102.85 TRANSITION UP trend (expanding) 71.8085.44 – 107.15120.26 89.85.00 / 90.115.00 48.8%16.1% / 48.9%15.8%
AAOIVXX 95.5836.42 TRANSITIONLONG_GAMMA_PIN UP trend (expanding) 76.8430.48 – 114.3242.36 95.31.00 / 96.35.00 41.6%49.2% / 64.5%15.0%

Analyst Notes

Read the At a Glance table first, then jump into each symbol section for the full setup, risk map, and trade plan.

1. RKLBAAOI

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 60.8–79.5.85.4–120.3.

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 70.11102.85
Report Time 2026-03-09 09:00 PM MYT
Execution RegimeTRANSITION
Dealer GammaSHORT
Trend PathSideways / Range

Trading Map

ZoneLevel / RangeNote
Weekly 68%60.76 – 79.461σ move 9.35
Weekly 90%54.73 – 85.49wider risk band
Support67.00downside defense
Resistance73.00upside supply
Gamma Flip70.06regime pivot
Max PainNApin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

MetricValueInterpretation
Breakout Up34.8%close above upper band
Breakout Down34.0%close below lower band
Put/Call Volume0.74directional flow
Put/Call OI0.90positioning bias
Total Option Volume31,779nearest expiry
Total Open Interest49,243nearest expiry

Term Structure

LegExpiryDTEForwardATM IV
E12026-03-13470.20102.21%
E22026-03-201170.3690.50%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10MedianQ90Tail AsymmetrySkew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
51.4867.4981.841.590.00 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 60.8–79.5.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~54.7 or ~85.5.
  • 67 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 73 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~70.06); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Up/down odds are similar: range behavior is more likely.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 68-71 range: fade extremes

  • 73: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 67: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: Sideways / Range

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 67-68
  • Trim: 70.5-73
  • Add: close > 73
  • Cut: close < 67

2. ASTS

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 71.8–107.2.

Snapshot

ItemValue
Spot89.47
Report Time2026-03-09 09:0010:39 PM MYT
Execution Regime TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma SHORT
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 71.8085.44 – 107.15120.26 1σ move 17.6841
Weekly 90% 60.4074.22 – 118.55131.48 wider risk band
Support 89.85.00 downside defense
Resistance 90.115.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 89.54103.59 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 48.8%16.1% close above upper band
Breakout Down 48.9%15.8% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.66directional flow
Put/Call OI1.00positioning bias
Total Option Volume29,006nearest expiry
Total Open Interest53,064nearest expiry

Term Structure

LegExpiryDTEForwardATM IV
E12026-03-13490.13126.78%
E22026-03-201192.75146.79%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10MedianQ90Tail AsymmetrySkew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
49.5286.75106.392.360.00 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 71.8–107.2.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~60.4 or ~118.6.
  • 89 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 90 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is below the pivot (~89.54); moves can accelerate and feel 'slippery'.
  • Up/down odds are similar: range behavior is more likely.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 88-91 range: fade extremes

  • 90: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 89: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 89-89
  • Trim: 90.0-90
  • Add: close > 90
  • Cut: close < 89

3. AAOI

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 76.8–114.3.

Snapshot

ItemValue
Spot95.58
Report Time2026-03-09 09:00 PM MYT
Execution RegimeTRANSITION
Dealer GammaLONG
Trend PathUP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

ZoneLevel / RangeNote
Weekly 68%76.84 – 114.321σ move 18.74
Weekly 90%64.75 – 126.41wider risk band
Support95.00downside defense
Resistance96.00upside supply
Gamma Flip95.05regime pivot
Max PainNApin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

MetricValueInterpretation
Breakout Up41.6%close above upper band
Breakout Down64.5%close below lower band
Put/Call Volume0.5462 directional flow
Put/Call OI 1.57 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 16,0105,652 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 15,766 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-03-13 4 99.03103.89 1.59%128.81%
E2 2026-03-20 11 98.05103.99 127.60%115.61%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
28.4268.59 30.1099.75 109.114.121.96 23.441.7920.70 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 76.8–114.85.4–120.3.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~64.874.2 or ~126.4.131.5.
  • 9585 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 96115 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is below the pivot (~103.59); moves can accelerate and feel 'slippery'.
  • Up/down odds are similar: range behavior is more likely.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 100-105 range: fade extremes

  • 115: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 85: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: weak (range odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 85-100
  • Trim: 104.5-115
  • Add: close > 115
  • Cut: close < 85

2. VXX

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 30.5–42.4.

Snapshot

ItemValue
Spot36.42
Report Time2026-03-09 10:39 PM MYT
Execution RegimeLONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer GammaLONG
Trend PathUP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

ZoneLevel / RangeNote
Weekly 68%30.48 – 42.361σ move 5.94
Weekly 90%26.65 – 46.19wider risk band
Support31.00downside defense
Resistance35.00upside supply
Gamma Flip31.49regime pivot
Max PainNApin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

MetricValueInterpretation
Breakout Up49.2%close above upper band
Breakout Down15.0%close below lower band
Put/Call Volume0.80directional flow
Put/Call OI0.67positioning bias
Total Option Volume7,175nearest expiry
Total Open Interest55,633nearest expiry

Term Structure

LegExpiryDTEForwardATM IV
E12026-03-13436.79126.74%
E22026-03-201136.48110.00%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10MedianQ90Tail AsymmetrySkew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
27.1132.7343.591.30-58.69 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 30.5–42.4.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~26.6 or ~46.2.
  • 31 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 35 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~95.05)31.49); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Market is more worriedtilted aboutto breaking supportresistance than breakinglosing resistance.support.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 95-10035-37 range: fade extremes

  • 96:35: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 95:31: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: elevatedweak (breakoutrange odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 95-9531-35
  • Trim: 96.35.0-9635
  • Add: close > 9635
  • Cut: close < 9531

Generated by stocks-automation (Markdown edition)

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