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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-0910 22:40:4302:25:03 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260309-223917.20260310-022503.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260309-221754.20260310-022444.md Extracted Symbols: UCO, AAOI, VXXUVXY

Report Overview

  • Generated: 2026-03-0910 10:3902:25 PMAM MYT
  • Symbols Covered: 23
  • Format: Combined markdown briefing

At a Glance

Symbol Spot Regime Path Weekly 68% Support / Resistance Breakout ↑ / ↓
AAOIUCO 102.85TRANSITIONUP trend (expanding)85.44 – 120.2685.00 / 115.0016.1% / 15.8%
VXX36.4235.90 LONG_GAMMA_PIN UP trend (expanding) 30.4826.11 – 42.3645.70 31.25.00 / 35.00 49.51.1% / 12.6%
AAOI104.71LONG_GAMMA_PINUP trend (expanding)87.43 – 121.9985.00 / 100.0040.2% / 15.0%13.1%
UVXY50.20LONG_GAMMA_PINUP trend (expanding)41.03 – 59.3750.00 / 45.0065.7% / 45.2%

Analyst Notes

Read the At a Glance table first, then jump into each symbol section for the full setup, risk map, and trade plan.

1. AAOIUCO

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 85.4–120.3.26.1–45.7.

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 102.8535.90
Report Time 2026-03-0910 10:3902:24 PM MYT
Execution RegimeTRANSITION
Dealer GammaSHORT
Trend PathUP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

ZoneLevel / RangeNote
Weekly 68%85.44 – 120.261σ move 17.41
Weekly 90%74.22 – 131.48wider risk band
Support85.00downside defense
Resistance115.00upside supply
Gamma Flip103.59regime pivot
Max PainNApin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

MetricValueInterpretation
Breakout Up16.1%close above upper band
Breakout Down15.8%close below lower band
Put/Call Volume0.62directional flow
Put/Call OI1.57positioning bias
Total Option Volume5,652nearest expiry
Total Open Interest15,766nearest expiry

Term Structure

LegExpiryDTEForwardATM IV
E12026-03-134103.89128.81%
E22026-03-2011103.99115.61%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10MedianQ90Tail AsymmetrySkew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
68.5999.75121.961.7920.70 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 85.4–120.3.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~74.2 or ~131.5.
  • 85 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 115 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is below the pivot (~103.59); moves can accelerate and feel 'slippery'.
  • Up/down odds are similar: range behavior is more likely.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 100-105 range: fade extremes

  • 115: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 85: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: weak (range odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 85-100
  • Trim: 104.5-115
  • Add: close > 115
  • Cut: close < 85

2. VXX

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 30.5–42.4.

Snapshot

ItemValue
Spot36.42
Report Time2026-03-09 10:39 PMAM MYT
Execution Regime LONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer Gamma LONG
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 30.4826.11 – 42.3645.70 1σ move 5.949.80
Weekly 90% 26.6519.79 – 46.1952.02 wider risk band
Support 31.25.00 downside defense
Resistance 35.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 31.4923.81 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 49.2%51.1% close above upper band
Breakout Down 15.0%12.6% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.8028 directional flow
Put/Call OI 0.6740 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 7,17518,333 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 55,63339,131nearest expiry

Term Structure

LegExpiryDTEForwardATM IV
E12026-03-201135.761.67%
E22026-04-173935.72122.16%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10MedianQ90Tail AsymmetrySkew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
18.6029.0038.955.69-19.82 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 26.1–45.7.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~19.8 or ~52.0.
  • 25 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 35 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~23.81); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Market is more tilted to breaking resistance than losing support.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 30-40 range: fade extremes

  • 35: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 25: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: elevated (breakout odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 25-30
  • Trim: 35.0-35
  • Add: close > 35
  • Cut: close < 25

2. AAOI

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 87.4–122.0.

Snapshot

ItemValue
Spot104.71
Report Time2026-03-10 02:24 AM MYT
Execution RegimeLONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer GammaLONG
Trend PathUP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

ZoneLevel / RangeNote
Weekly 68%87.43 – 121.991σ move 17.28
Weekly 90%76.29 – 133.13wider risk band
Support85.00downside defense
Resistance100.00upside supply
Gamma Flip103.04regime pivot
Max PainNApin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

MetricValueInterpretation
Breakout Up40.2%close above upper band
Breakout Down13.1%close below lower band
Put/Call Volume0.42directional flow
Put/Call OI1.57positioning bias
Total Option Volume9,235nearest expiry
Total Open Interest15,766 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-03-13 4 36.79102.57 126.74%122.61%
E2 2026-03-20 11 36.48102.80 110.00%114.63%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
27.22.4275.12116.11 32.737.22 43.591.30-58.6934.42 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 30.5–42.4.87.4–122.0.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~26.676.3 or ~46.2.133.1.
  • 3185 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 35100 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~31.49)103.04); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Market is more tilted to breaking resistance than losing support.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 35-37100-106 range: fade extremes

  • 35:100: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 31:85: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Vol:Accumulate: weak85-100
  • Trim: 100.0-100
  • Add: close > 100
  • Cut: close < 85

3. UVXY

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 41.0–59.4.

Snapshot

odds↑)
ItemValue
Spot50.20
Report Time2026-03-10 02:24 AM MYT
Execution RegimeLONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer GammaLONG
Trend PathUP trend (rangeexpanding)

Trading Map

ZoneLevel / RangeNote
Weekly 68%41.03 – 59.371σ move 9.17
Weekly 90%35.11 – 65.29wider risk band
Support50.00downside defense
Resistance45.00upside supply
Gamma Flip49.58regime pivot
Max PainNApin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

MetricValueInterpretation
Breakout Up65.7%close above upper band
Breakout Down45.2%close below lower band
Put/Call Volume0.70directional flow
Put/Call OI0.48positioning bias
Total Option Volume19,477nearest expiry
Total Open Interest36,565nearest expiry

Term Structure

LegExpiryDTEForwardATM IV
E12026-03-13451.51130.14%
E22026-03-201151.50129.56%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10MedianQ90Tail AsymmetrySkew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
25.6344.7860.962.28-71.87 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 41.0–59.4.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~35.1 or ~65.3.
  • 50 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 45 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~49.58); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Market is more tilted to breaking resistance than losing support.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 49-52 range: fade extremes

  • 45: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 50: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 31-3550-50
  • Trim: 35.45.0-3545
  • Add: close > 3545
  • Cut: close < 3150

Generated by stocks-automation (Markdown edition)

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