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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-11 08:19:57 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260311-081941.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260311-075708.md Extracted Symbols: CRCA, AXTI, UCO, UVXY, AAOI, USO, CGEM, BNO

Report Overview

  • Generated: 2026-03-11 08:19 AM MYT
  • Symbols Covered: 8
  • Format: Combined markdown briefing

At a Glance

Symbol Spot Regime Path Weekly 68% Support / Resistance Breakout ↑ / ↓
CRCA 70.77 LONG_GAMMA_PIN UP trend (expanding) 50.28 – 91.26 40.00 / 70.00 34.1% / 6.9%
AXTI 44.30 LONG_GAMMA_PIN UP trend (expanding) 34.62 – 53.98 35.00 / 40.00 71.0% / 17.8%
UCO 34.26 LONG_GAMMA_PIN UP trend (expanding) 24.94 – 43.58 25.00 / 35.00 44.6% / 15.3%
UVXY 49.80 TRANSITION UP trend (expanding) 39.93 – 59.67 40.00 / 45.00 63.2% / 14.8%
AAOI 120.49 LONG_GAMMA_PIN UP trend (expanding) 101.05 – 139.93 112.00 / 120.00 33.8% / 34.2%
USO 105.86 TRANSITION UP trend (expanding) 85.12 – 126.60 100.00 / 110.00 46.8% / 43.2%
CGEM 14.91 SHORT_GAMMA_TREND UP trend (expanding) 9.64 – 20.18 14.00 / 14.00 41.8% / 49.6%
BNO 43.37 LONG_GAMMA_PIN UP trend (expanding) 35.45 – 51.29 45.00 / 45.00 39.8% / 55.4%

Analyst Notes

Read the At a Glance table first, then jump into each symbol section for the full setup, risk map, and trade plan.

1. CRCA

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 50.3–91.3.

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 70.77
Report Time 2026-03-11 08:18 AM MYT
Execution Regime LONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer Gamma LONG
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 50.28 – 91.26 1σ move 20.49
Weekly 90% 37.07 – 104.47 wider risk band
Support 40.00 downside defense
Resistance 70.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 56.25 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 34.1% close above upper band
Breakout Down 6.9% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.21 directional flow
Put/Call OI 0.10 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 1,610 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 6,368 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-03-20 10 59.93 1.84%
E2 2026-04-17 38 69.79 127.74%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
37.80 55.00 66.40 NA 38.92 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 50.3–91.3.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~37.1 or ~104.5.
  • 40 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 70 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~56.25); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Market is more tilted to breaking resistance than losing support.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 61-70 range: fade extremes

  • 70: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 40: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: weak (range odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 40-61
  • Trim: 69.5-70
  • Add: close > 70
  • Cut: close < 40

2. AXTI

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 34.6–54.0.

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 44.30
Report Time 2026-03-11 08:19 AM MYT
Execution Regime LONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer Gamma LONG
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 34.62 – 53.98 1σ move 9.68
Weekly 90% 28.37 – 60.23 wider risk band
Support 35.00 downside defense
Resistance 40.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 37.37 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 71.0% close above upper band
Breakout Down 17.8% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.56 directional flow
Put/Call OI 1.11 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 13,748 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 26,639 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-03-20 10 44.41 148.63%
E2 2026-04-17 38 44.49 133.94%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
17.13 41.11 57.59 2.04 -5.37 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 34.6–54.0.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~28.4 or ~60.2.
  • 35 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 40 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~37.37); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Market is more tilted to breaking resistance than losing support.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 35-50 range: fade extremes

  • 40: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 35: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: elevated (breakout odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 35-35
  • Trim: 40.0-40
  • Add: close > 40
  • Cut: close < 35

3. UCO

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 24.9–43.6.

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 34.26
Report Time 2026-03-11 08:19 AM MYT
Execution Regime LONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer Gamma LONG
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 24.94 – 43.58 1σ move 9.32
Weekly 90% 18.93 – 49.59 wider risk band
Support 25.00 downside defense
Resistance 35.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 25.29 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 44.6% close above upper band
Breakout Down 15.3% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.39 directional flow
Put/Call OI 0.51 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 11,594 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 39,421 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-03-20 10 34.28 1.73%
E2 2026-04-17 38 34.17 119.24%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
20.11 27.34 38.05 3.73 -48.83 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 24.9–43.6.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~18.9 or ~49.6.
  • 25 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 35 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~25.29); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Market is more tilted to breaking resistance than losing support.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 30-40 range: fade extremes

  • 35: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 25: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: elevated (breakout odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 25-30
  • Trim: 35.0-35
  • Add: close > 35
  • Cut: close < 25

4. UVXY

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 39.9–59.7.

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 49.80
Report Time 2026-03-11 08:19 AM MYT
Execution Regime TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma LONG
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 39.93 – 59.67 1σ move 9.87
Weekly 90% 33.56 – 66.04 wider risk band
Support 40.00 downside defense
Resistance 45.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 49.50 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 63.2% close above upper band
Breakout Down 14.8% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.46 directional flow
Put/Call OI 0.54 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 25,525 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 44,037 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-03-13 3 48.87 1.77%
E2 2026-03-20 10 47.55 133.75%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
30.28 41.43 59.83 1.95 -37.21 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 39.9–59.7.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~33.6 or ~66.0.
  • 40 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 45 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~49.50); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Market is more tilted to breaking resistance than losing support.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 49-51 range: fade extremes

  • 45: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 40: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 40-49
  • Trim: 45.0-45
  • Add: close > 45
  • Cut: close < 40

5. AAOI

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 101.1–139.9.

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 120.49
Report Time 2026-03-11 08:19 AM MYT
Execution Regime LONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer Gamma LONG
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 101.05 – 139.93 1σ move 19.44
Weekly 90% 88.52 – 152.46 wider risk band
Support 112.00 downside defense
Resistance 120.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 112.58 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 33.8% close above upper band
Breakout Down 34.2% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.51 directional flow
Put/Call OI 1.25 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 18,160 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 19,497 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-03-13 3 120.58 124.17%
E2 2026-03-20 10 121.11 112.84%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
22.33 103.70 136.79 6.02 8.20 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 101.1–139.9.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~88.5 or ~152.5.
  • 112 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 120 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~112.58); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Up/down odds are similar: range behavior is more likely.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 115-124 range: fade extremes

  • 120: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 112: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 112-115
  • Trim: 120.0-120
  • Add: close > 120
  • Cut: close < 112

6. USO

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 85.1–126.6.

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 105.86
Report Time 2026-03-11 08:19 AM MYT
Execution Regime TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma SHORT
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 85.12 – 126.60 1σ move 20.74
Weekly 90% 71.75 – 139.97 wider risk band
Support 100.00 downside defense
Resistance 110.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 105.11 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 46.8% close above upper band
Breakout Down 43.2% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 1.38 directional flow
Put/Call OI 1.38 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 145,568 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 78,206 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-03-11 1 105.75 1.84%
E2 2026-03-13 3 105.98 149.12%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
61.32 62.42 63.93 NA -52.15 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 85.1–126.6.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~71.8 or ~140.0.
  • 100 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 110 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~105.11); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Up/down odds are similar: range behavior is more likely.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 105-108 range: fade extremes

  • 110: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 100: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: elevated (breakout odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 100-105
  • Trim: 107.5-110
  • Add: close > 110
  • Cut: close < 100

7. CGEM

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 9.6–20.2.

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 14.91
Report Time 2026-03-11 08:19 AM MYT
Execution Regime SHORT_GAMMA_TREND
Dealer Gamma SHORT
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 9.64 – 20.18 1σ move 5.27
Weekly 90% 6.25 – 23.57 wider risk band
Support 14.00 downside defense
Resistance 14.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 15.92 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 41.8% close above upper band
Breakout Down 49.6% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 56.43 directional flow
Put/Call OI 51.22 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 804 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 1,880 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-03-20 10 14.51 2.18%
E2 2026-04-17 38 14.43 123.45%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
8.53 13.68 15.79 7.22 117.97 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 9.6–20.2.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~6.2 or ~23.6.
  • 14 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 14 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is below the pivot (~15.92); moves can accelerate and feel 'slippery'.
  • Up/down odds are similar: range behavior is more likely.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 12-15 range: fade extremes

  • 14: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 14: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 14-14
  • Trim: 14.0-14
  • Add: close > 14
  • Cut: close < 14

8. BNO

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 35.4–51.3.

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 43.37
Report Time 2026-03-11 08:19 AM MYT
Execution Regime LONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer Gamma LONG
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 35.45 – 51.29 1σ move 7.92
Weekly 90% 30.34 – 56.40 wider risk band
Support 45.00 downside defense
Resistance 45.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 36.14 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 39.8% close above upper band
Breakout Down 55.4% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.56 directional flow
Put/Call OI 0.26 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 11,629 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 13,367 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-03-20 10 41.66 112.60%
E2 2026-04-17 38 42.19 63.89%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
33.20 41.86 55.08 0.87 -16.32 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 35.4–51.3.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~30.3 or ~56.4.
  • 45 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 45 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~36.14); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Market is more worried about breaking support than breaking resistance.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 39-45 range: fade extremes

  • 45: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 45: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: elevated (breakout odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 45-45
  • Trim: 44.5-45
  • Add: close > 45
  • Cut: close < 45

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