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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-11 07:57:2208:19:57 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260310-125816.20260311-081941.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260310-125803.20260311-075708.md Extracted Symbols: CRCA, AXTI, UCO, UVXY, AAOI, USO, CGEM, BNO

Report Overview

  • Generated: 2026-03-1011 12:5808:19 PMAM MYT
  • Symbols Covered: 28
  • Format: Combined markdown briefing

At a Glance

Symbol Spot Regime Path Weekly 68% Support / Resistance Breakout ↑ / ↓
AXTICRCA 38.5670.77 NALONG_GAMMA_PIN UP trend (expanding) 30.1450.28 – 46.91.2640.00 / 70.0034.1% / 6.9%
AXTI44.30LONG_GAMMA_PINUP trend (expanding)34.62 – 53.98 35.00 / 40.00 33.5%71.0% / 36.7%17.8%
BNOUCO 42.7234.26LONG_GAMMA_PINUP trend (expanding)24.94 – 43.5825.00 / 35.0044.6% / 15.3%
UVXY49.80TRANSITIONUP trend (expanding)39.93 – 59.6740.00 / 45.0063.2% / 14.8%
AAOI120.49LONG_GAMMA_PINUP trend (expanding)101.05 – 139.93112.00 / 120.0033.8% / 34.2%
USO105.86TRANSITIONUP trend (expanding)85.12 – 126.60100.00 / 110.0046.8% / 43.2%
CGEM14.91 SHORT_GAMMA_TREND UP trend (expanding) 35.929.64 – 49.5220.18 28.14.00 / 28.14.00 83.4%41.8% / 2.0%49.6%
BNO43.37LONG_GAMMA_PINUP trend (expanding)35.45 – 51.2945.00 / 45.0039.8% / 55.4%

Analyst Notes

Read the At a Glance table first, then jump into each symbol section for the full setup, risk map, and trade plan.

1. AXTICRCA

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 30.1–47.0.50.3–91.3.

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 38.5670.77
Report Time 2026-03-1011 12:5808:18 PMAM MYT
Execution Regime NALONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer Gamma NALONG
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 30.1450.28 – 46.9891.26 1σ move 8.4220.49
Weekly 90% 24.7037.07 – 52.42104.47wider risk band
Support40.00downside defense
Resistance70.00upside supply
Gamma Flip56.25regime pivot
Max PainNApin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

MetricValueInterpretation
Breakout Up34.1%close above upper band
Breakout Down6.9%close below lower band
Put/Call Volume0.21directional flow
Put/Call OI0.10positioning bias
Total Option Volume1,610nearest expiry
Total Open Interest6,368nearest expiry

Term Structure

LegExpiryDTEForwardATM IV
E12026-03-201059.931.84%
E22026-04-173869.79127.74%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10MedianQ90Tail AsymmetrySkew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
37.8055.0066.40NA38.92 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 50.3–91.3.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~37.1 or ~104.5.
  • 40 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 70 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~56.25); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Market is more tilted to breaking resistance than losing support.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 61-70 range: fade extremes

  • 70: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 40: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: weak (range odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 40-61
  • Trim: 69.5-70
  • Add: close > 70
  • Cut: close < 40

2. AXTI

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 34.6–54.0.

Snapshot

ItemValue
Spot44.30
Report Time2026-03-11 08:19 AM MYT
Execution RegimeLONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer GammaLONG
Trend PathUP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

ZoneLevel / RangeNote
Weekly 68%34.62 – 53.981σ move 9.68
Weekly 90%28.37 – 60.23 wider risk band
Support 35.00 downside defense
Resistance 40.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 37.37regime pivot
Max PainNApin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

MetricValueInterpretation
Breakout Up71.0%close above upper band
Breakout Down17.8%close below lower band
Put/Call Volume0.56directional flow
Put/Call OI1.11positioning bias
Total Option Volume13,748nearest expiry
Total Open Interest26,639nearest expiry

Term Structure

LegExpiryDTEForwardATM IV
E12026-03-201044.41148.63%
E22026-04-173844.49133.94%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10MedianQ90Tail AsymmetrySkew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
17.1341.1157.592.04-5.37 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 34.6–54.0.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~28.4 or ~60.2.
  • 35 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 40 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~37.37); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Market is more tilted to breaking resistance than losing support.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 35-50 range: fade extremes

  • 40: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 35: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: elevated (breakout odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 35-35
  • Trim: 40.0-40
  • Add: close > 40
  • Cut: close < 35

3. UCO

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 24.9–43.6.

Snapshot

ItemValue
Spot34.26
Report Time2026-03-11 08:19 AM MYT
Execution RegimeLONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer GammaLONG
Trend PathUP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

ZoneLevel / RangeNote
Weekly 68%24.94 – 43.581σ move 9.32
Weekly 90%18.93 – 49.59wider risk band
Support25.00downside defense
Resistance35.00upside supply
Gamma Flip25.29regime pivot
Max PainNApin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

MetricValueInterpretation
Breakout Up44.6%close above upper band
Breakout Down15.3%close below lower band
Put/Call Volume0.39directional flow
Put/Call OI0.51positioning bias
Total Option Volume11,594nearest expiry
Total Open Interest39,421nearest expiry

Term Structure

LegExpiryDTEForwardATM IV
E12026-03-201034.281.73%
E22026-04-173834.17119.24%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10MedianQ90Tail AsymmetrySkew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
20.1127.3438.053.73-48.83 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 24.9–43.6.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~18.9 or ~49.6.
  • 25 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 35 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~25.29); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Market is more tilted to breaking resistance than losing support.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 30-40 range: fade extremes

  • 35: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 25: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: elevated (breakout odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 25-30
  • Trim: 35.0-35
  • Add: close > 35
  • Cut: close < 25

4. UVXY

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 39.9–59.7.

Snapshot

ItemValue
Spot49.80
Report Time2026-03-11 08:19 AM MYT
Execution RegimeTRANSITION
Dealer GammaLONG
Trend PathUP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

ZoneLevel / RangeNote
Weekly 68%39.93 – 59.671σ move 9.87
Weekly 90%33.56 – 66.04wider risk band
Support40.00downside defense
Resistance45.00upside supply
Gamma Flip49.50regime pivot
Max PainNApin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

MetricValueInterpretation
Breakout Up63.2%close above upper band
Breakout Down14.8%close below lower band
Put/Call Volume0.46directional flow
Put/Call OI0.54positioning bias
Total Option Volume25,525nearest expiry
Total Open Interest44,037nearest expiry

Term Structure

LegExpiryDTEForwardATM IV
E12026-03-13348.871.77%
E22026-03-201047.55133.75%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10MedianQ90Tail AsymmetrySkew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
30.2841.4359.831.95-37.21 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 39.9–59.7.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~33.6 or ~66.0.
  • 40 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 45 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~49.50); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Market is more tilted to breaking resistance than losing support.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 49-51 range: fade extremes

  • 45: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 40: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 40-49
  • Trim: 45.0-45
  • Add: close > 45
  • Cut: close < 40

5. AAOI

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 101.1–139.9.

Snapshot

ItemValue
Spot120.49
Report Time2026-03-11 08:19 AM MYT
Execution RegimeLONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer GammaLONG
Trend PathUP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

ZoneLevel / RangeNote
Weekly 68%101.05 – 139.931σ move 19.44
Weekly 90%88.52 – 152.46wider risk band
Support112.00downside defense
Resistance120.00upside supply
Gamma Flip112.58 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 33.5%8% close above upper band
Breakout Down 36.7%34.2% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.3951 directional flow
Put/Call OI NA1.25 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 4,82918,160 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 019,497 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-03-2013 103 37.72120.58 145.30%124.17%
E2 2026-04-1703-20 3810 38.19121.11 128.67%112.84%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
5.879.22.33 49.97103.70 2.86136.79 6.25028.20 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 30.101.1–47.0.139.9.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~24.788.5 or ~52.4.152.5.
  • 35112 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 40120 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~112.58); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Up/down odds are similar: range behavior is more likely.
  • Near-term is priced more 'exciting', but it may cool down later.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 30-45115-124 range: fade extremes

  • 40:120: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 35:112: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 35-35112-115
  • Trim: 40.120.0-40120
  • Add: close > 40120
  • Cut: close < 35112

2.6. BNOUSO

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 35.9–49.5.85.1–126.6.

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 42.72105.86
Report Time 2026-03-1011 12:5808:19 PMAM MYT
Execution RegimeTRANSITION
Dealer GammaSHORT
Trend PathUP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

ZoneLevel / RangeNote
Weekly 68%85.12 – 126.601σ move 20.74
Weekly 90%71.75 – 139.97wider risk band
Support100.00downside defense
Resistance110.00upside supply
Gamma Flip105.11regime pivot
Max PainNApin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

MetricValueInterpretation
Breakout Up46.8%close above upper band
Breakout Down43.2%close below lower band
Put/Call Volume1.38directional flow
Put/Call OI1.38positioning bias
Total Option Volume145,568nearest expiry
Total Open Interest78,206nearest expiry

Term Structure

LegExpiryDTEForwardATM IV
E12026-03-111105.751.84%
E22026-03-133105.98149.12%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10MedianQ90Tail AsymmetrySkew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
61.3262.4263.93NA-52.15 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 85.1–126.6.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~71.8 or ~140.0.
  • 100 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 110 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~105.11); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Up/down odds are similar: range behavior is more likely.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 105-108 range: fade extremes

  • 110: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 100: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: elevated (breakout odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 100-105
  • Trim: 107.5-110
  • Add: close > 110
  • Cut: close < 100

7. CGEM

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 9.6–20.2.

Snapshot

ItemValue
Spot14.91
Report Time2026-03-11 08:19 AM MYT
Execution Regime SHORT_GAMMA_TREND
Dealer Gamma SHORT
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 35.929.64 – 49.5220.18 1σ move 6.805.27
Weekly 90% 31.536.25 – 53.9123.57 wider risk band
Support 28.14.00 downside defense
Resistance 28.14.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip NA15.92 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 83.4%41.8% close above upper band
Breakout Down 2.0%49.6% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.1256.43 directional flow
Put/Call OI NA51.22 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 8,342804 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 11,880 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-03-20 10 42.6214.51 99.46%2.18%
E2 2026-04-17 38 43.7414.43 73.68%123.45%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
38.218.53 39.0313.68 39.8615.797.22117.97 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 9.6–20.2.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~6.2 or ~23.6.
  • 14 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 14 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is below the pivot (~15.92); moves can accelerate and feel 'slippery'.
  • Up/down odds are similar: range behavior is more likely.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 12-15 range: fade extremes

  • 14: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 14: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 14-14
  • Trim: 14.0-14
  • Add: close > 14
  • Cut: close < 14

8. BNO

Quick Take: This week is most likely to swing inside 35.4–51.3.

Snapshot

ItemValue
Spot43.37
Report Time2026-03-11 08:19 AM MYT
Execution RegimeLONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer GammaLONG
Trend PathUP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

ZoneLevel / RangeNote
Weekly 68%35.45 – 51.291σ move 7.92
Weekly 90%30.34 – 56.40wider risk band
Support45.00downside defense
Resistance45.00upside supply
Gamma Flip36.14regime pivot
Max Pain NA 136.13pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

MetricValueInterpretation
Breakout Up39.8%close above upper band
Breakout Down55.4%close below lower band
Put/Call Volume0.56directional flow
Put/Call OI0.26positioning bias
Total Option Volume11,629nearest expiry
Total Open Interest13,367nearest expiry

Term Structure

LegExpiryDTEForwardATM IV
E12026-03-201041.66112.60%
E22026-04-173842.1963.89%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10MedianQ90Tail AsymmetrySkew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
33.2041.8655.080.87-16.32 volpts

Executive Summary

  • This week is most likely to swing inside 35.9–49.5.4–51.3.
  • In an extreme move, it may reach ~31.530.3 or ~53.9.56.4.
  • 2845 is key support (a close below increases downside risk).
  • 2845 is key resistance (a close above is needed to turn stronger).
  • Price is above the pivot (~36.14); breaking below it is the danger signal.
  • Market is more tiltedworried toabout breaking resistancesupport than losingbreaking support.
  • Moves can speed up quickly (both up and down).resistance.

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 43-4339-45 range: fade extremes

  • 28:45: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 28:45: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: elevated (breakout odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 28-4345-45
  • Trim: 28.0-2844.5-45
  • Add: close > 2845
  • Cut: close < 2845

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