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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-11 10:26:03 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260311-102359.md


Screening Source: screen-report-20260311-075708.md Extracted Symbols: CRCA, AXTI, UCO, UVXY, AAOI, USO, CGEM, BNO

US Stocks Screening Report (8 symbols)

Generated: 2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
CRCA 70.77 70.00 91.29 37.02 TRANSITION 12.1% 44.3% 50.25 - 91.29 37.02 - 104.52
AXTI 44.30 40.00 45.00 35.19 TRANSITION 51.8% 30.3% 34.57 - 54.03 28.30 - 60.30
UCO 34.26 31.00 35.00 NA TRANSITION 51.5% 33.4% 24.93 - 43.59 18.91 - 49.61
UVXY 49.80 47.00 50.00 26.71 TRANSITION 48.3% 31.9% 39.89 - 59.71 33.50 - 66.10
AAOI 120.49 120.00 130.00 98.92 TRANSITION 25.7% 48.1% 100.94 - 140.04 88.34 - 152.64
USO 105.86 100.00 106.00 111.30 TREND 74.0% 48.4% 85.01 - 126.71 71.56 - 140.16
CGEM 14.91 14.00 15.00 NA TREND 54.8% 57.3% 9.64 - 20.18 6.24 - 23.58
BNO 43.37 41.00 45.00 NA TRANSITION 46.0% 35.2% 35.45 - 51.29 30.34 - 56.40

CRCA

Spot: 70.77
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 10 59.93 184.80% 21.35
2026-04-17 38 69.79 127.93% 29.10

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 50.25 91.29 41.04
80% 44.47 97.07 52.60
90% 37.02 104.52 67.51
95% 30.55 110.99 80.44

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
70.00 91.29 37.02 1.00 12.1% 44.3%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
1,335 275 0.21 5,773 595 0.10 38.92 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
64.60 67.00 69.40 6.17 0.00 NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
43.05 41.54 35.00 1.47 36.25 71.02 191.86% 0.71 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 70.00-91.29 range: fade extremes
  • > 91.29: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 70.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 70.00-70.00
  • Trim: 91.29-91.29
  • Add: close > 91.29
  • Cut: close < 70.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CRCA @ 70.77 (2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT)

• Current price is **70.77**. Key support is around **70.00**, and resistance is around **91.29**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **50.25 to 91.29**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **37.02 to 104.52**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **37.02**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 12.1%**, **below support 44.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 184.80% vs IV2 127.93%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.71x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

AXTI

Spot: 44.30
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 10 44.41 149.34% 10.80
2026-04-17 38 44.49 134.14% 19.10

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 34.57 54.03 19.45
80% 31.84 56.76 24.93
90% 28.30 60.30 32.00
95% 25.24 63.36 38.13

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
40.00 45.00 35.19 30.00 51.8% 30.3%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
8,839 4,909 0.56 12,597 14,042 1.11 -5.37 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
17.13 41.11 57.59 27.17 13.29 2.04

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
34.14 26.78 34.84 17.48 33.06 48.63 94.23% 1.60 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 40.00-45.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 45.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 40.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 40.00-40.00
  • Trim: 45.00-45.00
  • Add: close > 45.00
  • Cut: close < 40.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AXTI @ 44.30 (2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT)

• Current price is **44.30**. Key support is around **40.00**, and resistance is around **45.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **34.57 to 54.03**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **28.30 to 60.30**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **35.19**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 51.8%**, **below support 30.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 149.34% vs IV2 134.14%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **1.60x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

UCO

Spot: 34.26
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 10 34.28 173.44% 9.70
2026-04-17 38 34.17 119.42% 13.15

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 24.93 43.59 18.66
80% 22.30 46.22 23.92
90% 18.91 49.61 30.70
95% 15.97 52.55 36.58

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
31.00 35.00 NA 11.00 51.5% 33.4%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
8,364 3,230 0.39 26,116 13,305 0.51 -48.83 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
20.11 27.34 38.05 14.15 3.79 3.73

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
27.62 24.59 30.53 19.06 26.53 33.99 56.31% 4.05 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 31.00-35.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 35.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 31.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 31.00-31.00
  • Trim: 35.00-35.00
  • Add: close > 35.00
  • Cut: close < 31.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UCO @ 34.26 (2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT)

• Current price is **34.26**. Key support is around **31.00**, and resistance is around **35.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **24.93 to 43.59**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **18.91 to 49.61**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 51.5%**, **below support 33.4%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 173.44% vs IV2 119.42%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **4.05x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

UVXY

Spot: 49.80
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-13 3 48.87 179.54% 7.74
2026-03-20 10 47.55 134.38% 10.93

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 39.89 59.71 19.82
80% 37.10 62.50 25.40
90% 33.50 66.10 32.60
95% 30.38 69.22 38.85

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
47.00 50.00 26.71 5.00 48.3% 31.9%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
17,508 8,017 0.46 28,645 15,392 0.54 -37.21 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
30.28 41.43 59.84 19.52 10.04 1.95

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
42.24 41.09 41.94 31.90 41.04 50.18 44.53% 0.92 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 47.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 50.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 47.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 47.00-47.00
  • Trim: 50.00-50.00
  • Add: close > 50.00
  • Cut: close < 47.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UVXY @ 49.80 (2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT)

• Current price is **49.80**. Key support is around **47.00**, and resistance is around **50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **39.89 to 59.71**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **33.50 to 66.10**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **26.71**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 48.3%**, **below support 31.9%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 179.54% vs IV2 134.38%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AAOI

Spot: 120.49
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-13 3 120.58 126.16% 13.15
2026-03-20 10 121.11 113.37% 22.30

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 100.94 140.04 39.09
80% 95.44 145.54 50.10
90% 88.34 152.64 64.30
95% 82.18 158.80 76.62

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
120.00 130.00 98.92 19.00 25.7% 48.1%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
12,056 6,104 0.51 8,663 10,834 1.25 8.20 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
22.33 103.70 136.79 98.16 16.30 6.02

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
78.19 58.09 84.59 15.92 70.15 124.38 154.61% 1.47 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 120.00-130.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 130.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 120.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 120.00-120.00
  • Trim: 130.00-130.00
  • Add: close > 130.00
  • Cut: close < 120.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOI @ 120.49 (2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT)

• Current price is **120.49**. Key support is around **120.00**, and resistance is around **130.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **100.94 to 140.04**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **88.34 to 152.64**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **98.92**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 25.7%**, **below support 48.1%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 126.16% vs IV2 113.37%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

USO

Spot: 105.86
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-11 1 105.75 194.46% 9.23
2026-03-13 3 105.98 151.51% 13.88

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 85.01 126.71 41.71
80% 79.13 132.59 53.45
90% 71.56 140.16 68.61
95% 64.99 146.73 81.75

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
100.00 106.00 111.30 61.00 74.0% 48.4%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
61,073 84,495 1.38 32,827 45,379 1.38 -52.15 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
61.32 62.42 63.93 44.54 0.00 NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
88.90 81.17 97.03 64.91 85.70 106.49 48.51% 4.19 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 100.00-106.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 106.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 100.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 100.00-100.00
  • Trim: 106.00-106.00
  • Add: close > 106.00
  • Cut: close < 100.00
  • Best for: trend regime
  • Bias: upside breakout more favored
Raw Text Summary
📌 USO @ 105.86 (2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT)

• Current price is **105.86**. Key support is around **100.00**, and resistance is around **106.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **85.01 to 126.71**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **71.56 to 140.16**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **111.30**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 74.0%**, **below support 48.4%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 194.46% vs IV2 151.51%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **4.19x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

CGEM

Spot: 14.91
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 10 14.51 218.78% 5.33
2026-04-17 38 14.43 123.64% 5.92

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 9.64 20.18 10.54
80% 8.16 21.66 13.50
90% 6.24 23.58 17.33
95% 4.58 25.24 20.65

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
14.00 15.00 NA 15.00 54.8% 57.3%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
14 790 56.43 36 1,844 51.22 117.97 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
8.53 13.68 15.79 6.38 0.88 7.22

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
14.42 12.88 14.32 10.93 14.12 17.32 45.20% 1.13 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 14.00-15.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 15.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 14.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 14.00-14.00
  • Trim: 15.00-15.00
  • Add: close > 15.00
  • Cut: close < 14.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CGEM @ 14.91 (2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT)

• Current price is **14.91**. Key support is around **14.00**, and resistance is around **15.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **9.64 to 20.18**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **6.24 to 23.58**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 54.8%**, **below support 57.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 218.78% vs IV2 123.64%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

BNO

Spot: 43.37
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 10 41.66 113.14% 8.01
2026-04-17 38 42.19 63.99% 8.92

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 35.45 51.29 15.85
80% 33.21 53.53 20.31
90% 30.34 56.40 26.07
95% 27.84 58.90 31.06

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
41.00 45.00 NA 26.00 46.0% 35.2%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
7,467 4,162 0.56 10,585 2,782 0.26 -17.01 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
33.20 41.86 55.08 10.17 11.71 0.87

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
37.06 33.77 40.04 27.83 35.87 43.91 44.80% 3.06 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 41.00-45.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 45.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 41.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 41.00-41.00
  • Trim: 45.00-45.00
  • Add: close > 45.00
  • Cut: close < 41.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 BNO @ 43.37 (2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT)

• Current price is **43.37**. Key support is around **41.00**, and resistance is around **45.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **35.45 to 51.29**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **30.34 to 56.40**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 46.0%**, **below support 35.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 113.14% vs IV2 63.99%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **3.06x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **more upside tail potential** than downside tail risk.