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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-11 17:48:02 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260311-174802.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260311-131742.md Extracted Symbols: CRCA, AXTI, AAOI, CGEM, BNO

US Stocks Screening Report (5 symbols)

Generated: 2026-03-11 05:48 PM MYT

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
CRCA 70.77 20.00 93.47 NA TREND 16.4% 1.6% 48.07 - 93.47 33.43 - 108.11
AXTI 44.30 34.39 54.21 22.15 TRANSITION 17.2% 20.5% 34.39 - 54.21 28.00 - 60.60
AAOI 120.49 100.38 140.60 60.24 TRANSITION 15.3% 18.3% 100.38 - 140.60 87.41 - 153.57
CGEM 14.91 12.00 18.45 NA TRANSITION 13.0% 20.2% 11.37 - 18.45 9.09 - 20.73
BNO 43.37 28.00 51.30 NA TREND 19.7% 3.9% 35.44 - 51.30 30.32 - 56.42

CRCA

Spot: 70.77
Report Time: 2026-03-11 05:47 PM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 10 51.20 202.31% 23.00
2026-04-17 38 57.35 117.07% 26.52

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 48.07 93.47 45.41
80% 41.67 99.87 58.19
90% 33.43 108.11 74.69
95% 26.27 115.27 89.00

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
20.00 93.47 NA 1.00 16.4% 1.6%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
1,335 275 0.21 5,546 493 0.09 55.62 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
62.30 63.50 64.70 8.47 0.00 NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
43.05 41.54 35.01 1.47 36.25 71.02 191.86% 0.72 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 20.00-93.47 range: fade extremes
  • > 93.47: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 20.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 20.00-20.00
  • Trim: 93.47-93.47
  • Add: close > 93.47
  • Cut: close < 20.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 CRCA @ 70.77 (2026-03-11 05:47 PM MYT)

• Current price is **70.77**. Key support is around **20.00**, and resistance is around **93.47**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **48.07 to 93.47**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **33.43 to 108.11**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 16.4%**, **below support 1.6%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 202.31% vs IV2 117.07%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.72x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

AXTI

Spot: 44.30
Report Time: 2026-03-11 05:47 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: NEUTRAL

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 10 44.49 153.17% 10.90
2026-04-17 38 44.37 138.22% 19.60

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 34.39 54.21 19.82
80% 31.60 57.00 25.40
90% 28.00 60.60 32.59
95% 24.88 63.72 38.84

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
34.39 54.21 22.15 2.50 17.2% 20.5%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
8,839 4,909 0.56 0 0 NA 46.87 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
5.69 8.46 54.20 38.61 9.90 3.90

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
34.14 26.78 34.88 17.48 33.06 48.63 94.23% 1.69 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 34.39-54.21 range: fade extremes
  • > 54.21: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 34.39: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 34.39-34.39
  • Trim: 54.21-54.21
  • Add: close > 54.21
  • Cut: close < 34.39
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AXTI @ 44.30 (2026-03-11 05:47 PM MYT)

• Current price is **44.30**. Key support is around **34.39**, and resistance is around **54.21**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **34.39 to 54.21**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **28.00 to 60.60**.
• Dealer positioning looks **NEUTRAL gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **22.15**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 17.2%**, **below support 20.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 153.17% vs IV2 138.22%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **1.69x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AAOI

Spot: 120.49
Report Time: 2026-03-11 05:47 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: NEUTRAL

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-13 3 121.12 133.94% 13.15
2026-03-20 10 120.82 116.56% 22.56

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 100.38 140.60 40.22
80% 94.72 146.26 51.54
90% 87.41 153.57 66.15
95% 81.08 159.90 78.83

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
100.38 140.60 60.24 19.00 15.3% 18.3%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
12,056 6,104 0.51 0 0 NA 886.13 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
34.28 35.40 131.85 86.21 11.36 7.59

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
78.19 58.09 84.61 15.92 70.15 124.38 154.61% 1.48 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 100.38-140.60 range: fade extremes
  • > 140.60: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 100.38: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 100.38-100.38
  • Trim: 140.60-140.60
  • Add: close > 140.60
  • Cut: close < 100.38
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AAOI @ 120.49 (2026-03-11 05:47 PM MYT)

• Current price is **120.49**. Key support is around **100.38**, and resistance is around **140.60**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **100.38 to 140.60**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **87.41 to 153.57**.
• Dealer positioning looks **NEUTRAL gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **60.24**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 15.3%**, **below support 18.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 133.94% vs IV2 116.56%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

CGEM

Spot: 14.91
Report Time: 2026-03-11 05:47 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 10 15.69 157.40% 3.77
2026-04-17 38 14.56 125.72% 6.00

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 11.37 18.45 7.08
80% 10.38 19.44 9.07
90% 9.09 20.73 11.64
95% 7.98 21.84 13.87

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
12.00 18.45 NA 7.00 13.0% 20.2%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
14 790 56.43 7 0 0.00 10.94 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
8.03 12.37 16.55 6.88 1.64 4.21

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
14.42 12.88 14.33 10.93 14.12 17.32 45.20% 1.15 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 12.00-18.45 range: fade extremes
  • > 18.45: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 12.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 12.00-12.00
  • Trim: 18.45-18.45
  • Add: close > 18.45
  • Cut: close < 12.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 CGEM @ 14.91 (2026-03-11 05:47 PM MYT)

• Current price is **14.91**. Key support is around **12.00**, and resistance is around **18.45**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **11.37 to 18.45**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **9.09 to 20.73**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 13.0%**, **below support 20.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 157.40% vs IV2 125.72%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

BNO

Spot: 43.37
Report Time: 2026-03-11 05:48 PM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 10 41.55 114.97% 8.01
2026-04-17 38 42.21 64.25% 8.92

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 35.44 51.30 15.87
80% 33.20 53.54 20.34
90% 30.32 56.42 26.10
95% 27.82 58.92 31.10

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
28.00 51.30 NA 26.00 19.7% 3.9%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
7,467 4,162 0.56 0 1 NA 50.39 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
31.84 41.87 56.15 11.53 12.78 0.90

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
37.06 33.77 40.04 27.83 35.87 43.91 44.80% 3.08 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 28.00-51.30 range: fade extremes
  • > 51.30: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 28.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 28.00-28.00
  • Trim: 51.30-51.30
  • Add: close > 51.30
  • Cut: close < 28.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 BNO @ 43.37 (2026-03-11 05:48 PM MYT)

• Current price is **43.37**. Key support is around **28.00**, and resistance is around **51.30**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **35.44 to 51.30**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **30.32 to 56.42**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 19.7%**, **below support 3.9%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 114.97% vs IV2 64.25%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **3.08x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution is **fairly balanced** between upside and downside tails.
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