Analysis Report
Updated: 2026-03-11 10:26:0317:48:02 MYT
Source File: combined-summary-20260311-102359.174802.md
Screening Source: screen-report-20260311-075708.131742.md
Extracted Symbols: CRCA, AXTI, UCO, UVXY, AAOI, USO, CGEM, BNO
US Stocks Screening Report (85 symbols)
Generated: 2026-03-11 10:2305:48 AMPM MYT
Topline Summary
| Symbol |
Spot |
Support |
Resistance |
Flip |
Regime |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
68% Range |
90% Range |
| CRCA |
70.77 |
70.20.00 |
91.2993.47 |
37.02NA |
TRANSITIONTREND |
12.1%16.4% |
44.3%1.6% |
50.2548.07 - 91.2993.47 |
37.0233.43 - 104.52108.11 |
| AXTI |
44.30 |
40.0034.39 |
45.0054.21 |
35.1922.15 |
TRANSITION |
51.8%17.2% |
30.3%20.5% |
34.5739 - 54.0321 |
28.3000 - 60.30 |
UCO |
34.26 |
31.00 |
35.00 |
NA |
TRANSITION |
51.5% |
33.4% |
24.93 - 43.59 |
18.91 - 49.61 |
UVXY |
49.80 |
47.00 |
50.00 |
26.71 |
TRANSITION |
48.3% |
31.9% |
39.89 - 59.71 |
33.50 - 66.1060 |
| AAOI |
120.49 |
120.00100.38 |
130.00140.60 |
98.9260.24 |
TRANSITION |
25.7%15.3% |
48.1%18.3% |
100.9438 - 140.0460 |
88.3487.41 - 152.64 |
USO |
105.86 |
100.00 |
106.00 |
111.30 |
TREND |
74.0% |
48.4% |
85.01 - 126.71 |
71.56 - 140.16153.57 |
| CGEM |
14.91 |
14.12.00 |
15.0018.45 |
NA |
TRENDTRANSITION |
54.8%13.0% |
57.3%20.2% |
11.37 - 18.45 |
9.6409 - 20.18 |
6.24 - 23.5873 |
| BNO |
43.37 |
41.28.00 |
45.0051.30 |
NA |
TRANSITIONTREND |
46.0%19.7% |
3.9% |
35.2% |
35.4544 - 51.2930 |
30.3432 - 56.4042 |
CRCA
Spot: 70.77
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:2305:47 AMPM MYT
Regime: TRANSITIONTREND
Dealer Gamma: LONGSHORT
Term Structure
| Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
| 2026-03-20 |
10 |
59.9351.20 |
184.80%202.31% |
21.3523.00 |
| 2026-04-17 |
38 |
69.7957.35 |
127.93%117.07% |
29.1026.52 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
| 68% |
50.2548.07 |
91.2993.47 |
41.0445.41 |
| 80% |
44.4741.67 |
97.0799.87 |
52.6058.19 |
| 90% |
37.0233.43 |
104.52108.11 |
67.5174.69 |
| 95% |
30.5526.27 |
110.99115.27 |
80.4489.00 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
70.20.00 |
91.2993.47 |
37.02NA |
1.00 |
12.1%16.4% |
44.3%1.6% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
| 1,335 |
275 |
0.21 |
5,773546 |
595493 |
0.1009 |
38.9255.62 vol pts |
PUT_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
64.6062.30 |
67.0063.50 |
69.4064.70 |
6.178.47 |
0.00 |
NA |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
| 43.05 |
41.54 |
35.0001 |
1.47 |
36.25 |
71.02 |
191.86% |
0.7172 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
70.20.00-91.2993.47 range: fade extremes
- >
91.29:93.47: chase only if hold + vol
- <
70.20.00: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime:
TRANSITIONTREND
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate:
70.20.00-70.20.00
- Trim:
91.29-91.2993.47-93.47
- Add: close >
91.2993.47
- Cut: close <
70.20.00
- Best for:
transitiontrend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CRCA @ 70.77 (2026-03-11 10:2305:47 AMPM MYT)
• Current price is **70.77**. Key support is around **70.20.00**, and resistance is around **91.29*93.47**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **50.2548.07 to 91.29*93.47**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **37.0233.43 to 104.52*108.11**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONGSHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION*TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **37.02**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 12.1%16.4%**, **below support 44.3%1.6%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 184.80%202.31% vs IV2 127.93%117.07%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.71x*72x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
AXTI
Spot: 44.30
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:2305:47 AMPM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONGNEUTRAL
Term Structure
| Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
| 2026-03-20 |
10 |
44.4149 |
149.34%153.17% |
10.8090 |
| 2026-04-17 |
38 |
44.4937 |
134.14%138.22% |
19.1060 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
| 68% |
34.5739 |
54.0321 |
19.4582 |
| 80% |
31.8460 |
56.7657.00 |
24.9325.40 |
| 90% |
28.3000 |
60.3060 |
32.0059 |
| 95% |
25.2424.88 |
63.3672 |
38.1384 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
40.0034.39 |
45.0054.21 |
35.1922.15 |
30.002.50 |
51.8%17.2% |
30.3%20.5% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
| 8,839 |
4,909 |
0.56 |
12,5970 |
14,0420 |
1.11NA |
-5.3746.87 vol pts |
CALL_SKEWPUT_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
17.135.69 |
41.118.46 |
57.5954.20 |
27.1738.61 |
13.299.90 |
2.043.90 |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
| 34.14 |
26.78 |
34.8488 |
17.48 |
33.06 |
48.63 |
94.23% |
1.6069 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
40.00-45.0034.39-54.21 range: fade extremes
- >
45.00:54.21: chase only if hold + vol
- <
40.00:34.39: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime: TRANSITION
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate:
40.00-40.0034.39-34.39
- Trim:
45.00-45.0054.21-54.21
- Add: close >
45.0054.21
- Cut: close <
40.0034.39
- Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AXTI @ 44.30 (2026-03-11 10:2305:47 AMPM MYT)
• Current price is **44.30**. Key support is around **40.00*34.39**, and resistance is around **45.00*54.21**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **34.5739 to 54.03*21**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **28.3000 to 60.30*60**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONGNEUTRAL gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **35.19*22.15**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 51.8%17.2%**, **below support 30.3%20.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls*puts**, which suggests upsidetraders speculationare ispaying relativelymore stronger.for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 149.34%153.17% vs IV2 134.14%138.22%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **1.60x*69x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
UCOAAOI
Spot: 34.26120.49
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:2305:47 AMPM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONGNEUTRAL
Term Structure
| Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
| 2026-03-13 |
3 |
121.12 |
133.94% |
13.15 |
| 2026-03-20 |
10 |
34.28120.82 |
173.44%116.56% |
9.70 |
2026-04-17 |
38 |
34.17 |
119.42% |
13.1522.56 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
| 68% |
24.93100.38 |
43.59140.60 |
18.6640.22 |
| 80% |
22.3094.72 |
46.22146.26 |
23.9251.54 |
| 90% |
18.9187.41 |
49.61153.57 |
30.7066.15 |
| 95% |
15.9781.08 |
52.55159.90 |
36.5878.83 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
31.00 |
35.00 |
NA |
11.00 |
51.5% |
33.4% |
Flow & Skew
Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
|---|
8,364 |
3,230 |
0.39 |
26,116 |
13,305 |
0.51 |
-48.83 vol pts |
CALL_SKEW |
Tail Risk
Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
|---|
20.11 |
27.34 |
38.05 |
14.15 |
3.79 |
3.73 |
Daily Technicals
EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
|---|
27.62 |
24.59 |
30.53 |
19.06 |
26.53 |
33.99 |
56.31% |
4.05 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
31.00-35.00 range: fade extremes
> 35.00: chase only if hold + vol
< 31.00: risk expand; reduce size
Regime: TRANSITION
Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
Accumulate: 31.00-31.00
Trim: 35.00-35.00
Add: close > 35.00
Cut: close < 31.00
Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UCO @ 34.26 (2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT)
• Current price is **34.26**. Key support is around **31.00**, and resistance is around **35.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **24.93 to 43.59**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **18.91 to 49.61**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 51.5%**, **below support 33.4%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 173.44% vs IV2 119.42%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **4.05x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
UVXY
Spot: 49.80
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG
Term Structure
Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
|---|
2026-03-13 |
3 |
48.87 |
179.54% |
7.74 |
2026-03-20 |
10 |
47.55 |
134.38% |
10.93 |
Weekly Range
Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
|---|
68% |
39.89 |
59.71 |
19.82 |
80% |
37.10 |
62.50 |
25.40 |
90% |
33.50 |
66.10 |
32.60 |
95% |
30.100.38 |
69.22140.60 |
38.85 |
Structure & Probabilities
Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
|---|
47.00 |
50.00 |
26.71 |
5.00 |
48.3% |
31.9% |
Flow & Skew
Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
|---|
17,508 |
8,017 |
0.46 |
28,645 |
15,392 |
0.54 |
-37.21 vol pts |
CALL_SKEW |
Tail Risk
Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
|---|
30.28 |
41.43 |
59.84 |
19.52 |
10.04 |
1.95 |
Daily Technicals
EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
|---|
42.60.24 |
41.09 |
41.94 |
31.90 |
41.04 |
50.18 |
44.53% |
0.92 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
47.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
> 50.00: chase only if hold + vol
< 47.00: risk expand; reduce size
Regime: TRANSITION
Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
Accumulate: 47.00-47.00
Trim: 50.00-50.00
Add: close > 50.00
Cut: close < 47.00
Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UVXY @ 49.80 (2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT)
• Current price is **49.80**. Key support is around **47.00**, and resistance is around **50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **39.89 to 59.71**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **33.50 to 66.10**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **26.71**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 48.3%**, **below support 31.9%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 179.54% vs IV2 134.38%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
AAOI
Spot: 120.49
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG
Term Structure
Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
|---|
2026-03-13 |
3 |
120.58 |
126.16% |
13.15 |
2026-03-20 |
10 |
121.11 |
113.37% |
22.30 |
Weekly Range
Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
|---|
68% |
100.94 |
140.04 |
39.09 |
80% |
95.44 |
145.54 |
50.10 |
90% |
88.34 |
152.64 |
64.30 |
95% |
82.18 |
158.80 |
76.62 |
Structure & Probabilities
Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
|---|
120.00 |
130.00 |
98.92 |
19.00 |
25.7%15.3% |
48.1%18.3% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
| 12,056 |
6,104 |
0.51 |
8,6630 |
10,8340 |
1.25NA |
8.20886.13 vol pts |
PUT_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
22.3334.28 |
103.7035.40 |
136.79131.85 |
98.1686.21 |
16.3011.36 |
6.027.59 |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
| 78.19 |
58.09 |
84.5961 |
15.92 |
70.15 |
124.38 |
154.61% |
1.4748 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
120.00-130.00100.38-140.60 range: fade extremes
- >
130.00:140.60: chase only if hold + vol
- <
120.00:100.38: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime: TRANSITION
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate:
120.00-120.00100.38-100.38
- Trim:
130.00-130.00140.60-140.60
- Add: close >
130.00140.60
- Cut: close <
120.00100.38
- Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOI @ 120.49 (2026-03-11 10:2305:47 AMPM MYT)
• Current price is **120.49**. Key support is around **120.00*100.38**, and resistance is around **130.00*140.60**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **100.9438 to 140.04*60**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **88.3487.41 to 152.64*153.57**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONGNEUTRAL gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **98.92*60.24**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 25.7%15.3%**, **below support 48.1%18.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 126.16%133.94% vs IV2 113.37%116.56%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
USOCGEM
Spot: 105.8614.91
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:2305:47 AMPM MYT
Regime: TRENDTRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: SHORTLONG
Term Structure
| Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
2026-03-1120 |
110 |
105.7515.69 |
194.46%157.40% |
9.233.77 |
2026-03-1304-17 |
338 |
105.9814.56 |
151.51%125.72% |
13.886.00 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
| 68% |
85.0111.37 |
126.7118.45 |
41.717.08 |
| 80% |
79.1310.38 |
132.5919.44 |
53.459.07 |
| 90% |
71.569.09 |
140.1620.73 |
68.6111.64 |
| 95% |
64.997.98 |
146.7321.84 |
81.7513.87 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
100.12.00 |
106.00 |
111.30 |
61.00 |
74.0% |
48.4% |
Flow & Skew
Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
|---|
61,073 |
84,495 |
1.38 |
32,827 |
45,379 |
1.38 |
-52.15 vol pts |
CALL_SKEW |
Tail Risk
Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
|---|
61.32 |
62.42 |
63.93 |
44.54 |
0.00 |
NA |
Daily Technicals
EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
|---|
88.90 |
81.17 |
97.03 |
64.91 |
85.70 |
106.49 |
48.51% |
4.19 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
100.00-106.00 range: fade extremes
> 106.00: chase only if hold + vol
< 100.00: risk expand; reduce size
Regime: TREND
Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
Accumulate: 100.00-100.00
Trim: 106.00-106.00
Add: close > 106.00
Cut: close < 100.00
Best for: trend regime
Bias: upside breakout more favored
Raw Text Summary
📌 USO @ 105.86 (2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT)
• Current price is **105.86**. Key support is around **100.00**, and resistance is around **106.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **85.01 to 126.71**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **71.56 to 140.16**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **111.30**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 74.0%**, **below support 48.4%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 194.46% vs IV2 151.51%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **4.19x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
CGEM
Spot: 14.91
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:23 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT
Term Structure
Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
|---|
2026-03-20 |
10 |
14.51 |
218.78% |
5.33 |
2026-04-17 |
38 |
14.43 |
123.64% |
5.92 |
Weekly Range
Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
|---|
68% |
9.64 |
20.18 |
10.54 |
80% |
8.16 |
21.66 |
13.50 |
90% |
6.24 |
23.58 |
17.33 |
95% |
4.58 |
25.24 |
20.65 |
Structure & Probabilities
Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
|---|
14.00 |
15.0018.45 |
NA |
15.7.00 |
54.8%13.0% |
57.3%20.2% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
| 14 |
790 |
56.43 |
367 |
1,8440 |
51.220.00 |
117.9710.94 vol pts |
PUT_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
8.5303 |
13.6812.37 |
15.7916.55 |
6.38 |
0.88 |
7.221.64 |
4.21 |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
| 14.42 |
12.88 |
14.3233 |
10.93 |
14.12 |
17.32 |
45.20% |
1.1315 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
14.12.00-15.0018.45 range: fade extremes
- >
15.00:18.45: chase only if hold + vol
- <
14.12.00: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime:
TRENDTRANSITION
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate:
14.12.00-14.12.00
- Trim:
15.00-15.0018.45-18.45
- Add: close >
15.0018.45
- Cut: close <
14.12.00
- Best for:
trendtransition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CGEM @ 14.91 (2026-03-11 10:2305:47 AMPM MYT)
• Current price is **14.91**. Key support is around **14.12.00**, and resistance is around **15.00*18.45**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **9.6411.37 to 20.18*18.45**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **6.249.09 to 23.58*20.73**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORTLONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND*TRANSITION**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 54.8%13.0%**, **below support 57.3%20.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 218.78%157.40% vs IV2 123.64%125.72%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
BNO
Spot: 43.37
Report Time: 2026-03-11 10:2305:48 AMPM MYT
Regime: TRANSITIONTREND
Dealer Gamma: LONGSHORT
Term Structure
| Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
| 2026-03-20 |
10 |
41.6655 |
113.14%114.97% |
8.01 |
| 2026-04-17 |
38 |
42.1921 |
63.99%64.25% |
8.92 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
| 68% |
35.4544 |
51.2930 |
15.8587 |
| 80% |
33.2120 |
53.5354 |
20.3134 |
| 90% |
30.3432 |
56.4042 |
26.0710 |
| 95% |
27.8482 |
58.9092 |
31.0610 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
41.28.00 |
45.0051.30 |
NA |
26.00 |
46.0%19.7% |
35.2%3.9% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
| 7,467 |
4,162 |
0.56 |
10,5850 |
2,7821 |
0.26NA |
-17.0150.39 vol pts |
CALL_SKEWPUT_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
33.2031.84 |
41.8687 |
55.08 |
10.1756.15 |
11.7153 |
12.78 |
0.8790 |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
| 37.06 |
33.77 |
40.04 |
27.83 |
35.87 |
43.91 |
44.80% |
3.0608 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
41.28.00-45.0051.30 range: fade extremes
- >
45.00:51.30: chase only if hold + vol
- <
41.28.00: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime:
TRANSITIONTREND
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate:
41.28.00-41.28.00
- Trim:
45.00-45.0051.30-51.30
- Add: close >
45.0051.30
- Cut: close <
41.28.00
- Best for:
transitiontrend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 BNO @ 43.37 (2026-03-11 10:2305:48 AMPM MYT)
• Current price is **43.37**. Key support is around **41.28.00**, and resistance is around **45.00*51.30**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **35.4544 to 51.29*30**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **30.3432 to 56.40*42**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONGSHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION*TREND**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 46.0%19.7%**, **below support 35.2%3.9%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls*puts**, which suggests upsidetraders speculationare ispaying relativelymore stronger.for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 113.14%114.97% vs IV2 63.99%64.25%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **3.06x*08x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution showsis **morefairly balanced** between upside tail potential** thanand downside tail risk.tails.