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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-12 08:42:50 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260312-084250.md


Screening Source: screen-report-20260312-084221.md Extracted Symbols: CRCA, UCO, USO, AXTI, AAOI

US Stocks Screening Report (5 symbols)

Generated: 2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
CRCA 64.24 20.00 70.00 35.32 TRANSITION 33.2% 0.3% 47.73 - 80.75 37.09 - 91.39
UCO 36.14 35.00 40.00 NA TRANSITION 37.0% 41.4% 26.99 - 45.29 21.10 - 51.18
USO 108.05 105.00 110.00 98.25 TRANSITION 50.5% 40.1% 88.97 - 127.13 76.67 - 139.43
AXTI 47.36 45.00 56.59 41.73 TRANSITION 14.2% 35.6% 38.13 - 56.59 32.18 - 62.54
AAOI 127.01 120.00 130.00 109.13 TRANSITION 36.4% 36.2% 106.03 - 147.99 92.50 - 161.52

CRCA

Spot: 64.24
Report Time: 2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 9 57.31 170.95% 17.05
2026-04-17 37 64.72 121.86% 24.85

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 47.73 80.75 33.02
80% 43.08 85.40 42.31
90% 37.09 91.39 54.31
95% 31.88 96.60 64.71

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
20.00 70.00 35.32 1.00 33.2% 0.3%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
1,262 278 0.22 5,806 594 0.10 -11.08 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
62.30 63.50 64.70 1.94 0.46 4.22

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
45.07 42.43 36.89 2.31 38.42 74.53 187.99% 0.75 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 20.00-70.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 70.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 20.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 20.00-20.00
  • Trim: 70.00-70.00
  • Add: close > 70.00
  • Cut: close < 20.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CRCA @ 64.24 (2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **64.24**. Key support is around **20.00**, and resistance is around **70.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **47.73 to 80.75**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **37.09 to 91.39**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **35.32**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 33.2%**, **below support 0.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 170.95% vs IV2 121.86%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.75x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

UCO

Spot: 36.14
Report Time: 2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 9 36.18 169.32% 9.50
2026-04-17 37 36.03 125.96% 14.45

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 26.99 45.29 18.29
80% 24.42 47.86 23.44
90% 21.10 51.18 30.09
95% 18.21 54.07 35.85

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
35.00 40.00 NA 11.00 37.0% 41.4%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
5,096 3,072 0.60 24,504 13,235 0.54 -41.02 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
23.31 27.89 37.38 12.83 1.24 10.36

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
28.43 25.04 30.95 18.68 27.15 35.62 62.40% 1.65 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 35.00-40.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 40.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 35.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 35.00-35.00
  • Trim: 40.00-40.00
  • Add: close > 40.00
  • Cut: close < 35.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UCO @ 36.14 (2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **36.14**. Key support is around **35.00**, and resistance is around **40.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **26.99 to 45.29**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **21.10 to 51.18**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 37.0%**, **below support 41.4%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 169.32% vs IV2 125.96%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **1.65x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

USO

Spot: 108.05
Report Time: 2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-13 2 107.97 136.97% 10.40
2026-03-18 7 107.54 125.62% 18.53

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 88.97 127.13 38.16
80% 83.60 132.50 48.90
90% 76.67 139.43 62.76
95% 70.66 145.44 74.79

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
105.00 110.00 98.25 50.00 50.5% 40.1%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
28,402 40,482 1.43 49,282 49,475 1.00 -31.74 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
62.97 102.54 121.14 45.08 13.09 3.44

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
90.73 82.22 98.16 64.50 87.20 109.90 52.07% 2.17 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 105.00-110.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 110.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 105.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 105.00-105.00
  • Trim: 110.00-110.00
  • Add: close > 110.00
  • Cut: close < 105.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 USO @ 108.05 (2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **108.05**. Key support is around **105.00**, and resistance is around **110.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **88.97 to 127.13**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **76.67 to 139.43**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **98.25**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 50.5%**, **below support 40.1%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 136.97% vs IV2 125.62%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **2.17x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AXTI

Spot: 47.36
Report Time: 2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 9 47.36 136.00% 10.00
2026-04-17 37 47.64 127.38% 19.15

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 38.13 56.59 18.46
80% 35.53 59.19 23.65
90% 32.18 62.54 30.36
95% 29.27 65.45 36.18

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.00 56.59 41.73 35.00 14.2% 35.6%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
4,006 11,789 2.94 13,234 15,437 1.17 0.39 vol pts FLAT

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
21.20 43.99 58.42 26.16 11.06 2.36

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
35.40 27.59 35.97 17.96 34.21 50.46 95.01% 1.26 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-56.59 range: fade extremes
  • > 56.59: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 56.59-56.59
  • Add: close > 56.59
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AXTI @ 47.36 (2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **47.36**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **56.59**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **38.13 to 56.59**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **32.18 to 62.54**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **41.73**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 14.2%**, **below support 35.6%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is fairly balanced, so there is **no strong directional bias** from skew alone.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 136.00% vs IV2 127.38%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AAOI

Spot: 127.01
Report Time: 2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-13 2 126.36 123.81% 11.05
2026-03-20 9 125.88 116.90% 23.05

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 106.03 147.99 41.97
80% 100.12 153.90 53.78
90% 92.50 161.52 69.03
95% 85.88 168.14 82.25

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
120.00 130.00 109.13 19.00 36.4% 36.2%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
9,982 5,929 0.59 10,377 13,276 1.28 5.22 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
68.47 124.60 145.29 58.54 18.28 3.20

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
82.84 60.79 87.54 15.27 74.08 132.88 158.77% 1.08 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 120.00-130.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 130.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 120.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 120.00-120.00
  • Trim: 130.00-130.00
  • Add: close > 130.00
  • Cut: close < 120.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOI @ 127.01 (2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **127.01**. Key support is around **120.00**, and resistance is around **130.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **106.03 to 147.99**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **92.50 to 161.52**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **109.13**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 36.4%**, **below support 36.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 123.81% vs IV2 116.90%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.