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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-12 15:42:33 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260312-154233.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260312-154220.md Extracted Symbols: AXTI, AAOI

US Stocks Screening Report (2 symbols)

Generated: 2026-03-12 03:42 PM MYT

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AXTI 47.36 37.99 56.73 23.68 TRANSITION 15.3% 18.3% 37.99 - 56.73 31.94 - 62.78
AAOI 127.01 105.70 148.32 63.51 TRANSITION 15.3% 18.3% 105.70 - 148.32 91.96 - 162.06

AXTI

Spot: 47.36
Report Time: 2026-03-12 03:42 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: NEUTRAL

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 9 47.29 138.31% 10.00
2026-04-17 37 46.72 128.22% 19.20

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 37.99 56.73 18.75
80% 35.35 59.37 24.03
90% 31.94 62.78 30.84
95% 28.99 65.73 36.74

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
37.99 56.73 23.68 2.50 15.3% 18.3%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
4,006 11,789 2.94 0 0 NA 37.50 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
5.62 8.09 55.48 41.74 8.12 5.14

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
35.40 27.59 35.97 17.96 34.21 50.46 95.01% 1.26 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 37.99-56.73 range: fade extremes
  • > 56.73: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 37.99: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 37.99-37.99
  • Trim: 56.73-56.73
  • Add: close > 56.73
  • Cut: close < 37.99
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AXTI @ 47.36 (2026-03-12 03:42 PM MYT)

• Current price is **47.36**. Key support is around **37.99**, and resistance is around **56.73**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **37.99 to 56.73**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **31.94 to 62.78**.
• Dealer positioning looks **NEUTRAL gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **23.68**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 15.3%**, **below support 18.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 138.31% vs IV2 128.22%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AAOI

Spot: 127.01
Report Time: 2026-03-12 03:42 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: NEUTRAL

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-13 2 125.95 142.56% 11.65
2026-03-20 9 125.84 118.11% 22.90

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 105.70 148.32 42.62
80% 99.70 154.32 54.62
90% 91.96 162.06 70.11
95% 85.24 168.78 83.54

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
105.70 148.32 63.51 19.00 15.3% 18.3%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
9,982 5,929 0.59 0 0 NA 285.11 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
40.74 65.94 129.97 86.27 2.96 29.13

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
82.84 60.79 87.54 15.27 74.08 132.88 158.77% 1.08 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 105.70-148.32 range: fade extremes
  • > 148.32: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 105.70: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 105.70-105.70
  • Trim: 148.32-148.32
  • Add: close > 148.32
  • Cut: close < 105.70
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AAOI @ 127.01 (2026-03-12 03:42 PM MYT)

• Current price is **127.01**. Key support is around **105.70**, and resistance is around **148.32**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **105.70 to 148.32**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **91.96 to 162.06**.
• Dealer positioning looks **NEUTRAL gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **63.51**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 15.3%**, **below support 18.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 142.56% vs IV2 118.11%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
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