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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-12 08:15:42:5033 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260312-084250.154233.md


Screening Source: screen-report-20260312-084221.154220.md Extracted Symbols: CRCA, UCO, USO, AXTI, AAOI

US Stocks Screening Report (52 symbols)

Generated: 2026-03-12 08:03:42 AMPM MYT

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
CRCA64.2420.0070.0035.32TRANSITION33.2%0.3%47.73 - 80.7537.09 - 91.39
UCO36.1435.0040.00NATRANSITION37.0%41.4%26.99 - 45.2921.10 - 51.18
USO108.05105.00110.0098.25TRANSITION50.5%40.1%88.97 - 127.1376.67 - 139.43
AXTI 47.36 45.0037.99 56.5973 41.7323.68 TRANSITION 14.2%15.3% 35.6%18.3% 38.1337.99 - 56.5973 32.1831.94 - 62.5478
AAOI 127.01 120.00105.70 130.00148.32 109.1363.51 TRANSITION 36.4%15.3% 36.2%18.3% 106.03105.70 - 147.99148.32 92.5091.96 - 161.52162.06

CRCAAXTI

Spot: 64.2447.36
Report Time: 2026-03-12 08:03:42 AMPM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONGNEUTRAL

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 9 57.3147.29 170.95%138.31% 17.0510.00
2026-04-17 37 64.46.72 121.86%128.22% 24.8519.20

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 47.37.9956.73 80.18.7533.02
80% 43.0835.35 85.4059.37 42.3124.03
90% 37.0931.94 91.3962.78 54.3130.84
95% 31.8828.99 96.6065.73 64.7136.74

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
20.0037.99 70.0056.73 35.3223.68 1.0033.2%0.3%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
1,2622780.225,8065940.10-11.08 vol ptsCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
62.3063.2.50 64.701.940.464.22

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
45.0742.4336.892.3138.4274.53187.99%0.75UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 20.00-70.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 70.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 20.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 20.00-20.00
  • Trim: 70.00-70.00
  • Add: close > 70.00
  • Cut: close < 20.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CRCA @ 64.24 (2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **64.24**. Key support is around **20.00**, and resistance is around **70.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **47.73 to 80.75**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **37.09 to 91.39**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **35.32**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 33.2%**, **below support 0.15.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 170.95% vs IV2 121.86%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.75x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

UCO

Spot: 36.14
Report Time: 2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20936.18169.32%9.50
2026-04-173736.03125.96%14.45

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%26.9945.29 18.29
80%24.4247.8623.44
90%21.1051.1830.09
95%18.2154.0735.85

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
35.0040.00NA11.0037.0%41.4%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
5,0963,0720.6024,50413,2350.54-41.02 vol ptsCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
23.3127.8937.3812.831.2410.36

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
28.4325.0430.9518.6827.1535.6262.40%1.65UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 35.00-40.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 40.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 35.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 35.00-35.00
  • Trim: 40.00-40.00
  • Add: close > 40.00
  • Cut: close < 35.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UCO @ 36.14 (2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **36.14**. Key support is around **35.00**, and resistance is around **40.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **26.99 to 45.29**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **21.10 to 51.18**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 37.0%**, **below support 41.4%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 169.32% vs IV2 125.96%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **1.65x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

USO

Spot: 108.05
Report Time: 2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-132107.97136.97%10.40
2026-03-187107.54125.62%18.53

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%88.97127.1338.16
80%83.60132.5048.90
90%76.67139.4362.76
95%70.66145.4474.79

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
105.00110.0098.2550.0050.5%40.1%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
28,40240,4821.4349,28249,4751.00-31.74 vol ptsCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
62.97102.54121.1445.0813.093.44

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
90.7382.2298.1664.5087.20109.9052.07%2.17UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 105.00-110.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 110.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 105.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 105.00-105.00
  • Trim: 110.00-110.00
  • Add: close > 110.00
  • Cut: close < 105.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 USO @ 108.05 (2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **108.05**. Key support is around **105.00**, and resistance is around **110.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **88.97 to 127.13**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **76.67 to 139.43**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **98.25**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 50.5%**, **below support 40.1%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 136.97% vs IV2 125.62%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **2.17x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AXTI

Spot: 47.36
Report Time: 2026-03-12 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20947.36136.00%10.00
2026-04-173747.64127.38%19.15

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%38.1356.5918.46
80%35.5359.1923.65
90%32.1862.5430.36
95%29.2765.4536.18

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
45.0056.5941.7335.0014.2%35.6%3%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
4,006 11,789 2.94 13,2340 15,4370 1.17NA 0.3937.50 vol pts FLATPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
21.205.62 43.998.09 58.4255.48 26.1641.74 11.068.12 2.365.14

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
35.40 27.59 35.97 17.96 34.21 50.46 95.01% 1.26 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-37.99-56.5973 range: fade extremes
  • > 56.59:73: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00:37.99: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.0037.99-37.99
  • Trim: 56.59-73-56.5973
  • Add: close > 56.5973
  • Cut: close < 45.0037.99
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AXTI @ 47.36 (2026-03-12 08:03:42 AMPM MYT)

• Current price is **47.36**. Key support is around **45.00*37.99**, and resistance is around **56.59*73**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **38.1337.99 to 56.59*73**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **32.1831.94 to 62.54*78**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONGNEUTRAL gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **41.73*23.68**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 14.2%15.3%**, **below support 35.6%18.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is fairlytilted balanced, so there istoward **noputs**, strongwhich directionalsuggests bias**traders fromare skewpaying alone.more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 136.00%138.31% vs IV2 127.38%128.22%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AAOI

Spot: 127.01
Report Time: 2026-03-12 08:03:42 AMPM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONGNEUTRAL

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-13 2 126.36125.95 123.81%142.56% 11.0565
2026-03-20 9 125.8884 116.90%118.11% 23.0522.90

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 106.03105.70 147.99148.32 41.9742.62
80% 100.1299.70 153.90154.32 53.7854.62
90% 92.5091.96 161.52162.06 69.0370.11
95% 85.8824 168.1478 82.2583.54

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
120.00105.70 130.00148.32 109.1363.51 19.00 36.4%15.3% 36.2%18.3%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
9,982 5,929 0.59 10,3770 13,2760 1.28NA 5.22285.11 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
68.4740.74 124.6065.94 145.29129.97 58.5486.27 18.282.96 3.2029.13

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
82.84 60.79 87.54 15.27 74.08 132.88 158.77% 1.08 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 120.00-130.00105.70-148.32 range: fade extremes
  • > 130.00:148.32: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 120.00:105.70: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 120.00-120.00105.70-105.70
  • Trim: 130.00-130.00148.32-148.32
  • Add: close > 130.00148.32
  • Cut: close < 120.00105.70
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOI @ 127.01 (2026-03-12 08:03:42 AMPM MYT)

• Current price is **127.01**. Key support is around **120.00*105.70**, and resistance is around **130.00*148.32**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **106.03105.70 to 147.99*148.32**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **92.5091.96 to 161.52*162.06**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONGNEUTRAL gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **109.13*63.51**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 36.4%15.3%**, **below support 36.2%18.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 123.81%142.56% vs IV2 116.90%118.11%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.