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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-12 15:42:3319:17:22 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260312-154233.191635.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260312-154220.md Extracted Symbols: AXTI, AAOI

US Stocks Screening Report (2 symbols)

Generated: 2026-03-12 03:4207:16 PM MYT

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AXTI 47.36 37.9945.00 56.7381 23.68NA TRANSITIONTREND 15.3%17.6% 18.53.3% 37.9991 - 56.7381 31.9482 - 62.7890
AAOI 127.01 105.70124.00 148.32145.00 63.126.54TREND22.4%59.0%105.51 - 148.51 TRANSITION15.3%18.3%105.70 - 148.3291.9664 - 162.0638

AXTI

Spot: 47.36
Report Time: 2026-03-12 03:4207:16 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITIONTREND
Dealer Gamma: NEUTRALSHORT

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 9 47.29 138.31%139.54% 10.00
2026-04-17 37 46.72 128.22%48% 19.20

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 37.9991 56.7381 18.7590
80% 35.3525 59.3747 24.0322
90% 31.9482 62.7890 30.8431.09
95% 28.9984 65.7388 36.7437.04

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
37.9945.00 56.7381 23.68NA 2.5045.00 15.3%17.6% 18.53.3%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
4,006 11,789 2.94 0382 01,285 NA3.36 37.50 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
5.62 8.09 55.48 41.74 8.12 5.14

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
35.40 27.59 35.97 17.96 34.21 50.46 95.01% 1.26 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 37.99-45.00-56.7381 range: fade extremes
  • > 56.73:81: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 37.99:45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITIONTREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 37.99-37.9945.00-45.00
  • Trim: 56.73-81-56.7381
  • Add: close > 56.7381
  • Cut: close < 37.9945.00
  • Best for: transitiontrend regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AXTI @ 47.36 (2026-03-12 03:4207:16 PM MYT)

• Current price is **47.36**. Key support is around **37.99*45.00**, and resistance is around **56.73*81**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **37.9991 to 56.73*81**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **31.9482 to 62.78*90**.
• Dealer positioning looks **NEUTRALSHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION*TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **23.68**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 15.3%17.6%**, **below support 18.53.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 138.31%139.54% vs IV2 128.22%48%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AAOI

Spot: 127.01
Report Time: 2026-03-12 03:4207:16 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITIONTREND
Dealer Gamma: NEUTRALSHORT

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-13 2 125.95 142.56%150.13% 11.65
2026-03-20 9 125.84 118.11%119.15% 22.90

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 105.7051 148.3251 42.6243.01
80% 99.7045 154.3257 54.6255.12
90% 91.9664 162.0638 70.1174
95% 85.2484.86 168.78169.16 83.5484.29

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
105.70124.00 148.32145.00 63.51126.54 19.00 15.3%22.4% 18.3%59.0%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
9,982 5,929 0.59 02,013 03,097 NA1.54 285.11263.23 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
40.74 65.94 129.97 86.27 2.96 29.13

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
82.84 60.79 87.54 15.27 74.08 132.88 158.77% 1.08 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 105.70-148.32124.00-145.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 148.32:145.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 105.70:124.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITIONTREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 105.70-105.70124.00-124.00
  • Trim: 148.32-148.32145.00-145.00
  • Add: close > 148.32145.00
  • Cut: close < 105.70124.00
  • Best for: transitiontrend regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AAOI @ 127.01 (2026-03-12 03:4207:16 PM MYT)

• Current price is **127.01**. Key support is around **105.70*124.00**, and resistance is around **148.32*145.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **105.7051 to 148.32*51**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **91.9664 to 162.06*38**.
• Dealer positioning looks **NEUTRALSHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION*TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **63.51*126.54**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 15.3%22.4%**, **below support 18.3%59.0%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 142.56%150.13% vs IV2 118.11%119.15%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
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