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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-12 19:17:2234:03 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260312-191635.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260312-154220.md Extracted Symbols: AXTI, AAOI

US Stocks Screening Report (2 symbols)

Generated: 2026-03-12 07:16 PM MYT

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AXTI 47.36 45.00 56.81 NA TREND 17.6% 53.3% 37.91 - 56.81 31.82 - 62.90
AAOI 127.01 124.00 145.00 126.54 TREND 22.4% 59.0% 105.51 - 148.51 91.64 - 162.38

AXTI

Spot: 47.36
Report Time: 2026-03-12 07:16 PM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUTAXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 9 47.29 139.54% 10.00
2026-04-17 37 46.72 128.48% 19.20

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 37.91 56.81 18.90
80% 35.25 59.47 24.22
90% 31.82 62.90 31.09
95% 28.84 65.88 37.04

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.00 56.81 NA 45.00 17.6% 53.3%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
4,006 11,789 2.94 382 1,285 3.36 37.50 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
5.62 8.09 55.48 41.74 8.12 5.14

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
35.40 27.59 35.97 17.96 34.21 50.46 95.01% 1.26 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-56.81 range: fade extremes
  • > 56.81: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 56.81-56.81
  • Add: close > 56.81
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AXTI @ 47.36 (2026-03-12 07:16 PM MYT)

• Current price is **47.36**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **56.81**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **37.91 to 56.81**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **31.82 to 62.90**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 17.6%**, **below support 53.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 139.54% vs IV2 128.48%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AAOI

Spot: 127.01
Report Time: 2026-03-12 07:16 PM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUTAAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-13 2 125.95 150.13% 11.65
2026-03-20 9 125.84 119.15% 22.90

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 105.51 148.51 43.01
80% 99.45 154.57 55.12
90% 91.64 162.38 70.74
95% 84.86 169.16 84.29

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
124.00 145.00 126.54 19.00 22.4% 59.0%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
9,982 5,929 0.59 2,013 3,097 1.54 263.23 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
40.74 65.94 129.97 86.27 2.96 29.13

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
82.84 60.79 87.54 15.27 74.08 132.88 158.77% 1.08 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 124.00-145.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 145.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 124.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 124.00-124.00
  • Trim: 145.00-145.00
  • Add: close > 145.00
  • Cut: close < 124.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AAOI @ 127.01 (2026-03-12 07:16 PM MYT)

• Current price is **127.01**. Key support is around **124.00**, and resistance is around **145.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **105.51 to 148.51**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **91.64 to 162.38**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **126.54**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 22.4%**, **below support 59.0%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 150.13% vs IV2 119.15%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
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