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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-12 21:29:20 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260312-212718.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260312-154220.md Extracted Symbols: AXTI, AAOI

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AXTI 47.36 45.00 50.00 46.70 TREND 43.4% 53.4% 37.86 - 56.86 31.74 - 62.98
AAOI 127.01 125.00 130.00 127.01 TREND 49.4% 61.5% 105.39 - 148.63 91.45 - 162.57

AXTI

Spot: 47.36
Report Time: 2026-03-12 09:27 PM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

AXTI Daily Candles EMA

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 9 47.29 140.30% 10.00
2026-04-17 37 46.72 128.65% 19.20

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 37.86 56.86 18.99
80% 35.19 59.53 24.34
90% 31.74 62.98 31.24
95% 28.75 65.97 37.22

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.00 50.00 46.70 40.00 43.4% 53.4%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
4,006 11,789 2.94 14,020 23,554 1.68 37.50 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
5.62 8.09 55.48 41.74 8.12 5.14

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
35.40 27.59 35.97 17.96 34.21 50.46 95.01% 1.26 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 50.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 50.00-50.00
  • Add: close > 50.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AXTI @ 47.36 (2026-03-12 09:27 PM MYT)

• Current price is **47.36**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **37.86 to 56.86**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **31.74 to 62.98**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **46.70**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 43.4%**, **below support 53.4%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 140.30% vs IV2 128.65%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AAOI

Spot: 127.01
Report Time: 2026-03-12 09:27 PM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

AAOI Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-13 2 125.95 155.39% 11.65
2026-03-20 9 125.84 119.80% 22.90

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 105.39 148.63 43.24
80% 99.30 154.72 55.42
90% 91.45 162.57 71.13
95% 84.63 169.39 84.75

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
125.00 130.00 127.01 19.00 49.4% 61.5%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
9,982 5,929 0.59 11,869 14,474 1.22 263.23 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
40.74 65.94 129.97 86.27 2.96 29.13

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
82.84 60.79 87.54 15.27 74.08 132.88 158.77% 1.08 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 125.00-130.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 130.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 125.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 125.00-125.00
  • Trim: 130.00-130.00
  • Add: close > 130.00
  • Cut: close < 125.00
  • Best for: trend regime
  • Bias: downside break risk elevated
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AAOI @ 127.01 (2026-03-12 09:27 PM MYT)

• Current price is **127.01**. Key support is around **125.00**, and resistance is around **130.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **105.39 to 148.63**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **91.45 to 162.57**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **127.01**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 49.4%**, **below support 61.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 155.39% vs IV2 119.80%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
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