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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-13 08:43:04 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260313-084304.md


Screening Source: screen-report-20260313-084226.md Extracted Symbols: CF, CRCA, BNO, UCO, AXTI, USO

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
CF 136.00 123.00 152.93 115.35 TRANSITION 14.6% 24.3% 119.07 - 152.93 108.16 - 163.84
CRCA 65.72 20.00 70.00 40.77 TRANSITION 30.5% 0.3% 48.97 - 82.47 38.16 - 93.28
BNO 48.25 45.00 50.00 NA TRANSITION 40.5% 42.9% 36.61 - 59.89 29.10 - 67.40
UCO 39.87 35.00 40.00 NA TRANSITION 45.5% 34.5% 29.81 - 49.93 23.32 - 56.42
AXTI 46.73 45.00 50.00 55.93 TREND 47.7% 47.1% 37.67 - 55.79 31.82 - 61.64
USO 118.39 115.00 120.00 105.91 TRANSITION 43.7% 41.5% 89.05 - 147.73 70.13 - 166.65

CF

Spot: 136.00
Report Time: 2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

CF Daily Candles EMA

CF Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-13 1 133.82 431.83% 27.55
2026-03-20 8 129.18 78.85% 15.68

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 119.07 152.93 33.85
80% 114.31 157.69 43.39
90% 108.16 163.84 55.69
95% 102.82 169.18 66.35

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
123.00 152.93 115.35 50.00 14.6% 24.3%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
377 405 1.07 1,924 3,811 1.98 639.49 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
82.36 83.81 125.24 53.64 0.00 NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
107.00 97.51 110.19 82.18 103.93 125.68 41.86% 2.85 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 123.00-152.93 range: fade extremes
  • > 152.93: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 123.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 123.00-123.00
  • Trim: 152.93-152.93
  • Add: close > 152.93
  • Cut: close < 123.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CF @ 136.00 (2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **136.00**. Key support is around **123.00**, and resistance is around **152.93**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **119.07 to 152.93**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **108.16 to 163.84**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **115.35**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 14.6%**, **below support 24.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 431.83% vs IV2 78.85%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **2.85x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

CRCA

Spot: 65.72
Report Time: 2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

CRCA Daily Candles EMA

CRCA Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 8 57.12 176.45% 16.95
2026-04-17 36 64.76 121.01% 24.90

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 48.97 82.47 33.51
80% 44.25 87.19 42.94
90% 38.16 93.28 55.11
95% 32.88 98.56 65.67

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
20.00 70.00 40.77 1.00 30.5% 0.3%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
1,253 274 0.22 5,798 599 0.10 13.72 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
64.60 67.00 69.40 1.12 3.68 0.30

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
47.04 43.35 38.37 3.84 40.74 77.63 181.13% 0.38 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 20.00-70.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 70.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 20.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 20.00-20.00
  • Trim: 70.00-70.00
  • Add: close > 70.00
  • Cut: close < 20.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CRCA @ 65.72 (2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **65.72**. Key support is around **20.00**, and resistance is around **70.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **48.97 to 82.47**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **38.16 to 93.28**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **40.77**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 30.5%**, **below support 0.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 176.45% vs IV2 121.01%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.38x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **more upside tail potential** than downside tail risk.

BNO

Spot: 48.25
Report Time: 2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

BNO Daily Candles EMA

BNO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 8 42.58 165.19% 11.65
2026-04-17 36 44.60 79.10% 11.95

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 36.61 59.89 23.29
80% 33.33 63.17 29.84
90% 29.10 67.40 38.31
95% 25.43 71.07 45.64

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.00 50.00 NA 26.00 40.5% 42.9%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
3,907 2,082 0.53 13,979 5,223 0.37 184.86 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
41.26 42.32 55.17 6.99 6.92 1.01

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
38.73 34.72 41.11 27.25 37.21 47.17 53.54% 1.77 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 50.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 50.00-50.00
  • Add: close > 50.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 BNO @ 48.25 (2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **48.25**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **36.61 to 59.89**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **29.10 to 67.40**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 40.5%**, **below support 42.9%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 165.19% vs IV2 79.10%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **1.77x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution is **fairly balanced** between upside and downside tails.

UCO

Spot: 39.87
Report Time: 2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UCO Daily Candles EMA

UCO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 8 39.85 175.88% 10.25
2026-04-17 36 40.06 138.19% 17.25

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 29.81 49.93 20.12
80% 26.98 52.76 25.79
90% 23.32 56.42 33.10
95% 20.15 59.59 39.44

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
35.00 40.00 NA 11.00 45.5% 34.5%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
4,551 2,607 0.57 25,531 15,227 0.60 63.97 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
25.13 30.41 37.92 14.74 0.00 NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
29.52 25.62 31.79 17.89 27.94 38.00 71.99% 1.84 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 35.00-40.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 40.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 35.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 35.00-35.00
  • Trim: 40.00-40.00
  • Add: close > 40.00
  • Cut: close < 35.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UCO @ 39.87 (2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **39.87**. Key support is around **35.00**, and resistance is around **40.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **29.81 to 49.93**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **23.32 to 56.42**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 45.5%**, **below support 34.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 175.88% vs IV2 138.19%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **1.84x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

AXTI

Spot: 46.73
Report Time: 2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

AXTI Daily Candles EMA

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 8 46.92 136.89% 9.35
2026-04-17 36 47.12 128.16% 18.75

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 37.67 55.79 18.13
80% 35.11 58.35 23.23
90% 31.82 61.64 29.82
95% 28.96 64.50 35.53

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.00 50.00 55.93 40.00 47.7% 47.1%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
5,269 2,864 0.54 14,020 23,554 1.68 -15.33 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
6.35 42.92 57.26 40.38 10.53 3.84

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
36.48 28.34 37.17 18.43 35.21 51.98 95.29% 1.32 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 50.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 50.00-50.00
  • Add: close > 50.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AXTI @ 46.73 (2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **46.73**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **37.67 to 55.79**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **31.82 to 61.64**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **55.93**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 47.7%**, **below support 47.1%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 136.89% vs IV2 128.16%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

USO

Spot: 118.39
Report Time: 2026-03-13 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

USO Daily Candles EMA

USO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-13 1 112.12 138.22% 7.67
2026-03-18 6 107.22 174.90% 26.10

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 89.05 147.73 58.68
80% 80.79 155.99 75.20
90% 70.13 166.65 96.52
95% 60.88 175.90 115.01

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
115.00 120.00 105.91 50.00 43.7% 41.5%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
53,518 74,405 1.39 54,970 68,457 1.25 -1.56 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
61.49 113.37 121.59 56.90 3.20 17.77

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
93.36 83.64 100.65 62.93 89.18 115.43 58.88% 2.32 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 115.00-120.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 120.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 115.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 115.00-115.00
  • Trim: 120.00-120.00
  • Add: close > 120.00
  • Cut: close < 115.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 USO @ 118.39 (2026-03-13 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **118.39**. Key support is around **115.00**, and resistance is around **120.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **89.05 to 147.73**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **70.13 to 166.65**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **105.91**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 43.7%**, **below support 41.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is fairly balanced, so there is **no strong directional bias** from skew alone.
• Near-term implied volatility is lower than the next expiry (**IV1 138.22% vs IV2 174.90%**), which suggests a **contango / calmer front expiry** setup.
• Recent volume is **2.32x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.