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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-1213 21:29:2008:43:04 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260312-212718.20260313-084304.md


Screening Source: screen-report-20260312-154220.20260313-084226.md Extracted Symbols: CF, CRCA, BNO, UCO, AXTI, AAOIUSO

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AXTICF 47.36136.00123.00152.93115.35TRANSITION14.6%24.3%119.07 - 152.93108.16 - 163.84
CRCA65.7220.0070.0040.77TRANSITION30.5%0.3%48.97 - 82.4738.16 - 93.28
BNO48.25 45.00 50.00 NATRANSITION40.5%42.9%36.61 - 59.8929.10 - 67.40
UCO39.8735.0040.00NATRANSITION45.5%34.5%29.81 - 49.9323.32 - 56.42
AXTI46.707345.0050.0055.93 TREND 43.4%47.7% 53.4%47.1% 37.8667 - 56.8655.79 31.7482 - 62.9861.64
AAOIUSO 127.01118.39 125.115.00 130.120.00 127.01105.91 TRENDTRANSITION 49.4%43.7% 61.41.5% 105.3989.05 - 148.63147.73 91.4570.13 - 162.57166.65

AXTICF

Spot: 47.36136.00
Report Time: 2026-03-1213 09:2708:42 PMAM MYT
Regime: TRENDTRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: SHORTLONG

AXTI Daily Candles EMACF Daily Candles EMA

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUTCF Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-131133.82431.83%27.55
2026-03-208129.1878.85%15.68

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%119.07152.9333.85
80%114.31157.6943.39
90%108.16163.8455.69
95%102.82169.1866.35

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
123.00152.93115.3550.0014.6%24.3%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
3774051.071,9243,8111.98639.49 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
82.3683.81125.2453.640.00NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
107.0097.51110.1982.18103.93125.6841.86%2.85UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 123.00-152.93 range: fade extremes
  • > 152.93: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 123.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 123.00-123.00
  • Trim: 152.93-152.93
  • Add: close > 152.93
  • Cut: close < 123.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CF @ 136.00 (2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **136.00**. Key support is around **123.00**, and resistance is around **152.93**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **119.07 to 152.93**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **108.16 to 163.84**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **115.35**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 14.6%**, **below support 24.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 431.83% vs IV2 78.85%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **2.85x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

CRCA

Spot: 65.72
Report Time: 2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

CRCA Daily Candles EMA

CRCA Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 98 47.2957.12 140.30%176.45% 10.0016.95
2026-04-17 3736 46.7264.76 128.65%121.01% 19.2024.90

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 37.8648.97 56.8682.47 18.9933.51
80% 35.44.2587.19 59.5324.3442.94
90% 31.7438.16 62.9893.28 31.2455.11
95% 28.7532.8898.56 65.9767

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
20.00 37.70.0040.771.0030.5%0.3%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
1,2532740.225,7985990.1013.72 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
64.6067.0069.401.123.680.30

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
47.0443.3538.373.8440.7477.63181.13%0.38UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 20.00-70.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 70.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 20.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 20.00-20.00
  • Trim: 70.00-70.00
  • Add: close > 70.00
  • Cut: close < 20.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CRCA @ 65.72 (2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **65.72**. Key support is around **20.00**, and resistance is around **70.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **48.97 to 82.47**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **38.16 to 93.28**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **40.77**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 30.5%**, **below support 0.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 176.45% vs IV2 121.01%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.38x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **more upside tail potential** than downside tail risk.

BNO

Spot: 48.25
Report Time: 2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

BNO Daily Candles EMA

BNO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20842.58165.19%11.65
2026-04-173644.6079.10%11.95

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%36.6159.8923.29
80%33.3363.1729.84
90%29.1067.4038.31
95%25.4371.0745.64

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.00 50.00 46.70NA26.0040.5%42.9%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
3,9072,0820.5313,9795,2230.37184.86 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
41.2642.3255.176.996.921.01

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
38.7334.7241.1127.2537.2147.1753.54%1.77UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 50.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 50.00-50.00
  • Add: close > 50.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 BNO @ 48.25 (2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **48.25**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **36.61 to 59.89**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **29.10 to 67.40**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 40.5%**, **below support 42.9%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 165.19% vs IV2 79.10%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **1.77x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution is **fairly balanced** between upside and downside tails.

UCO

Spot: 39.87
Report Time: 2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UCO Daily Candles EMA

UCO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20839.85175.88%10.25
2026-04-173640.06138.19%17.25

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%29.8149.9320.12
80%26.9852.7625.79
90%23.3256.4233.10
95%20.1559.5939.44

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
35.00 40.00 43.4%NA 53.4%11.0045.5%34.5%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
4,006551 11,7892,607 2.940.57 14,02025,531 23,55415,227 1.680.60 37.5063.97 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
5.6225.13 8.0930.41 55.4837.92 41.14.74 8.120.00 5.14NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
35.4029.5225.6231.7917.89 27.599438.0071.99%1.84UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 35.00-40.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 40.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 35.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 35.00-35.00
  • Trim: 40.00-40.00
  • Add: close > 40.00
  • Cut: close < 35.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UCO @ 39.87 (2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **39.87**. Key support is around **35.00**, and resistance is around **40.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **29.81 to 49.93**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **23.32 to 56.42**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 45.5%**, **below support 34.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 175.88% vs IV2 138.19%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **1.84x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

AXTI

Spot: 46.73
Report Time: 2026-03-13 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

AXTI Daily Candles EMA

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20846.92136.89%9.35
2026-04-173647.12128.16%18.75

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%37.6755.7918.13
80% 35.9711 17.58.3523.23
90%31.8261.6429.82
95%28.96 34.64.5035.53

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
45.0050.0055.9340.0047.7%47.1%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
5,2692,8640.5414,02023,5541.68-15.33 vol ptsCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
6.3542.9257.2640.3810.533.84

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
36.4828.3437.1718.4335.21 50.4651.98 95.01%29% 1.2632 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 50.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 50.00-50.00
  • Add: close > 50.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AXTI @ 47.3646.73 (2026-03-1213 09:2708:42 PMAM MYT)

• Current price is **47.36*46.73**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **37.8667 to 56.86*55.79**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **31.7482 to 62.98*61.64**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **46.70*55.93**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 43.4%47.7%**, **below support 53.4%47.1%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts*calls**, which suggests tradersupside arespeculation payingis morerelatively for downside protection.stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 140.30%136.89% vs IV2 128.65%16%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AAOIUSO

Spot: 127.01118.39
Report Time: 2026-03-1213 09:2708:43 PMAM MYT
Regime: TRENDTRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: SHORTLONG

AAOI Daily Candles EMAUSO Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUTUSO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-13 21 125.95112.12 155.39%138.22% 11.657.67
2026-03-2018 96 125.84107.22 119.80%174.90% 22.9026.10

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 105.3989.05 148.63147.73 43.2458.68
80% 99.3080.79 154.72155.99 55.4275.20
90% 91.4570.13 162.57166.65 71.1396.52
95% 84.6360.88 169.39175.90 84.75115.01

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
125.115.00 130.120.00 127.01105.91 19.50.00 49.4%43.7% 61.41.5%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
9,98253,518 5,9290.5911,86914,47474,405 1.2239 263.2354,97068,4571.25-1.56 vol pts PUT_SKEWCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
40.7461.49 65.94113.37 129.97121.59 86.2756.90 2.963.20 29.1317.77

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
82.8493.36 60.7983.64 87.54100.65 15.2762.93 74.0889.18 132.88115.43 158.77%58.88% 1.082.32 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 125.115.00-130.120.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 130.120.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 125.115.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRENDTRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 125.115.00-125.115.00
  • Trim: 130.120.00-130.120.00
  • Add: close > 130.120.00
  • Cut: close < 125.115.00
  • Best for: trendtransition regime
  • Bias: downside break risk elevated
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOIUSO @ 127.01118.39 (2026-03-1213 09:2708:43 PMAM MYT)

• Current price is **127.01*118.39**. Key support is around **125.115.00**, and resistance is around **130.120.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **105.3989.05 to 148.63*147.73**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **91.4570.13 to 162.57*166.65**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORTLONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND*TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **127.01*105.91**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 49.4%43.7%**, **below support 61.41.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tiltedfairly towardbalanced, so there is **puts*no strong directional bias**, whichfrom suggestsskew traders are paying more for downside protection.alone.
• Near-term implied volatility is higherlower than the next expiry (**IV1 155.39%138.22% vs IV2 119.80%174.90%**), which suggests a **near-term event stresscontango / backwardation*calmer front expiry**. setup.
• Recent volume is **2.32x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.