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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-13 15:42:39 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260313-154239.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260313-154225.md Extracted Symbols: AXTI, AAOI

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AXTI 46.73 37.56 55.90 23.36 TRANSITION 16.7% 16.7% 37.56 - 55.90 31.65 - 61.81
AAOI 106.19 80.56 131.82 53.10 TRANSITION 15.7% 18.8% 80.56 - 131.82 64.03 - 148.35

AXTI

Spot: 46.73
Report Time: 2026-03-13 03:42 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: NEUTRAL

AXTI Daily Candles EMA

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 8 47.05 138.77% 9.30
2026-04-17 36 46.66 127.51% 18.58

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 37.56 55.90 18.33
80% 34.98 58.48 23.50
90% 31.65 61.81 30.16
95% 28.76 64.70 35.94

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
37.56 55.90 23.36 2.50 16.7% 16.7%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
5,269 2,864 0.54 0 0 NA 0.00 vol pts FLAT

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
5.63 8.17 54.72 41.10 7.99 5.14

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
36.48 28.34 37.18 18.43 35.21 51.98 95.29% 1.33 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 37.56-55.90 range: fade extremes
  • > 55.90: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 37.56: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 37.56-37.56
  • Trim: 55.90-55.90
  • Add: close > 55.90
  • Cut: close < 37.56
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AXTI @ 46.73 (2026-03-13 03:42 PM MYT)

• Current price is **46.73**. Key support is around **37.56**, and resistance is around **55.90**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **37.56 to 55.90**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **31.65 to 61.81**.
• Dealer positioning looks **NEUTRAL gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **23.36**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 16.7%**, **below support 16.7%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is fairly balanced, so there is **no strong directional bias** from skew alone.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 138.77% vs IV2 127.51%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AAOI

Spot: 106.19
Report Time: 2026-03-13 03:42 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: NEUTRAL

AAOI Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-13 1 106.94 167.51% 6.66
2026-03-20 8 119.19 171.38% 26.10

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 80.56 131.82 51.27
80% 73.34 139.04 65.70
90% 64.03 148.35 84.33
95% 55.95 156.43 100.48

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
80.56 131.82 53.10 19.00 15.7% 18.8%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
13,438 10,453 0.78 0 0 NA 1373.44 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
22.42 41.61 111.59 83.77 5.40 15.51

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
85.06 62.57 89.91 17.80 76.97 136.14 153.76% 1.52 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 80.56-131.82 range: fade extremes
  • > 131.82: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 80.56: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 80.56-80.56
  • Trim: 131.82-131.82
  • Add: close > 131.82
  • Cut: close < 80.56
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AAOI @ 106.19 (2026-03-13 03:42 PM MYT)

• Current price is **106.19**. Key support is around **80.56**, and resistance is around **131.82**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **80.56 to 131.82**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **64.03 to 148.35**.
• Dealer positioning looks **NEUTRAL gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **53.10**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 15.7%**, **below support 18.8%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is lower than the next expiry (**IV1 167.51% vs IV2 171.38%**), which suggests a **contango / calmer front expiry** setup.
• Recent volume is **1.52x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
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