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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-15 15:44:06 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260315-154406.md


Screening Source: screen-report-20260315-154316.md Extracted Symbols: AAOI, MULL, CRCA, AXTI, UCO, UVXY, USO, TERN

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AAOI 96.81 90.00 120.00 86.27 TREND 9.5% 45.7% 79.87 - 113.75 68.95 - 124.67
MULL 175.65 155.00 180.00 138.37 TREND 50.5% 39.2% 137.33 - 213.97 112.62 - 238.68
CRCA 67.11 20.00 70.00 42.65 TRANSITION 31.2% 0.0% 54.55 - 79.67 46.45 - 87.77
AXTI 48.86 45.00 50.00 52.87 TRANSITION 44.5% 28.5% 39.07 - 58.65 32.75 - 64.97
UCO 40.26 40.00 45.00 20.53 TRANSITION 29.9% 40.1% 31.01 - 49.51 25.05 - 55.47
UVXY 52.29 50.00 55.00 33.92 TRANSITION 35.9% 31.3% 42.31 - 62.27 35.87 - 68.71
USO 119.89 112.00 125.00 108.87 TRANSITION 32.7% 33.9% 100.09 - 139.69 87.32 - 152.46
TERN 46.52 45.00 55.00 44.69 TRANSITION 12.1% 46.2% 38.95 - 54.09 34.07 - 58.97

AAOI

Spot: 96.81
Report Time: 2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

AAOI Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 6 104.50 133.70% 15.90
2026-03-27 13 99.63 110.23% 19.75

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 79.87 113.75 33.87
80% 75.11 118.51 43.41
90% 68.95 124.67 55.72
95% 63.62 130.00 66.39

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
90.00 120.00 86.27 1.00 9.5% 45.7%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
11,537 4,641 0.40 30,176 26,709 0.89 12.79 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
12.34 13.71 127.14 84.47 30.33 2.79

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
86.18 63.92 91.43 21.94 79.61 137.28 144.88% 1.40 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 90.00-120.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 120.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 90.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 90.00-90.00
  • Trim: 120.00-120.00
  • Add: close > 120.00
  • Cut: close < 90.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOI @ 96.81 (2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT)

• Current price is **96.81**. Key support is around **90.00**, and resistance is around **120.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **79.87 to 113.75**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **68.95 to 124.67**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **86.27**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 9.5%**, **below support 45.7%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 133.70% vs IV2 110.23%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

MULL

Spot: 175.65
Report Time: 2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

MULL Daily Candles EMA

MULL Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 6 174.85 168.70% 36.40
2026-04-17 34 174.56 113.43% 60.35

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 137.33 213.97 76.64
80% 126.54 224.76 98.22
90% 112.62 238.68 126.07
95% 100.54 250.76 150.22

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
155.00 180.00 138.37 9.65 50.5% 39.2%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
938 598 0.64 1,702 1,329 0.78 22.97 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
9.75 10.16 10.57 165.90 0.00 NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
162.27 148.39 164.47 139.03 165.97 192.90 32.46% 0.96 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 155.00-180.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 180.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 155.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 155.00-155.00
  • Trim: 180.00-180.00
  • Add: close > 180.00
  • Cut: close < 155.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 MULL @ 175.65 (2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT)

• Current price is **175.65**. Key support is around **155.00**, and resistance is around **180.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **137.33 to 213.97**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **112.62 to 238.68**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **138.37**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 50.5%**, **below support 39.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 168.70% vs IV2 113.43%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

CRCA

Spot: 67.11
Report Time: 2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

CRCA Daily Candles EMA

CRCA Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 6 63.33 136.47% 11.25
2026-04-17 34 66.27 123.48% 25.10

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 54.55 79.67 25.12
80% 51.01 83.21 32.19
90% 46.45 87.77 41.32
95% 42.49 91.73 49.24

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
20.00 70.00 42.65 1.00 31.2% 0.0%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
1,225 275 0.22 5,792 598 0.10 70.02 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
28.80 37.50 41.10 38.31 0.00 NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
48.95 44.28 39.42 6.02 43.16 80.31 172.11% 0.48 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 20.00-70.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 70.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 20.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 20.00-20.00
  • Trim: 70.00-70.00
  • Add: close > 70.00
  • Cut: close < 20.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CRCA @ 67.11 (2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT)

• Current price is **67.11**. Key support is around **20.00**, and resistance is around **70.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **54.55 to 79.67**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **46.45 to 87.77**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **42.65**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 31.2%**, **below support 0.0%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 136.47% vs IV2 123.48%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.48x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

AXTI

Spot: 48.86
Report Time: 2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

AXTI Daily Candles EMA

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 6 48.99 149.12% 8.95
2026-04-17 34 49.17 123.65% 18.30

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 39.07 58.65 19.59
80% 36.31 61.41 25.10
90% 32.75 64.97 32.22
95% 29.67 68.05 38.39

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.00 50.00 52.87 40.00 44.5% 28.5%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
6,369 4,945 0.78 15,051 23,903 1.59 -7.71 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
32.50 46.61 61.87 16.36 13.01 1.26

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
37.66 29.14 38.29 19.33 36.41 53.49 93.82% 1.16 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 50.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 50.00-50.00
  • Add: close > 50.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AXTI @ 48.86 (2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT)

• Current price is **48.86**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **39.07 to 58.65**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **32.75 to 64.97**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **52.87**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 44.5%**, **below support 28.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 149.12% vs IV2 123.65%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

UCO

Spot: 40.26
Report Time: 2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UCO Daily Candles EMA

UCO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 6 40.34 171.88% 8.50
2026-04-17 34 40.02 138.58% 16.90

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 31.01 49.51 18.49
80% 28.41 52.11 23.70
90% 25.05 55.47 30.41
95% 22.14 58.38 36.24

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
40.00 45.00 20.53 11.00 29.9% 40.1%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
3,468 3,613 1.04 24,083 15,404 0.64 -43.83 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
27.89 38.06 52.25 12.37 11.99 1.03

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
30.55 26.20 32.39 17.70 28.83 39.95 77.20% 1.20 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 40.00-45.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 45.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 40.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 40.00-40.00
  • Trim: 45.00-45.00
  • Add: close > 45.00
  • Cut: close < 40.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UCO @ 40.26 (2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT)

• Current price is **40.26**. Key support is around **40.00**, and resistance is around **45.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **31.01 to 49.51**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **25.05 to 55.47**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **20.53**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 29.9%**, **below support 40.1%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 171.88% vs IV2 138.58%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution is **fairly balanced** between upside and downside tails.

UVXY

Spot: 52.29
Report Time: 2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UVXY Daily Candles EMA

UVXY Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 6 51.73 136.23% 8.75
2026-03-27 13 51.52 134.64% 13.03

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 42.31 62.27 19.97
80% 39.50 65.08 25.59
90% 35.87 68.71 32.84
95% 32.72 71.86 39.14

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
50.00 55.00 33.92 1.00 35.9% 31.3%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
15,366 8,517 0.55 56,103 24,092 0.43 -51.56 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
12.26 13.28 49.90 40.03 0.00 NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
44.25 42.08 43.37 32.32 42.89 53.46 49.28% 0.63 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 50.00-55.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 55.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 50.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 50.00-50.00
  • Trim: 55.00-55.00
  • Add: close > 55.00
  • Cut: close < 50.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UVXY @ 52.29 (2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT)

• Current price is **52.29**. Key support is around **50.00**, and resistance is around **55.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **42.31 to 62.27**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **35.87 to 68.71**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **33.92**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 35.9%**, **below support 31.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 136.23% vs IV2 134.64%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.63x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

USO

Spot: 119.89
Report Time: 2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

USO Daily Candles EMA

USO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-18 4 111.80 119.10% 14.00
2026-03-20 6 108.24 117.81% 17.35

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 100.09 139.69 39.61
80% 94.51 145.27 50.76
90% 87.32 152.46 65.15
95% 81.08 158.70 77.63

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
112.00 125.00 108.87 69.00 32.7% 33.9%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
19,659 28,676 1.46 16,628 16,313 0.98 48.19 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
120.21 121.06 121.91 0.00 2.02 0.00

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
95.89 85.06 102.09 62.48 91.35 120.22 63.20% 1.35 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 112.00-125.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 125.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 112.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 112.00-112.00
  • Trim: 125.00-125.00
  • Add: close > 125.00
  • Cut: close < 112.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 USO @ 119.89 (2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT)

• Current price is **119.89**. Key support is around **112.00**, and resistance is around **125.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **100.09 to 139.69**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **87.32 to 152.46**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **108.87**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 32.7%**, **below support 33.9%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 119.10% vs IV2 117.81%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **more upside tail potential** than downside tail risk.

TERN

Spot: 46.52
Report Time: 2026-03-15 03:44 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

TERN Daily Candles EMA

TERN Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 6 45.64 122.06% 6.97
2026-04-17 34 43.77 97.23% 13.70

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 38.95 54.09 15.14
80% 36.82 56.22 19.40
90% 34.07 58.97 24.90
95% 31.69 61.35 29.67

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.00 55.00 44.69 40.00 12.1% 46.2%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
864 189 0.22 2,709 3,042 1.12 124.12 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
42.97 48.74 49.75 3.55 3.23 1.10

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
42.40 38.95 42.14 37.12 42.01 46.90 23.27% 2.09 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-55.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 55.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 55.00-55.00
  • Add: close > 55.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 TERN @ 46.52 (2026-03-15 03:44 PM MYT)

• Current price is **46.52**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **55.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **38.95 to 54.09**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **34.07 to 58.97**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **44.69**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 12.1%**, **below support 46.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 122.06% vs IV2 97.23%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **2.09x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.