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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-15 08:43:3415:44:06 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260315-084334.154406.md


Screening Source: screen-report-20260315-084243.154316.md Extracted Symbols: AAOI, MULL, AAOI,CRCA, AXTI, UCO, CRCA, UVXY, AXTI, USO, TERN

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AAOI96.8190.00120.0086.27TREND9.5%45.7%79.87 - 113.7568.95 - 124.67
MULL 175.65 155.00 180.00 137.70138.37 TREND 50.5% 39.0%2% 137.6433 - 213.6697 113.14112.62 - 238.1668
AAOICRCA 96.8167.11 90.20.00 120.70.00 85.5942.65 TRENDTRANSITION 9.3%31.2%0.0%54.55 - 79.6746.45 - 87.77
AXTI48.86 45.0050.0052.87TRANSITION44.5% 80.0428.5%39.07 - 113.5858.65 69.2332.75 - 124.3964.97
UCO 40.26 40.00 45.00 20.3153 TRANSITION 29.6%9% 40.1% 31.1401 - 49.3851 25.2505 - 55.27
CRCA67.1120.0070.0042.11TRANSITION31.1%0.0%54.76 - 79.4646.80 - 87.4247
UVXY 52.29 50.00 55.00 33.6492 TRANSITION 32.6%35.9% 28.5%31.3% 42.5031 - 62.0827 36.1935.87 - 68.39
AXTI48.8645.0050.0053.12TRANSITION44.5%28.3%39.20 - 58.5232.98 - 64.7471
USO 119.89 112.00 125.00 108.7087 TRANSITION 29.32.7% 30.7%33.9% 100.4809 - 139.3069 87.9632 - 151.82152.46
TERN 46.52 45.00 55.00 44.7169 TRANSITION 11.8%12.1% 46.1%2% 39.0538.95 - 53.9954.09 34.2307 - 58.8197

MULL

Spot: 175.65
Report Time: 2026-03-15 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

MULL Daily Candles EMA

MULL Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-206174.85164.40%36.40
2026-04-1734174.56112.94%60.35

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%137.64213.6676.01
80%126.94224.3697.41
90%113.14238.16125.03
95%101.16250.14148.98

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
155.00180.00137.709.6550.5%39.0%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
9385980.641,7021,3290.7821.83 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
9.7510.1610.57165.900.00NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
162.27148.39164.47139.03165.97192.9032.46%0.96UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 155.00-180.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 180.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 155.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 155.00-155.00
  • Trim: 180.00-180.00
  • Add: close > 180.00
  • Cut: close < 155.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 MULL @ 175.65 (2026-03-15 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **175.65**. Key support is around **155.00**, and resistance is around **180.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **137.64 to 213.66**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **113.14 to 238.16**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **137.70**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 50.5%**, **below support 39.0%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 164.40% vs IV2 112.94%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

AAOI

Spot: 96.81
Report Time: 2026-03-15 08:4203:43 AMPM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

AAOI Daily Candles EMAAAOI Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUTAAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 6 104.50 130.29%133.70% 15.90
2026-03-27 13 99.63 108.96%110.23% 19.75

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 80.0479.87 113.5875 33.5387
80% 75.3211 118.3051 42.9743.41
90% 69.2368.95 124.3967 55.1672
95% 63.9562 129.67130.00 65.7266.39

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
90.00 120.00 85.5986.27 1.00 9.3%5% 45.5%7%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
11,537 4,641 0.40 30,176 26,709 0.89 12.79 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
12.34 13.71 127.14 84.47 30.33 2.79

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
86.18 63.92 91.43 21.94 79.61 137.28 144.88% 1.40 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 90.00-120.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 120.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 90.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 90.00-90.00
  • Trim: 120.00-120.00
  • Add: close > 120.00
  • Cut: close < 90.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOI @ 96.81 (2026-03-15 08:4203:43 AMPM MYT)

• Current price is **96.81**. Key support is around **90.00**, and resistance is around **120.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **80.0479.87 to 113.58*75**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **69.2368.95 to 124.39*67**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **85.59*86.27**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 9.3%5%**, **below support 45.5%7%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 130.29%133.70% vs IV2 108.96%110.23%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

UCOMULL

Spot: 40.26175.65
Report Time: 2026-03-15 08:03:43 AMPM MYT
Regime: TRANSITIONTREND
Dealer Gamma: LONGSHORT

UCO Daily Candles EMAMULL Daily Candles EMA

UCO Option Chain CALL vs PUTMULL Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 6 40.34174.85 167.49%168.70% 8.5036.40
2026-04-17 34 40.02174.56 137.98%113.43% 16.9060.35

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 31.14137.33 49.38213.97 18.2576.64
80% 28.57126.54 51.95224.76 23.3998.22
90% 25.25112.62 55.27238.68 30.02126.07
95% 22.38100.54 58.14250.76 35.77150.22

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
40.155.00 45.180.00 20.31138.37 11.009.65 29.6%50.5% 40.1%39.2%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
3,468938 3,6131.0424,08315,404598 0.64 -37.771,7021,3290.7822.97 vol pts CALL_SKEWPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
27.899.75 38.0610.16 52.2510.57 12.37165.90 11.990.00 1.03NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
30.55162.27 26.20148.39164.47139.03165.97192.90 32.3946% 17.7028.8339.9577.20%1.200.96 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 40.155.00-45.180.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 45.180.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 40.155.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITIONTREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 40.155.00-40.155.00
  • Trim: 45.180.00-45.180.00
  • Add: close > 45.180.00
  • Cut: close < 40.155.00
  • Best for: transitiontrend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UCOMULL @ 40.26175.65 (2026-03-15 08:03:43 AMPM MYT)

• Current price is **40.26*175.65**. Key support is around **40.155.00**, and resistance is around **45.180.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **31.14137.33 to 49.38*213.97**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **25.25112.62 to 55.27*238.68**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONGSHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION*TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **20.31*138.37**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 29.6%50.5%**, **below support 40.1%39.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls*puts**, which suggests upsidetraders speculationare ispaying relativelymore stronger.for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 167.49%168.70% vs IV2 137.98%113.43%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution is **fairly balanced** between upside and downside tails.

CRCA

Spot: 67.11
Report Time: 2026-03-15 08:03:43 AMPM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

CRCA Daily Candles EMACRCA Daily Candles EMA

CRCA Option Chain CALL vs PUTCRCA Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 6 63.33 132.99%136.47% 11.25
2026-04-17 34 66.27 122.94%123.48% 25.10

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 54.7655 79.4667 24.7025.12
80% 51.2801 82.9483.21 31.6532.19
90% 46.8045 87.4277 40.6341.32
95% 42.9049 91.3273 48.4149.24

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
20.00 70.00 42.1165 1.00 31.1%2% 0.0%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
1,225 275 0.22 5,792 598 0.10 70.02 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
23.1728.80 25.2537.50 54.2541.10 43.9438.31 0.00 NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
48.95 44.28 39.42 6.02 43.16 80.31 172.11% 0.48 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 20.00-70.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 70.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 20.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 20.00-20.00
  • Trim: 70.00-70.00
  • Add: close > 70.00
  • Cut: close < 20.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CRCA @ 67.11 (2026-03-15 08:03:43 AMPM MYT)

• Current price is **67.11**. Key support is around **20.00**, and resistance is around **70.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **54.7655 to 79.46*67**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **46.8045 to 87.42*77**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **42.11*65**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 31.1%2%**, **below support 0.0%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 132.99%136.47% vs IV2 122.94%123.48%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.48x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

UVXY

Spot: 52.29
Report Time: 2026-03-15 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UVXY Daily Candles EMA

UVXY Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20651.73132.75%8.75
2026-03-271351.52133.09%13.03

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%42.5062.0819.57
80%39.7564.8325.09
90%36.1968.3932.20
95%33.1171.4738.36

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
50.0055.0033.641.0032.6%28.5%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
15,3668,5170.5556,10324,0920.43-51.56 vol ptsCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
12.2613.2849.9040.030.00NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
44.2542.0843.3732.3242.8953.4649.28%0.63UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 50.00-55.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 55.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 50.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 50.00-50.00
  • Trim: 55.00-55.00
  • Add: close > 55.00
  • Cut: close < 50.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UVXY @ 52.29 (2026-03-15 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **52.29**. Key support is around **50.00**, and resistance is around **55.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **42.50 to 62.08**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **36.19 to 68.39**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **33.64**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 32.6%**, **below support 28.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is lower than the next expiry (**IV1 132.75% vs IV2 133.09%**), which suggests a **contango / calmer front expiry** setup.
• Recent volume is only **0.63x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

AXTI

Spot: 48.86
Report Time: 2026-03-15 08:03:43 AMPM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

AXTI Daily Candles EMAAXTI Daily Candles EMA

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUTAXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 6 48.99 145.32%149.12% 8.95
2026-04-17 34 49.17 123.12%65% 18.30

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 39.2007 58.5265 19.3159
80% 36.4931 61.2341 24.7525.10
90% 32.9875 64.7497 31.7732.22
95% 29.9367 67.7968.05 37.8538.39

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.00 50.00 53.1252.87 40.00 44.5% 28.3%5%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
6,369 4,945 0.78 15,051 23,903 1.59 -7.71 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
32.50 46.61 61.87 16.36 13.01 1.26

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
37.66 29.14 38.29 19.33 36.41 53.49 93.82% 1.16 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 50.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 50.00-50.00
  • Add: close > 50.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AXTI @ 48.86 (2026-03-15 08:03:43 AMPM MYT)

• Current price is **48.86**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **39.2007 to 58.52*65**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **32.9875 to 64.74*97**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **53.12*52.87**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 44.5%**, **below support 28.3%5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 145.32%149.12% vs IV2 123.12%65%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

UCO

Spot: 40.26
Report Time: 2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UCO Daily Candles EMA

UCO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20640.34171.88%8.50
2026-04-173440.02138.58%16.90

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%31.0149.5118.49
80%28.4152.1123.70
90%25.0555.4730.41
95%22.1458.3836.24

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
40.0045.0020.5311.0029.9%40.1%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
3,4683,6131.0424,08315,4040.64-43.83 vol ptsCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
27.8938.0652.2512.3711.991.03

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
30.5526.2032.3917.7028.8339.9577.20%1.20UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 40.00-45.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 45.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 40.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 40.00-40.00
  • Trim: 45.00-45.00
  • Add: close > 45.00
  • Cut: close < 40.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UCO @ 40.26 (2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT)

• Current price is **40.26**. Key support is around **40.00**, and resistance is around **45.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **31.01 to 49.51**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **25.05 to 55.47**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **20.53**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 29.9%**, **below support 40.1%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 171.88% vs IV2 138.58%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution is **fairly balanced** between upside and downside tails.

UVXY

Spot: 52.29
Report Time: 2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UVXY Daily Candles EMA

UVXY Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20651.73136.23%8.75
2026-03-271351.52134.64%13.03

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%42.3162.2719.97
80%39.5065.0825.59
90%35.8768.7132.84
95%32.7271.8639.14

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
50.0055.0033.921.0035.9%31.3%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
15,3668,5170.5556,10324,0920.43-51.56 vol ptsCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
12.2613.2849.9040.030.00NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
44.2542.0843.3732.3242.8953.4649.28%0.63UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 50.00-55.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 55.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 50.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 50.00-50.00
  • Trim: 55.00-55.00
  • Add: close > 55.00
  • Cut: close < 50.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UVXY @ 52.29 (2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT)

• Current price is **52.29**. Key support is around **50.00**, and resistance is around **55.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **42.31 to 62.27**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **35.87 to 68.71**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **33.92**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 35.9%**, **below support 31.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 136.23% vs IV2 134.64%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.63x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

USO

Spot: 119.89
Report Time: 2026-03-15 08:03:43 AMPM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

USO Daily Candles EMAUSO Daily Candles EMA

USO Option Chain CALL vs PUTUSO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-18 4 111.80 114.44%119.10% 14.00
2026-03-20 6 108.24 114.117.81% 17.35

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 100.4809 139.3069 38.8239.61
80% 95.0194.51 144.77145.27 49.50.76
90% 87.9632 151.82152.46 63.8665.15
95% 81.8408 157.94158.70 76.1077.63

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
112.00 125.00 108.7087 69.00 29.32.7% 30.7%33.9%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
19,659 28,676 1.46 16,628 16,313 0.98 48.19 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
120.21 121.06 121.91 0.00 2.02 0.00

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
95.89 85.06 102.09 62.48 91.35 120.22 63.20% 1.35 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 112.00-125.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 125.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 112.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 112.00-112.00
  • Trim: 125.00-125.00
  • Add: close > 125.00
  • Cut: close < 112.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 USO @ 119.89 (2026-03-15 08:03:43 AMPM MYT)

• Current price is **119.89**. Key support is around **112.00**, and resistance is around **125.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **100.4809 to 139.30*69**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **87.9632 to 151.82*152.46**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **108.70*87**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 29.32.7%**, **below support 30.7%33.9%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is lowerhigher than the next expiry (**IV1 114.44%119.10% vs IV2 114.117.81%**), which suggests a **contangonear-term event stress / calmer front expiry*backwardation** setup..
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **more upside tail potential** than downside tail risk.

TERN

Spot: 46.52
Report Time: 2026-03-15 08:4303:44 AMPM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

TERN Daily Candles EMATERN Daily Candles EMA

TERN Option Chain CALL vs PUTTERN Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 6 45.64 118.95%122.06% 6.97
2026-04-17 34 43.77 96.81%97.23% 13.70

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 39.0538.95 53.9954.09 14.9415.14
80% 36.9582 56.0922 19.1540
90% 34.2307 58.8197 24.5890
95% 31.8869 61.1635 29.2967

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.00 55.00 44.7169 40.00 11.8%12.1% 46.1%2%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
864 189 0.22 2,709 3,042 1.12 124.12 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
42.97 48.74 49.75 3.55 3.23 1.10

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
42.40 38.95 42.14 37.12 42.01 46.90 23.27% 2.09 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-55.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 55.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 55.00-55.00
  • Add: close > 55.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 TERN @ 46.52 (2026-03-15 08:4303:44 AMPM MYT)

• Current price is **46.52**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **55.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **39.0538.95 to 53.99*54.09**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **34.2307 to 58.81*97**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **44.71*69**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 11.8%12.1%**, **below support 46.1%2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 118.95%122.06% vs IV2 96.81%97.23%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **2.09x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.