Skip to main content

Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-16 08:43:34 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260316-084334.md


Screening Source: screen-report-20260316-084244.md Extracted Symbols: AAOI, MULL, UVXY, CRCA, USO, AXTI, UCO, TERN

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AAOI 96.81 90.00 120.00 85.68 TREND 10.1% 46.1% 79.47 - 114.15 68.29 - 125.33
MULL 175.65 155.00 180.00 137.81 TREND 50.6% 39.7% 136.57 - 214.73 111.37 - 239.93
UVXY 52.29 50.00 55.00 33.68 TRANSITION 36.3% 31.6% 41.84 - 62.74 35.11 - 69.47
CRCA 67.11 20.00 70.00 42.18 TRANSITION 31.5% 0.0% 54.05 - 80.17 45.63 - 88.59
USO 119.89 112.00 125.00 108.75 TRANSITION 33.1% 34.5% 99.17 - 140.61 85.81 - 153.97
AXTI 48.86 45.00 50.00 53.09 TRANSITION 44.7% 28.9% 38.74 - 58.98 32.22 - 65.50
UCO 40.26 40.00 45.00 20.35 TRANSITION 30.4% 40.2% 30.73 - 49.79 24.58 - 55.94
TERN 46.52 45.00 55.00 44.71 TRANSITION 12.7% 46.5% 38.72 - 54.32 33.70 - 59.34

AAOI

Spot: 96.81
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

AAOI Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 5 104.50 143.22% 15.90
2026-03-27 12 99.63 113.48% 19.75

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 79.47 114.15 34.68
80% 74.59 119.03 44.45
90% 68.29 125.33 57.05
95% 62.82 130.80 67.98

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
90.00 120.00 85.68 1.00 10.1% 46.1%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
11,537 4,641 0.40 30,176 26,709 0.89 13.96 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
12.34 13.71 127.14 84.47 30.33 2.79

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
86.18 63.92 91.44 21.94 79.61 137.28 144.88% 1.41 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 90.00-120.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 120.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 90.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 90.00-90.00
  • Trim: 120.00-120.00
  • Add: close > 120.00
  • Cut: close < 90.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOI @ 96.81 (2026-03-16 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **96.81**. Key support is around **90.00**, and resistance is around **120.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **79.47 to 114.15**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **68.29 to 125.33**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **85.68**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 10.1%**, **below support 46.1%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 143.22% vs IV2 113.48%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

MULL

Spot: 175.65
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

MULL Daily Candles EMA

MULL Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 5 174.85 180.70% 36.40
2026-04-17 33 174.56 114.65% 60.35

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 136.57 214.73 78.16
80% 125.57 225.73 100.16
90% 111.37 239.93 128.56
95% 99.06 252.24 153.19

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
155.00 180.00 137.81 9.65 50.6% 39.7%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
938 598 0.64 1,702 1,329 0.78 23.90 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
9.75 10.16 10.57 165.90 0.00 NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
162.27 148.39 164.48 139.03 165.97 192.90 32.46% 0.97 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 155.00-180.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 180.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 155.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 155.00-155.00
  • Trim: 180.00-180.00
  • Add: close > 180.00
  • Cut: close < 155.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 MULL @ 175.65 (2026-03-16 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **175.65**. Key support is around **155.00**, and resistance is around **180.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **136.57 to 214.73**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **111.37 to 239.93**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **137.81**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 50.6%**, **below support 39.7%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 180.70% vs IV2 114.65%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

UVXY

Spot: 52.29
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UVXY Daily Candles EMA

UVXY Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 5 51.73 145.92% 8.75
2026-03-27 12 51.52 138.62% 13.03

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 41.84 62.74 20.89
80% 38.90 65.68 26.77
90% 35.11 69.47 34.36
95% 31.82 72.76 40.94

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
50.00 55.00 33.68 1.00 36.3% 31.6%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
15,366 8,517 0.55 56,103 24,092 0.43 -56.45 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
12.26 13.28 49.90 40.03 0.00 NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
44.25 42.08 43.37 32.32 42.89 53.46 49.28% 0.63 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 50.00-55.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 55.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 50.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 50.00-50.00
  • Trim: 55.00-55.00
  • Add: close > 55.00
  • Cut: close < 50.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UVXY @ 52.29 (2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **52.29**. Key support is around **50.00**, and resistance is around **55.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **41.84 to 62.74**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **35.11 to 69.47**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **33.68**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 36.3%**, **below support 31.6%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 145.92% vs IV2 138.62%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.63x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

CRCA

Spot: 67.11
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

CRCA Daily Candles EMA

CRCA Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 5 63.33 146.18% 11.25
2026-04-17 33 66.27 124.80% 25.10

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 54.05 80.17 26.12
80% 50.38 83.84 33.47
90% 45.63 88.59 42.96
95% 41.52 92.70 51.18

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
20.00 70.00 42.18 1.00 31.5% 0.0%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
1,225 275 0.22 5,792 598 0.10 76.66 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
30.08 32.80 60.15 37.03 0.00 NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
48.95 44.28 39.42 6.02 43.16 80.31 172.11% 0.48 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 20.00-70.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 70.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 20.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 20.00-20.00
  • Trim: 70.00-70.00
  • Add: close > 70.00
  • Cut: close < 20.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CRCA @ 67.11 (2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **67.11**. Key support is around **20.00**, and resistance is around **70.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **54.05 to 80.17**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **45.63 to 88.59**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **42.18**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 31.5%**, **below support 0.0%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 146.18% vs IV2 124.80%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.48x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

USO

Spot: 119.89
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

USO Daily Candles EMA

USO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-18 3 111.80 133.29% 14.00
2026-03-20 5 108.24 126.20% 17.35

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 99.17 140.61 41.44
80% 93.34 146.44 53.11
90% 85.81 153.97 68.16
95% 79.28 160.50 81.22

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
112.00 125.00 108.75 69.00 33.1% 34.5%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
19,659 28,676 1.46 16,628 16,313 0.98 55.66 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
120.21 121.06 121.91 0.00 2.02 0.00

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
95.89 85.06 102.09 62.48 91.35 120.22 63.20% 1.35 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 112.00-125.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 125.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 112.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 112.00-112.00
  • Trim: 125.00-125.00
  • Add: close > 125.00
  • Cut: close < 112.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 USO @ 119.89 (2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **119.89**. Key support is around **112.00**, and resistance is around **125.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **99.17 to 140.61**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **85.81 to 153.97**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **108.75**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 33.1%**, **below support 34.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 133.29% vs IV2 126.20%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **more upside tail potential** than downside tail risk.

AXTI

Spot: 48.86
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

AXTI Daily Candles EMA

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 5 48.99 159.73% 8.95
2026-04-17 33 49.17 124.98% 18.30

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 38.74 58.98 20.23
80% 35.90 61.82 25.93
90% 32.22 65.50 33.28
95% 29.03 68.69 39.66

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.00 50.00 53.09 40.00 44.7% 28.9%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
6,369 4,945 0.78 15,051 23,903 1.59 -8.50 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
32.50 46.61 61.87 16.36 13.01 1.26

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
37.66 29.14 38.30 19.33 36.41 53.49 93.82% 1.17 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 50.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 50.00-50.00
  • Add: close > 50.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AXTI @ 48.86 (2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **48.86**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **38.74 to 58.98**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **32.22 to 65.50**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **53.09**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 44.7%**, **below support 28.9%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 159.73% vs IV2 124.98%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

UCO

Spot: 40.26
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UCO Daily Candles EMA

UCO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 5 40.34 184.11% 8.50
2026-04-17 33 40.02 140.07% 16.90

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 30.73 49.79 19.07
80% 28.04 52.48 24.43
90% 24.58 55.94 31.36
95% 21.58 58.94 37.37

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
40.00 45.00 20.35 11.00 30.4% 40.2%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
3,468 3,613 1.04 24,083 15,404 0.64 -42.28 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
27.89 38.06 52.25 12.37 11.99 1.03

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
30.55 26.20 32.39 17.70 28.83 39.95 77.20% 1.20 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 40.00-45.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 45.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 40.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 40.00-40.00
  • Trim: 45.00-45.00
  • Add: close > 45.00
  • Cut: close < 40.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UCO @ 40.26 (2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **40.26**. Key support is around **40.00**, and resistance is around **45.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **30.73 to 49.79**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **24.58 to 55.94**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **20.35**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 30.4%**, **below support 40.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 184.11% vs IV2 140.07%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution is **fairly balanced** between upside and downside tails.

TERN

Spot: 46.52
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

TERN Daily Candles EMA

TERN Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 5 45.64 130.75% 6.97
2026-04-17 33 43.77 98.27% 13.70

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 38.72 54.32 15.59
80% 36.53 56.51 19.98
90% 33.70 59.34 25.65
95% 31.24 61.80 30.56

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.00 55.00 44.71 40.00 12.7% 46.5%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
864 189 0.22 2,709 3,042 1.12 135.94 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
42.97 48.74 49.75 3.55 3.23 1.10

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
42.40 38.95 42.14 37.12 42.01 46.90 23.27% 2.09 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-55.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 55.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 55.00-55.00
  • Add: close > 55.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 TERN @ 46.52 (2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **46.52**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **55.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **38.72 to 54.32**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **33.70 to 59.34**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **44.71**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 12.7%**, **below support 46.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 130.75% vs IV2 98.27%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **2.09x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.