Analysis Report
Updated: 2026-03-16 08:43:34 MYT
Source File: combined-summary-20260316-084334.md
Screening Source: screen-report-20260316-084244.md
Extracted Symbols: AAOI, MULL, UVXY, CRCA, USO, AXTI, UCO, TERN
Topline Summary
| Symbol |
Spot |
Support |
Resistance |
Flip |
Regime |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
68% Range |
90% Range |
| AAOI |
96.81 |
90.00 |
120.00 |
85.68 |
TREND |
10.1% |
46.1% |
79.47 - 114.15 |
68.29 - 125.33 |
| MULL |
175.65 |
155.00 |
180.00 |
137.81 |
TREND |
50.6% |
39.7% |
136.57 - 214.73 |
111.37 - 239.93 |
| UVXY |
52.29 |
50.00 |
55.00 |
33.68 |
TRANSITION |
36.3% |
31.6% |
41.84 - 62.74 |
35.11 - 69.47 |
| CRCA |
67.11 |
20.00 |
70.00 |
42.18 |
TRANSITION |
31.5% |
0.0% |
54.05 - 80.17 |
45.63 - 88.59 |
| USO |
119.89 |
112.00 |
125.00 |
108.75 |
TRANSITION |
33.1% |
34.5% |
99.17 - 140.61 |
85.81 - 153.97 |
| AXTI |
48.86 |
45.00 |
50.00 |
53.09 |
TRANSITION |
44.7% |
28.9% |
38.74 - 58.98 |
32.22 - 65.50 |
| UCO |
40.26 |
40.00 |
45.00 |
20.35 |
TRANSITION |
30.4% |
40.2% |
30.73 - 49.79 |
24.58 - 55.94 |
| TERN |
46.52 |
45.00 |
55.00 |
44.71 |
TRANSITION |
12.7% |
46.5% |
38.72 - 54.32 |
33.70 - 59.34 |
AAOI
Spot: 96.81
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT


Term Structure
| Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
| 2026-03-20 |
5 |
104.50 |
143.22% |
15.90 |
| 2026-03-27 |
12 |
99.63 |
113.48% |
19.75 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
| 68% |
79.47 |
114.15 |
34.68 |
| 80% |
74.59 |
119.03 |
44.45 |
| 90% |
68.29 |
125.33 |
57.05 |
| 95% |
62.82 |
130.80 |
67.98 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
| 90.00 |
120.00 |
85.68 |
1.00 |
10.1% |
46.1% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
| 11,537 |
4,641 |
0.40 |
30,176 |
26,709 |
0.89 |
13.96 vol pts |
PUT_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
| 12.34 |
13.71 |
127.14 |
84.47 |
30.33 |
2.79 |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
| 86.18 |
63.92 |
91.44 |
21.94 |
79.61 |
137.28 |
144.88% |
1.41 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
- 90.00-120.00 range: fade extremes
- > 120.00: chase only if hold + vol
- < 90.00: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime: TREND
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate: 90.00-90.00
- Trim: 120.00-120.00
- Add: close > 120.00
- Cut: close < 90.00
- Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOI @ 96.81 (2026-03-16 08:42 AM MYT)
• Current price is **96.81**. Key support is around **90.00**, and resistance is around **120.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **79.47 to 114.15**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **68.29 to 125.33**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **85.68**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 10.1%**, **below support 46.1%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 143.22% vs IV2 113.48%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
MULL
Spot: 175.65
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT


Term Structure
| Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
| 2026-03-20 |
5 |
174.85 |
180.70% |
36.40 |
| 2026-04-17 |
33 |
174.56 |
114.65% |
60.35 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
| 68% |
136.57 |
214.73 |
78.16 |
| 80% |
125.57 |
225.73 |
100.16 |
| 90% |
111.37 |
239.93 |
128.56 |
| 95% |
99.06 |
252.24 |
153.19 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
| 155.00 |
180.00 |
137.81 |
9.65 |
50.6% |
39.7% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
| 938 |
598 |
0.64 |
1,702 |
1,329 |
0.78 |
23.90 vol pts |
PUT_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
| 9.75 |
10.16 |
10.57 |
165.90 |
0.00 |
NA |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
| 162.27 |
148.39 |
164.48 |
139.03 |
165.97 |
192.90 |
32.46% |
0.97 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
- 155.00-180.00 range: fade extremes
- > 180.00: chase only if hold + vol
- < 155.00: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime: TREND
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate: 155.00-155.00
- Trim: 180.00-180.00
- Add: close > 180.00
- Cut: close < 155.00
- Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 MULL @ 175.65 (2026-03-16 08:42 AM MYT)
• Current price is **175.65**. Key support is around **155.00**, and resistance is around **180.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **136.57 to 214.73**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **111.37 to 239.93**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **137.81**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 50.6%**, **below support 39.7%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 180.70% vs IV2 114.65%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
UVXY
Spot: 52.29
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG


Term Structure
| Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
| 2026-03-20 |
5 |
51.73 |
145.92% |
8.75 |
| 2026-03-27 |
12 |
51.52 |
138.62% |
13.03 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
| 68% |
41.84 |
62.74 |
20.89 |
| 80% |
38.90 |
65.68 |
26.77 |
| 90% |
35.11 |
69.47 |
34.36 |
| 95% |
31.82 |
72.76 |
40.94 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
| 50.00 |
55.00 |
33.68 |
1.00 |
36.3% |
31.6% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
| 15,366 |
8,517 |
0.55 |
56,103 |
24,092 |
0.43 |
-56.45 vol pts |
CALL_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
| 12.26 |
13.28 |
49.90 |
40.03 |
0.00 |
NA |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
| 44.25 |
42.08 |
43.37 |
32.32 |
42.89 |
53.46 |
49.28% |
0.63 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
- 50.00-55.00 range: fade extremes
- > 55.00: chase only if hold + vol
- < 50.00: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime: TRANSITION
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate: 50.00-50.00
- Trim: 55.00-55.00
- Add: close > 55.00
- Cut: close < 50.00
- Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UVXY @ 52.29 (2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT)
• Current price is **52.29**. Key support is around **50.00**, and resistance is around **55.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **41.84 to 62.74**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **35.11 to 69.47**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **33.68**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 36.3%**, **below support 31.6%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 145.92% vs IV2 138.62%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.63x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
CRCA
Spot: 67.11
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG


Term Structure
| Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
| 2026-03-20 |
5 |
63.33 |
146.18% |
11.25 |
| 2026-04-17 |
33 |
66.27 |
124.80% |
25.10 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
| 68% |
54.05 |
80.17 |
26.12 |
| 80% |
50.38 |
83.84 |
33.47 |
| 90% |
45.63 |
88.59 |
42.96 |
| 95% |
41.52 |
92.70 |
51.18 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
| 20.00 |
70.00 |
42.18 |
1.00 |
31.5% |
0.0% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
| 1,225 |
275 |
0.22 |
5,792 |
598 |
0.10 |
76.66 vol pts |
PUT_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
| 30.08 |
32.80 |
60.15 |
37.03 |
0.00 |
NA |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
| 48.95 |
44.28 |
39.42 |
6.02 |
43.16 |
80.31 |
172.11% |
0.48 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
- 20.00-70.00 range: fade extremes
- > 70.00: chase only if hold + vol
- < 20.00: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime: TRANSITION
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate: 20.00-20.00
- Trim: 70.00-70.00
- Add: close > 70.00
- Cut: close < 20.00
- Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CRCA @ 67.11 (2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT)
• Current price is **67.11**. Key support is around **20.00**, and resistance is around **70.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **54.05 to 80.17**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **45.63 to 88.59**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **42.18**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 31.5%**, **below support 0.0%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 146.18% vs IV2 124.80%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.48x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
USO
Spot: 119.89
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG


Term Structure
| Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
| 2026-03-18 |
3 |
111.80 |
133.29% |
14.00 |
| 2026-03-20 |
5 |
108.24 |
126.20% |
17.35 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
| 68% |
99.17 |
140.61 |
41.44 |
| 80% |
93.34 |
146.44 |
53.11 |
| 90% |
85.81 |
153.97 |
68.16 |
| 95% |
79.28 |
160.50 |
81.22 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
| 112.00 |
125.00 |
108.75 |
69.00 |
33.1% |
34.5% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
| 19,659 |
28,676 |
1.46 |
16,628 |
16,313 |
0.98 |
55.66 vol pts |
PUT_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
| 120.21 |
121.06 |
121.91 |
0.00 |
2.02 |
0.00 |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
| 95.89 |
85.06 |
102.09 |
62.48 |
91.35 |
120.22 |
63.20% |
1.35 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
- 112.00-125.00 range: fade extremes
- > 125.00: chase only if hold + vol
- < 112.00: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime: TRANSITION
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate: 112.00-112.00
- Trim: 125.00-125.00
- Add: close > 125.00
- Cut: close < 112.00
- Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 USO @ 119.89 (2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT)
• Current price is **119.89**. Key support is around **112.00**, and resistance is around **125.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **99.17 to 140.61**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **85.81 to 153.97**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **108.75**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 33.1%**, **below support 34.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 133.29% vs IV2 126.20%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **more upside tail potential** than downside tail risk.
AXTI
Spot: 48.86
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG


Term Structure
| Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
| 2026-03-20 |
5 |
48.99 |
159.73% |
8.95 |
| 2026-04-17 |
33 |
49.17 |
124.98% |
18.30 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
| 68% |
38.74 |
58.98 |
20.23 |
| 80% |
35.90 |
61.82 |
25.93 |
| 90% |
32.22 |
65.50 |
33.28 |
| 95% |
29.03 |
68.69 |
39.66 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
| 45.00 |
50.00 |
53.09 |
40.00 |
44.7% |
28.9% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
| 6,369 |
4,945 |
0.78 |
15,051 |
23,903 |
1.59 |
-8.50 vol pts |
CALL_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
| 32.50 |
46.61 |
61.87 |
16.36 |
13.01 |
1.26 |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
| 37.66 |
29.14 |
38.30 |
19.33 |
36.41 |
53.49 |
93.82% |
1.17 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
- 45.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
- > 50.00: chase only if hold + vol
- < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime: TRANSITION
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
- Trim: 50.00-50.00
- Add: close > 50.00
- Cut: close < 45.00
- Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AXTI @ 48.86 (2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT)
• Current price is **48.86**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **38.74 to 58.98**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **32.22 to 65.50**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **53.09**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 44.7%**, **below support 28.9%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 159.73% vs IV2 124.98%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
UCO
Spot: 40.26
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG


Term Structure
| Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
| 2026-03-20 |
5 |
40.34 |
184.11% |
8.50 |
| 2026-04-17 |
33 |
40.02 |
140.07% |
16.90 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
| 68% |
30.73 |
49.79 |
19.07 |
| 80% |
28.04 |
52.48 |
24.43 |
| 90% |
24.58 |
55.94 |
31.36 |
| 95% |
21.58 |
58.94 |
37.37 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
| 40.00 |
45.00 |
20.35 |
11.00 |
30.4% |
40.2% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
| 3,468 |
3,613 |
1.04 |
24,083 |
15,404 |
0.64 |
-42.28 vol pts |
CALL_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
| 27.89 |
38.06 |
52.25 |
12.37 |
11.99 |
1.03 |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
| 30.55 |
26.20 |
32.39 |
17.70 |
28.83 |
39.95 |
77.20% |
1.20 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
- 40.00-45.00 range: fade extremes
- > 45.00: chase only if hold + vol
- < 40.00: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime: TRANSITION
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate: 40.00-40.00
- Trim: 45.00-45.00
- Add: close > 45.00
- Cut: close < 40.00
- Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UCO @ 40.26 (2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT)
• Current price is **40.26**. Key support is around **40.00**, and resistance is around **45.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **30.73 to 49.79**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **24.58 to 55.94**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **20.35**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 30.4%**, **below support 40.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 184.11% vs IV2 140.07%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution is **fairly balanced** between upside and downside tails.
TERN
Spot: 46.52
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG


Term Structure
| Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
| 2026-03-20 |
5 |
45.64 |
130.75% |
6.97 |
| 2026-04-17 |
33 |
43.77 |
98.27% |
13.70 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
| 68% |
38.72 |
54.32 |
15.59 |
| 80% |
36.53 |
56.51 |
19.98 |
| 90% |
33.70 |
59.34 |
25.65 |
| 95% |
31.24 |
61.80 |
30.56 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
| 45.00 |
55.00 |
44.71 |
40.00 |
12.7% |
46.5% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
| 864 |
189 |
0.22 |
2,709 |
3,042 |
1.12 |
135.94 vol pts |
PUT_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
| 42.97 |
48.74 |
49.75 |
3.55 |
3.23 |
1.10 |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
| 42.40 |
38.95 |
42.14 |
37.12 |
42.01 |
46.90 |
23.27% |
2.09 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
- 45.00-55.00 range: fade extremes
- > 55.00: chase only if hold + vol
- < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime: TRANSITION
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
- Trim: 55.00-55.00
- Add: close > 55.00
- Cut: close < 45.00
- Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 TERN @ 46.52 (2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT)
• Current price is **46.52**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **55.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **38.72 to 54.32**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **33.70 to 59.34**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **44.71**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 12.7%**, **below support 46.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 130.75% vs IV2 98.27%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **2.09x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.