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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-1516 15:44:0608:43:34 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260315-154406.20260316-084334.md


Screening Source: screen-report-20260315-154316.20260316-084244.md Extracted Symbols: AAOI, MULL, UVXY, CRCA, USO, AXTI, UCO, UVXY, USO, TERN

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AAOI 96.81 90.00 120.00 86.2785.68 TREND 9.5%10.1% 45.7%46.1% 79.8747 - 113.75114.15 68.9529 - 124.67125.33
MULL 175.65 155.00 180.00 138.37137.81 TREND 50.5%6% 39.2%7% 137.33136.57 - 213.97214.73 112.62111.37 - 238.239.93
UVXY52.2950.0055.0033.68TRANSITION36.3%31.6%41.84 - 62.7435.11 - 69.47
CRCA 67.11 20.00 70.00 42.6518 TRANSITION 31.2%5% 0.0% 54.5505 - 79.6780.17 46.4545.63 - 87.7788.59
USO119.89112.00125.00108.75TRANSITION33.1%34.5%99.17 - 140.6185.81 - 153.97
AXTI 48.86 45.00 50.00 52.8753.09 TRANSITION 44.5%7% 28.5%9% 39.0738.74 - 58.6598 32.7522 - 64.9765.50
UCO 40.26 40.00 45.00 20.5335 TRANSITION 29.9%30.4% 40.1%2% 31.0130.73 - 49.5179 25.0524.58 - 55.47
UVXY52.2950.0055.0033.92TRANSITION35.9%31.3%42.31 - 62.2735.87 - 68.71
USO119.89112.00125.00108.87TRANSITION32.7%33.9%100.09 - 139.6987.32 - 152.4694
TERN 46.52 45.00 55.00 44.6971 TRANSITION 12.1%7% 46.2%5% 38.9572 - 54.0932 34.0733.70 - 58.9759.34

AAOI

Spot: 96.81
Report Time: 2026-03-1516 03:4308:42 PMAM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

AAOI Daily Candles EMAAAOI Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUTAAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 65 104.50 133.70%143.22% 15.90
2026-03-27 1312 99.63 110.23%113.48% 19.75

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 79.8747 113.75114.15 33.8734.68
80% 75.1174.59 118.51119.03 43.4144.45
90% 68.9529 124.67125.33 55.7257.05
95% 63.6262.82 130.0080 66.3967.98

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
90.00 120.00 86.2785.68 1.00 9.5%10.1% 45.7%46.1%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
11,537 4,641 0.40 30,176 26,709 0.89 12.7913.96 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
12.34 13.71 127.14 84.47 30.33 2.79

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
86.18 63.92 91.4344 21.94 79.61 137.28 144.88% 1.4041 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 90.00-120.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 120.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 90.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 90.00-90.00
  • Trim: 120.00-120.00
  • Add: close > 120.00
  • Cut: close < 90.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOI @ 96.81 (2026-03-1516 03:4308:42 PMAM MYT)

• Current price is **96.81**. Key support is around **90.00**, and resistance is around **120.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **79.8747 to 113.75*114.15**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **68.9529 to 124.67*125.33**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **86.27*85.68**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 9.5%10.1%**, **below support 45.7%46.1%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 133.70%143.22% vs IV2 110.23%113.48%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

MULL

Spot: 175.65
Report Time: 2026-03-1516 03:4308:42 PMAM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

MULL Daily Candles EMAMULL Daily Candles EMA

MULL Option Chain CALL vs PUTMULL Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 65 174.85 168.180.70% 36.40
2026-04-17 3433 174.56 113.43%114.65% 60.35

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 137.33136.57 213.97214.73 76.6478.16
80% 126.54125.57 224.76225.73 98.22100.16
90% 112.62111.37 238.68239.93 126.07128.56
95% 100.5499.06 250.76252.24 150.22153.19

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
155.00 180.00 138.37137.81 9.65 50.5%6% 39.2%7%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
938 598 0.64 1,702 1,329 0.78 22.9723.90 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
9.75 10.16 10.57 165.90 0.00 NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
162.27 148.39 164.4748 139.03 165.97 192.90 32.46% 0.9697 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 155.00-180.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 180.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 155.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 155.00-155.00
  • Trim: 180.00-180.00
  • Add: close > 180.00
  • Cut: close < 155.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 MULL @ 175.65 (2026-03-1516 03:4308:42 PMAM MYT)

• Current price is **175.65**. Key support is around **155.00**, and resistance is around **180.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **137.33136.57 to 213.97*214.73**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **112.62111.37 to 238.68*239.93**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **138.37*137.81**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 50.5%6%**, **below support 39.2%7%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 168.180.70% vs IV2 113.43%114.65%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

CRCAUVXY

Spot: 67.1152.29
Report Time: 2026-03-1516 03:08:43 PMAM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

CRCA Daily Candles EMAUVXY Daily Candles EMA

CRCA Option Chain CALL vs PUTUVXY Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 6551.73145.92%8.75
2026-03-271251.52138.62%13.03

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%41.8462.7420.89
80%38.9065.6826.77
90%35.1169.4734.36
95%31.8272.7640.94

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
50.0055.0033.681.0036.3%31.6%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
15,3668,5170.5556,10324,0920.43-56.45 vol ptsCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
12.2613.2849.9040.030.00NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
44.2542.0843.3732.3242.8953.4649.28%0.63UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 50.00-55.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 55.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 50.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 50.00-50.00
  • Trim: 55.00-55.00
  • Add: close > 55.00
  • Cut: close < 50.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UVXY @ 52.29 (2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **52.29**. Key support is around **50.00**, and resistance is around **55.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **41.84 to 62.74**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **35.11 to 69.47**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **33.68**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 36.3%**, **below support 31.6%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 145.92% vs IV2 138.62%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.63x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

CRCA

Spot: 67.11
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

CRCA Daily Candles EMA

CRCA Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-205 63.33 136.47%146.18% 11.25
2026-04-17 3433 66.27 123.48%124.80% 25.10

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 54.5505 79.6780.17 25.26.12
80% 51.0150.38 83.2184 32.1933.47
90% 46.4545.63 87.7788.59 41.3242.96
95% 42.4941.52 91.7392.70 49.2451.18

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
20.00 70.00 42.6518 1.00 31.2%5% 0.0%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
1,225 275 0.22 5,792 598 0.10 70.0276.66 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
28.30.0832.80 37.5060.15 41.1038.3137.03 0.00 NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
48.95 44.28 39.42 6.02 43.16 80.31 172.11% 0.48 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 20.00-70.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 70.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 20.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 20.00-20.00
  • Trim: 70.00-70.00
  • Add: close > 70.00
  • Cut: close < 20.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CRCA @ 67.11 (2026-03-1516 03:08:43 PMAM MYT)

• Current price is **67.11**. Key support is around **20.00**, and resistance is around **70.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **54.5505 to 79.67*80.17**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **46.4545.63 to 87.77*88.59**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **42.65*18**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 31.2%5%**, **below support 0.0%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 136.47%146.18% vs IV2 123.48%124.80%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.48x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

AXTIUSO

Spot: 48.86119.89
Report Time: 2026-03-1516 03:08:43 PMAM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

AXTI Daily Candles EMAUSO Daily Candles EMA

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUTUSO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-183111.80133.29%14.00
2026-03-205108.24126.20%17.35

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%99.17140.6141.44
80%93.34146.4453.11
90%85.81153.9768.16
95%79.28160.5081.22

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
112.00125.00108.7569.0033.1%34.5%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
19,65928,6761.4616,62816,3130.9855.66 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
120.21121.06121.910.002.020.00

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
95.8985.06102.0962.4891.35120.2263.20%1.35UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 112.00-125.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 125.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 112.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 112.00-112.00
  • Trim: 125.00-125.00
  • Add: close > 125.00
  • Cut: close < 112.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 USO @ 119.89 (2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **119.89**. Key support is around **112.00**, and resistance is around **125.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **99.17 to 140.61**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **85.81 to 153.97**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **108.75**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 33.1%**, **below support 34.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 133.29% vs IV2 126.20%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **more upside tail potential** than downside tail risk.

AXTI

Spot: 48.86
Report Time: 2026-03-16 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

AXTI Daily Candles EMA

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 65 48.99 149.12%159.73% 8.95
2026-04-17 3433 49.17 123.65%124.98% 18.30

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 39.0738.74 58.6598 19.5920.23
80% 36.3135.90 61.4182 25.1093
90% 32.7522 64.9765.50 32.2233.28
95% 29.6703 68.0569 38.3939.66

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.00 50.00 52.8753.09 40.00 44.5%7% 28.5%9%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
6,369 4,945 0.78 15,051 23,903 1.59 -7.718.50 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
32.50 46.61 61.87 16.36 13.01 1.26

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
37.66 29.14 38.2930 19.33 36.41 53.49 93.82% 1.1617 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 50.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 50.00-50.00
  • Add: close > 50.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AXTI @ 48.86 (2026-03-1516 03:08:43 PMAM MYT)

• Current price is **48.86**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **39.0738.74 to 58.65*98**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **32.7522 to 64.97*65.50**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **52.87*53.09**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 44.5%7%**, **below support 28.5%9%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 149.12%159.73% vs IV2 123.65%124.98%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

UCO

Spot: 40.26
Report Time: 2026-03-1516 03:08:43 PMAM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UCO Daily Candles EMAUCO Daily Candles EMA

UCO Option Chain CALL vs PUTUCO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 65 40.34 171.88%184.11% 8.50
2026-04-17 3433 40.02 138.58%140.07% 16.90

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 31.0130.73 49.5179 18.4919.07
80% 28.4104 52.1148 23.7024.43
90% 25.0524.58 55.4794 30.4131.36
95% 22.1421.58 58.3894 36.2437.37

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
40.00 45.00 20.5335 11.00 29.9%30.4% 40.1%2%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
3,468 3,613 1.04 24,083 15,404 0.64 -43.8342.28 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
27.89 38.06 52.25 12.37 11.99 1.03

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
30.55 26.20 32.39 17.70 28.83 39.95 77.20% 1.20 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 40.00-45.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 45.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 40.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 40.00-40.00
  • Trim: 45.00-45.00
  • Add: close > 45.00
  • Cut: close < 40.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UCO @ 40.26 (2026-03-1516 03:08:43 PMAM MYT)

• Current price is **40.26**. Key support is around **40.00**, and resistance is around **45.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **31.0130.73 to 49.51*79**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **25.0524.58 to 55.47*94**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **20.53*35**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 29.9%30.4%**, **below support 40.1%2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 171.88%184.11% vs IV2 138.58%140.07%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution is **fairly balanced** between upside and downside tails.

UVXYTERN

Spot: 52.2946.52
Report Time: 2026-03-1516 03:08:43 PMAM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UVXY Daily Candles EMATERN Daily Candles EMA

UVXY Option Chain CALL vs PUTTERN Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 651.73136.23%8.75
2026-03-271351.52134.64%13.03

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%42.3162.2719.97
80%39.5065.0825.59
90%35.8768.7132.84
95%32.7271.8639.14

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
50.0055.0033.921.0035.9%31.3%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
15,3668,5170.5556,10324,0920.43-51.56 vol ptsCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
12.2613.2849.9040.030.00NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
44.2542.0843.3732.3242.8953.4649.28%0.63UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 50.00-55.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 55.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 50.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 50.00-50.00
  • Trim: 55.00-55.00
  • Add: close > 55.00
  • Cut: close < 50.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UVXY @ 52.29 (2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT)

• Current price is **52.29**. Key support is around **50.00**, and resistance is around **55.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **42.31 to 62.27**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **35.87 to 68.71**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **33.92**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 35.9%**, **below support 31.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 136.23% vs IV2 134.64%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.63x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

USO

Spot: 119.89
Report Time: 2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

USO Daily Candles EMA

USO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-184111.80119.10%14.00
2026-03-206108.24117.81%17.35

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%100.09139.6939.61
80%94.51145.2750.76
90%87.32152.4665.15
95%81.08158.7077.63

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
112.00125.00108.8769.0032.7%33.9%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
19,65928,6761.4616,62816,3130.9848.19 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
120.21121.06121.910.002.020.00

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
95.8985.06102.0962.4891.35120.2263.20%1.35UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 112.00-125.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 125.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 112.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 112.00-112.00
  • Trim: 125.00-125.00
  • Add: close > 125.00
  • Cut: close < 112.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 USO @ 119.89 (2026-03-15 03:43 PM MYT)

• Current price is **119.89**. Key support is around **112.00**, and resistance is around **125.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **100.09 to 139.69**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **87.32 to 152.46**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **108.87**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 32.7%**, **below support 33.9%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 119.10% vs IV2 117.81%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **more upside tail potential** than downside tail risk.

TERN

Spot: 46.52
Report Time: 2026-03-15 03:44 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

TERN Daily Candles EMA

TERN Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-2065 45.64 122.06%130.75% 6.97
2026-04-17 3433 43.77 97.23%98.27% 13.70

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 38.9572 54.0932 15.1459
80% 36.8253 56.2251 19.4098
90% 34.0733.70 58.9759.34 24.9025.65
95% 31.6924 61.3580 29.6730.56

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.00 55.00 44.6971 40.00 12.1%7% 46.2%5%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
864 189 0.22 2,709 3,042 1.12 124.12135.94 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
42.97 48.74 49.75 3.55 3.23 1.10

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
42.40 38.95 42.14 37.12 42.01 46.90 23.27% 2.09 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-55.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 55.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 55.00-55.00
  • Add: close > 55.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 TERN @ 46.52 (2026-03-1516 03:4408:43 PMAM MYT)

• Current price is **46.52**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **55.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **38.9572 to 54.09*32**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **34.0733.70 to 58.97*59.34**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **44.69*71**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 12.1%7%**, **below support 46.2%5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 122.06%130.75% vs IV2 97.23%98.27%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **2.09x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.