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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-16 15:43:0521:28:11 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260316-154304.212656.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260316-154250.md Extracted Symbols: AAOI, AXTI

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AAOI 96.81 23.90.00 115.29100.00 NA96.69 TRENDPIN 17.6%35.5% 0.0%35.1% 78.3313 - 115.2949 66.4109 - 127.2153
AXTI 48.86 38.7445.00 58.9850.00 24.4348.52 TRANSITIONPIN 15.3%37.4% 18.3%34.6% 38.7463 - 58.9859.09 32.2104 - 65.5168

AAOI

Spot: 96.81
Report Time: 2026-03-16 03:4209:26 PM MYT
Regime: TRENDPIN
Dealer Gamma: SHORTLONG

AAOI Daily Candles EMAAAOI Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUTAAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 5 96.72 149.91%154.04% 16.13
2026-03-27 12 95.92 125.97%127.30% 21.65

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 78.3313 115.2949 36.9737.35
80% 73.1272.88 120.5074 47.3887
90% 66.4109 127.2153 60.8161.44
95% 60.5821 133.0441 72.4673.21

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
23.90.00 115.29NA1.100.00 17.6%96.69 0.0%50.0035.5%35.1%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
11,537 4,641 0.40 17436,368 96530,854 5.550.85 790.23 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
11.27 12.35 107.65 85.54 10.84 7.89

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
86.18 63.92 91.44 21.94 79.61 137.28 144.88% 1.41 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 23.90.00-115.29100.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 115.29:100.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 23.90.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRENDPIN
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 23.90.00-23.90.00
  • Trim: 115.29-115.29100.00-100.00
  • Add: close > 115.29100.00
  • Cut: close < 23.90.00
  • Best for: trendpin regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AAOI @ 96.81 (2026-03-16 03:4209:26 PM MYT)

• Current price is **96.81**. Key support is around **23.90.00**, and resistance is around **115.29*100.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **78.3313 to 115.29*49**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **66.4109 to 127.21*53**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORTLONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND*PIN**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **96.69**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 17.6%35.5%**, **below support 0.0%35.1%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 149.91%154.04% vs IV2 125.97%127.30%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AXTI

Spot: 48.86
Report Time: 2026-03-16 03:4309:26 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITIONPIN
Dealer Gamma: NEUTRALLONG

AXTI Daily Candles EMAAXTI Daily Candles EMA

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUTAXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 5 49.07 162.42%166.90% 8.82
2026-04-17 33 48.95 124.58%125.04% 18.16

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 38.7463 58.9859.09 20.2445
80% 35.8976 61.8396 25.9426.21
90% 32.2104 65.5168 33.2964
95% 29.0328.82 68.6990 39.6740.08

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
38.7445.00 58.9850.00 24.4348.52 2.5040.00 15.3%37.4% 18.3%34.6%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
6,369 4,945 0.78 015,822 024,439 NA1.54 43.75 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
5.66 8.28 57.63 43.20 8.77 4.93

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
37.66 29.14 38.30 19.33 36.41 53.49 93.82% 1.17 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 38.74-58.9845.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 58.98:50.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 38.74:45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITIONPIN
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 38.74-38.7445.00-45.00
  • Trim: 58.98-58.9850.00-50.00
  • Add: close > 58.9850.00
  • Cut: close < 38.7445.00
  • Best for: transitionpin regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AXTI @ 48.86 (2026-03-16 03:4309:26 PM MYT)

• Current price is **48.86**. Key support is around **38.74*45.00**, and resistance is around **58.98*50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **38.7463 to 58.98*59.09**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **32.2104 to 65.51*68**.
• Dealer positioning looks **NEUTRALLONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION*PIN**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **24.43*48.52**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 15.3%37.4%**, **below support 18.3%34.6%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 162.42%166.90% vs IV2 124.58%125.04%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
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