Skip to main content

Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-1617 21:28:1108:43:44 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260316-212656.20260317-084343.md


Screening Source: screen-report-20260316-154250.20260317-084253.md Extracted Symbols: MULL, NEBX, AAOI, AXTIUCO, AXTI, CRCA, TERN, SEI

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
MULL188.65180.00190.00133.23TRANSITION40.0%40.9%147.69 - 229.61121.28 - 256.02
NEBX53.3250.0060.0035.57TRANSITION25.1%42.0%42.25 - 64.3935.12 - 71.52
AAOI 96.8194.07 90.00 100.00 96.6987.62 PINTREND38.5%52.2%79.06 - 109.0869.38 - 118.76
UCO39.00 35.0040.0024.38TRANSITION43.5% 35.1%23.4% 78.1331.98 - 115.4946.02 66.0927.45 - 127.5350.55
AXTI 48.8639 45.00 50.00 48.5251.14 PINTRANSITION 37.4%35.3% 34.9%39.23 - 57.5533.32 - 63.46
CRCA79.1870.0095.8647.09TRANSITION12.1%26.6% 38.6362.50 - 59.95.8651.74 - 106.62
TERN46.0745.0047.0044.02TRANSITION36.7%43.1%39.05 - 53.09 32.0434.52 - 65.6857.62
SEI56.9955.0057.5055.44TRANSITION35.9%35.2%50.18 - 63.8045.79 - 68.19

AAOIMULL

Spot: 96.81188.65
Report Time: 2026-03-1617 09:2608:43 PMAM MYT
Regime: PINTRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

AAOI Daily Candles EMAMULL Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUTMULL Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 54 96.72187.80 154.04%189.86% 16.1336.55
2026-03-2704-17 1232 95.92187.81 127.30%115.24% 21.6564.15

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 78.13147.69 115.49229.61 37.3581.92
80% 72.88136.16 120.74241.14 47.87104.98
90% 66.09121.28 127.53256.02 61.44134.75
95% 60.21108.37 133.41268.93 73.21160.56

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
90.180.00 100.190.00 96.69133.23 50.009.65 35.5%40.0% 35.1%40.9%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
11,537902 4,641718 0.4080 36,3682,005 30,8541,318 0.8566 790.2313.84 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
11.9.7510.1610.57178.900.00NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
164.78149.97166.11138.11166.83195.5534.43%1.38UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 180.00-190.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 190.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 180.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 180.00-180.00
  • Trim: 190.00-190.00
  • Add: close > 190.00
  • Cut: close < 180.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 MULL @ 188.65 (2026-03-17 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **188.65**. Key support is around **180.00**, and resistance is around **190.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **147.69 to 229.61**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **121.28 to 256.02**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **133.23**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 40.0%**, **below support 40.9%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 189.86% vs IV2 115.24%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

NEBX

Spot: 53.32
Report Time: 2026-03-17 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

NEBX Daily Candles EMA

NEBX Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20447.22165.41%9.00
2026-04-173253.17129.98%20.45

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%42.2564.3922.13
80%39.1467.5028.37
90%35.1271.5236.41
95%31.6375.0143.38

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
50.0060.0035.5736.0025.1%42.0%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
8393820.464,0812,5170.6215.53 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
38.6353.1960.5414.697.222.03

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
35.4935.3835.8321.7534.8347.9275.13%2.15UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 50.00-60.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 60.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 50.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 50.00-50.00
  • Trim: 60.00-60.00
  • Add: close > 60.00
  • Cut: close < 50.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 NEBX @ 53.32 (2026-03-17 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **53.32**. Key support is around **50.00**, and resistance is around **60.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **42.25 to 64.39**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **35.12 to 71.52**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **35.57**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 25.1%**, **below support 42.0%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 165.41% vs IV2 129.98%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is **2.15x** the 20-day average, which supports stronger continuation or breakout follow-through.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AAOI

Spot: 94.07
Report Time: 2026-03-17 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

AAOI Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20494.17129.18%12.40
2026-03-27 12.1194.09106.93%17.30

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%79.06109.0830.02
80%74.83113.3138.48
90%69.38118.7649.38
95%64.65123.4958.85

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
90.00100.0087.6250.0038.5%52.2%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
19,1426,7860.35 107.6536,368 85.5430,854 10.840.85 7.894.98 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
75.0391.69108.8619.0414.791.29

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
86.1893 63.9265.10 91.4492.25 21.9426.56 79.6182.09 137.2862 144.88%135.30% 1.410.97 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 90.00-100.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 100.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 90.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: PINTREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 90.00-90.00
  • Trim: 100.00-100.00
  • Add: close > 100.00
  • Cut: close < 90.00
  • Best for: pintrend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOI @ 96.8194.07 (2026-03-1617 09:2608:43 PMAM MYT)

• Current price is **96.81*94.07**. Key support is around **90.00**, and resistance is around **100.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **78.1379.06 to 115.49*109.08**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **66.0969.38 to 127.53*118.76**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONGSHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **PIN*TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **96.69*87.62**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 35.38.5%**, **below support 35.1%52.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 154.04%129.18% vs IV2 127.30%106.93%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

UCO

Spot: 39.00
Report Time: 2026-03-17 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UCO Daily Candles EMA

UCO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20439.00135.69%5.40
2026-04-173239.08120.78%13.90

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%31.9846.0214.05
80%30.0048.0018.00
90%27.4550.5523.11
95%25.2352.7727.53

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
35.0040.0024.3826.0043.5%23.4%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
8,3036,8230.8229,04016,8750.58-10.16 vol ptsCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
16.8536.8745.7522.156.753.28

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
31.3526.7032.8118.0629.6541.2478.18%0.99UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 35.00-40.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 40.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 35.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 35.00-35.00
  • Trim: 40.00-40.00
  • Add: close > 40.00
  • Cut: close < 35.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UCO @ 39.00 (2026-03-17 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **39.00**. Key support is around **35.00**, and resistance is around **40.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **31.98 to 46.02**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **27.45 to 50.55**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **24.38**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 43.5%**, **below support 23.4%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 135.69% vs IV2 120.78%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AXTI

Spot: 48.8639
Report Time: 2026-03-1617 09:2608:43 PMAM MYT
Regime: PINTRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

AXTI Daily Candles EMAAXTI Daily Candles EMA

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUTAXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 54 49.0748.45 166.90%148.85% 8.827.35
2026-04-17 3332 48.9562 125.04%120.81% 18.1617.25

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 38.6339.23 59.0957.55 20.4518.33
80% 35.7636.65 61.9660.13 26.2123.49
90% 32.0433.32 65.6863.46 33.6430.15
95% 28.8230.43 68.9066.35 40.0835.92

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.00 50.00 48.5251.14 40.00 37.4%35.3% 34.9%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
3,6473,0380.8315,82224,4391.547.71 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
35.1947.1560.9113.2012.521.05

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
38.6829.9039.1720.7537.6254.4989.70%1.16UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 50.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 50.00-50.00
  • Add: close > 50.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AXTI @ 48.39 (2026-03-17 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **48.39**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **39.23 to 57.55**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **33.32 to 63.46**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **51.14**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 35.3%**, **below support 34.9%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 148.85% vs IV2 120.81%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution is **fairly balanced** between upside and downside tails.

CRCA

Spot: 79.18
Report Time: 2026-03-17 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

CRCA Daily Candles EMA

CRCA Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20477.44171.11%13.82
2026-04-173278.38128.40%30.00

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%62.5095.8633.37
80%57.80100.5642.76
90%51.74106.6254.88
95%46.48111.8865.40

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
70.0095.8647.091.0012.1%26.6%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
6,3691,299 4,945297 0.7823 15,8225,847 24,439631 1.540.11 43.7515.19 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
5.6686.00 8.2890.00 57.6394.00 43.200.00 8.7714.82 4.930.00

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
37.6651.83 29.1445.65 38.3041.88 19.337.22 36.4146.09 53.4984.95 93.82%168.66% 1.170.68 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.70.00-50.0095.86 range: fade extremes
  • > 50.00:95.86: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.70.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: PINTRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.70.00-45.70.00
  • Trim: 50.00-50.0095.86-95.86
  • Add: close > 50.0095.86
  • Cut: close < 45.70.00
  • Best for: pintransition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AXTICRCA @ 48.8679.18 (2026-03-1617 09:2608:43 PMAM MYT)

• Current price is **48.86*79.18**. Key support is around **45.70.00**, and resistance is around **50.00*95.86**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **38.6362.50 to 59.09*95.86**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **32.0451.74 to 65.68*106.62**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **PIN*TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **48.52*47.09**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 37.4%12.1%**, **below support 34.26.6%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 166.90%171.11% vs IV2 125.04%128.40%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.68x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **more upside tail potential** than downside tail risk.

TERN

Spot: 46.07
Report Time: 2026-03-17 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

TERN Daily Candles EMA

TERN Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20446.55120.19%5.65
2026-04-173246.5196.73%13.15

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%39.0553.0914.04
80%37.0755.0717.99
90%34.5257.6223.09
95%32.3159.8327.51

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
45.0047.0044.0240.0036.7%43.1%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
4131620.393,1013,1811.03179.59 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
47.1948.0748.950.002.880.00

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
42.7539.2342.4337.6442.4247.2122.56%0.91UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-47.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 47.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 47.00-47.00
  • Add: close > 47.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 TERN @ 46.07 (2026-03-17 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **46.07**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **47.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **39.05 to 53.09**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **34.52 to 57.62**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **44.02**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 36.7%**, **below support 43.1%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 120.19% vs IV2 96.73%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **more upside tail potential** than downside tail risk.

SEI

Spot: 56.99
Report Time: 2026-03-17 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

SEI Daily Candles EMA

SEI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20456.86101.03%5.88
2026-04-173256.6268.09%11.45

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%50.1863.8013.62
80%48.2665.7217.46
90%45.7968.1922.41
95%43.6470.3426.70

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
55.0057.5055.4450.0035.9%35.2%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
1943521.818,02824,1763.0123.73 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
31.0450.7063.9425.956.953.73

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
52.2351.5151.4046.4751.5056.5319.52%0.70UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 55.00-57.50 range: fade extremes
  • > 57.50: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 55.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 55.00-55.00
  • Trim: 57.50-57.50
  • Add: close > 57.50
  • Cut: close < 55.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 SEI @ 56.99 (2026-03-17 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **56.99**. Key support is around **55.00**, and resistance is around **57.50**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **50.18 to 63.80**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **45.79 to 68.19**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **55.44**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 35.9%**, **below support 35.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 101.03% vs IV2 68.09%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.70x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.