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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-17 15:43:07 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260317-154307.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260317-154253.md Extracted Symbols: AAOI, AXTI

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AAOI 94.07 23.00 109.91 NA TREND 17.6% 0.0% 78.23 - 109.91 68.01 - 120.13
AXTI 48.39 38.94 57.84 24.19 TRANSITION 16.7% 16.7% 38.94 - 57.84 32.85 - 63.93

AAOI

Spot: 94.07
Report Time: 2026-03-17 03:43 PM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

AAOI Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 4 94.57 133.35% 12.30
2026-03-27 11 95.30 115.24% 18.39

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 78.23 109.91 31.69
80% 73.77 114.37 40.61
90% 68.01 120.13 52.12
95% 63.02 125.12 62.11

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
23.00 109.91 NA 23.00 17.6% 0.0%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
19,142 6,786 0.35 0 965 NA 869.92 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
3.44 79.97 106.77 90.63 12.70 7.14

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
86.93 65.10 92.25 26.56 82.09 137.62 135.30% 0.97 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 23.00-109.91 range: fade extremes
  • > 109.91: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 23.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 23.00-23.00
  • Trim: 109.91-109.91
  • Add: close > 109.91
  • Cut: close < 23.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AAOI @ 94.07 (2026-03-17 03:43 PM MYT)

• Current price is **94.07**. Key support is around **23.00**, and resistance is around **109.91**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **78.23 to 109.91**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **68.01 to 120.13**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 17.6%**, **below support 0.0%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 133.35% vs IV2 115.24%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

AXTI

Spot: 48.39
Report Time: 2026-03-17 03:43 PM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: NEUTRAL

AXTI Daily Candles EMA

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 4 48.60 159.75% 7.58
2026-04-17 32 48.89 121.08% 17.21

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 38.94 57.84 18.90
80% 36.28 60.50 24.22
90% 32.85 63.93 31.09
95% 29.87 66.91 37.04

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
38.94 57.84 24.19 2.50 16.7% 16.7%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
3,647 3,038 0.83 0 0 NA 0.00 vol pts FLAT

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
5.66 8.31 55.82 42.73 7.43 5.75

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
38.68 29.90 39.17 20.75 37.62 54.49 89.70% 1.16 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 38.94-57.84 range: fade extremes
  • > 57.84: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 38.94: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 38.94-38.94
  • Trim: 57.84-57.84
  • Add: close > 57.84
  • Cut: close < 38.94
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AXTI @ 48.39 (2026-03-17 03:43 PM MYT)

• Current price is **48.39**. Key support is around **38.94**, and resistance is around **57.84**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **38.94 to 57.84**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **32.85 to 63.93**.
• Dealer positioning looks **NEUTRAL gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **24.19**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 16.7%**, **below support 16.7%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is fairly balanced, so there is **no strong directional bias** from skew alone.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 159.75% vs IV2 121.08%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
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