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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-1819 15:42:5508:43:09 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260318-154255.20260319-084309.md


Screening Source: screen-report-20260318-154246.20260319-084248.md Extracted Symbols: AXTIVIXY, CRCA, AAOI

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AXTIVIXY 44.3633.59 36.6833.00 52.0435.00 22.1899 TRANSITION 15.3%41.8% 18.3%38.5% 36.6826.05 - 52.0441.13 31.7321.19 - 56.45.99
CRCA87.7270.00110.7553.38TRANSITION12.1%20.2%64.69 - 110.7549.83 - 125.61
AAOI92.6390.00100.0087.23TRANSITION24.0%41.5%79.12 - 106.1470.41 - 114.85

AXTIVIXY

Spot: 44.3633.59
Report Time: 2026-03-1819 03:08:42 PMAM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: NEUTRALLONG

AXTI Daily Candles EMAVIXY Daily Candles EMA

AXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUTVIXY Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 32 44.6934.22 146.79%320.93% 5.407.57
2026-04-17 3033.31 45.0977.12% 111.85%14.347.40

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 36.6826.05 52.0441.13 15.3608
80% 34.5223.93 54.2043.25 19.6933
90% 31.7321.19 56.45.99 25.2724.81
95% 29.3018.81 59.4248.37 30.1129.56

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
36.6833.00 52.0435.00 22.1899 2.5028.00 15.3%41.8% 18.3%38.5%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
3,4212,127 2,344316 0.6915 015,635 06,946 NA0.44 18.75-664.06 vol pts PUT_SKEWCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
5.5926.4331.7437.56 7.9416 46.3138.773.97 1.9519.9180

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
39.30.5829.22 30.4739.85 23.0025.02 38.6730.09 54.3535.17 81.08%33.72% 1.0121 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 36.68-52.0433.00-35.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 52.04:35.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 36.68:33.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 36.68-36.6833.00-33.00
  • Trim: 52.04-52.0435.00-35.00
  • Add: close > 52.0435.00
  • Cut: close < 36.6833.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AXTIVIXY @ 44.3633.59 (2026-03-1819 03:08:42 PMAM MYT)

• Current price is **44.36*33.59**. Key support is around **36.68*33.00**, and resistance is around **52.04*35.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **36.6826.05 to 52.04*41.13**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **31.7321.19 to 56.45.99**.
• Dealer positioning looks **NEUTRALLONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **22.18*99**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 15.3%41.8%**, **below support 18.3%38.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts*calls**, which suggests tradersupside arespeculation payingis morerelatively for downside protection.stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 146.79%320.93% vs IV2 111.85%77.12%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

CRCA

Spot: 87.72
Report Time: 2026-03-19 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

CRCA Daily Candles EMA

CRCA Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20285.86296.08%18.25
2026-04-173087.31146.56%36.72

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%64.69110.7546.07
80%58.20117.2459.04
90%49.83125.6175.77
95%42.58132.8690.29

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
70.00110.7553.381.0012.1%20.2%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
1,2762880.235,8736370.1132.03 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
36.7339.6284.2051.000.00NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
58.2648.8546.8110.0552.5995.12161.76%0.45UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 70.00-110.75 range: fade extremes
  • > 110.75: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 70.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 70.00-70.00
  • Trim: 110.75-110.75
  • Add: close > 110.75
  • Cut: close < 70.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 CRCA @ 87.72 (2026-03-19 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **87.72**. Key support is around **70.00**, and resistance is around **110.75**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **64.69 to 110.75**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **49.83 to 125.61**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **53.38**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 12.1%**, **below support 20.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 296.08% vs IV2 146.56%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.45x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

AAOI

Spot: 92.63
Report Time: 2026-03-19 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

AAOI Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20292.62137.51%8.95
2026-03-27992.68101.18%14.55

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%79.12106.1427.01
80%75.32109.9434.62
90%70.41114.8544.43
95%66.16119.1052.95

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
90.00100.0087.2364.0024.0%41.5%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
19,60810,4640.5344,56834,5830.7814.65 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
80.4693.80104.8212.1712.191.00

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
87.4266.9893.1237.6686.67135.67113.08%1.23UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 90.00-100.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 100.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 90.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 90.00-90.00
  • Trim: 100.00-100.00
  • Add: close > 100.00
  • Cut: close < 90.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOI @ 92.63 (2026-03-19 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **92.63**. Key support is around **90.00**, and resistance is around **100.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **79.12 to 106.14**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **70.41 to 114.85**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **87.23**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 24.0%**, **below support 41.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 137.51% vs IV2 101.18%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution is **fairly balanced** between upside and downside tails.