Analysis Report
Updated: 2026-03-19 15:42:59 MYT
Source File: combined-summary-20260319-154258.md
Screening Source:
screen-report-20260319-154249.mdExtracted Symbols: AAOI
Topline Summary
| Symbol | Spot | Support | Resistance | Flip | Regime | P>Res | P<Sup | 68% Range | 90% Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | 92.63 | 23.00 | 106.25 | NA | TREND | 17.6% | 0.0% | 79.01 - 106.25 | 70.23 - 115.03 |
AAOI
Spot: 92.63
Report Time: 2026-03-19 03:42 PM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT
Term Structure
| Expiry | DTE | Forward | ATM IV | ATM Straddle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | 2 | 92.98 | 130.04% | 7.75 |
| 2026-03-27 | 9 | 93.18 | 103.25% | 14.60 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence | Low | High | Width |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68% | 79.01 | 106.25 | 27.24 |
| 80% | 75.18 | 110.08 | 34.91 |
| 90% | 70.23 | 115.03 | 44.80 |
| 95% | 65.94 | 119.32 | 53.39 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support | Resistance | Gamma Flip | Max Pain | P>Res | P<Sup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.00 | 106.25 | NA | 23.00 | 17.6% | 0.0% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol | Put Vol | Vol P/C | Call OI | Put OI | OI P/C | Skew | Skew Bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19,608 | 10,464 | 0.53 | 0 | 965 | NA | 1213.28 vol pts | PUT_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 | Q50 | Q90 | Down Tail | Up Tail | Down/Up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79.75 | 91.73 | 104.47 | 12.88 | 11.84 | 1.09 |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 | EMA50 | VWAP20 | BB Lower | BB Mid | BB Upper | BB Width | Vol Ratio | Path |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87.42 | 66.98 | 93.12 | 37.66 | 86.67 | 135.67 | 113.08% | 1.23 | UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
- 23.00-106.25 range: fade extremes
- > 106.25: chase only if hold + vol
- < 23.00: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime: TREND
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate: 23.00-23.00
- Trim: 106.25-106.25
- Add: close > 106.25
- Cut: close < 23.00
- Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOI @ 92.63 (2026-03-19 03:42 PM MYT)
• Current price is **92.63**. Key support is around **23.00**, and resistance is around **106.25**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **79.01 to 106.25**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **70.23 to 115.03**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 17.6%**, **below support 0.0%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 130.04% vs IV2 103.25%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution is **fairly balanced** between upside and downside tails.