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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-19 08:43:0915:42:59 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260319-084309.154258.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260319-084248.154249.md Extracted Symbols: VIXY, CRCA, AAOI

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
VIXY33.5933.0035.0022.99TRANSITION41.8%38.5%26.05 - 41.1321.19 - 45.99
CRCA87.7270.00110.7553.38TRANSITION12.1%20.2%64.69 - 110.7549.83 - 125.61
AAOI 92.63 90.23.00 100.00106.25 87.23NA TRANSITIONTREND 24.17.6%0.0% 41.5%79.1201 - 106.1425 70.4123 - 114.85115.03

VIXYAAOI

Spot: 33.5992.63
Report Time: 2026-03-19 08:03:42 AMPM MYT
Regime: TRANSITIONTREND
Dealer Gamma: LONGSHORT

VIXY Daily Candles EMAAAOI Daily Candles EMA

VIXY Option Chain CALL vs PUTAAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 2 34.2292.98 320.93%130.04% 7.5775
2026-04-1703-27 309 33.3193.18 77.12%103.25% 7.4014.60

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 26.0579.01 41.13106.25 15.0827.24
80% 23.9375.18 43.25110.08 19.3334.91
90% 21.1970.23 45.99115.03 24.8144.80
95% 18.8165.94 48.37119.32 29.5653.39

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
33.23.00 35.0022.9928.0041.8%38.5%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
2,1273160.1515,6356,9460.44-664.06 vol ptsCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
26.4331.7437.567.163.971.80

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
30.5829.2230.8525.0230.0935.1733.72%1.21UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 33.00-35.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 35.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 33.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 33.00-33.00
  • Trim: 35.00-35.00
  • Add: close > 35.00
  • Cut: close < 33.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 VIXY @ 33.59 (2026-03-19 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **33.59**. Key support is around **33.00**, and resistance is around **35.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **26.05 to 41.13**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **21.19 to 45.99**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **22.99**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 41.8%**, **below support 38.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 320.93% vs IV2 77.12%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

CRCA

Spot: 87.72
Report Time: 2026-03-19 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

CRCA Daily Candles EMA

CRCA Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20285.86296.08%18.106.25
2026-04-173087.31146.56%36.72

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%64.69110.7546.07
80%58.20117.2459.04
90%49.83125.6175.77
95%42.58132.8690.29

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
70.00110.7553.381.0012.1%20.2%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
1,2762880.235,8736370.1132.03 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
36.7339.6284.2051.000.00 NA

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
58.2623.00 48.8546.8110.0552.5995.12161.76%17.6% 0.45UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 70.00-110.75 range: fade extremes
  • > 110.75: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 70.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 70.00-70.00
  • Trim: 110.75-110.75
  • Add: close > 110.75
  • Cut: close < 70.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 CRCA @ 87.72 (2026-03-19 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **87.72**. Key support is around **70.00**, and resistance is around **110.75**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **64.69 to 110.75**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **49.83 to 125.61**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **53.38**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 12.1%**, **below support 20.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 296.08% vs IV2 146.56%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.45x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.

AAOI

Spot: 92.63
Report Time: 2026-03-19 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

AAOI Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20292.62137.51%8.95
2026-03-27992.68101.18%14.55

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%79.12106.1427.01
80%75.32109.9434.62
90%70.41114.8544.43
95%66.16119.1052.95

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
90.00100.0087.2364.0024.0%41.5%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
19,608 10,464 0.53 44,5680 34,583965 0.78NA 14.651213.28 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
80.4679.75 93.8091.73 104.8247 12.1788 12.1911.84 1.0009

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
87.42 66.98 93.12 37.66 86.67 135.67 113.08% 1.23 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 90.23.00-100.00106.25 range: fade extremes
  • > 100.00:106.25: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 90.23.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITIONTREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 90.23.00-90.23.00
  • Trim: 100.00-100.00106.25-106.25
  • Add: close > 100.00106.25
  • Cut: close < 90.23.00
  • Best for: transitiontrend regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AAOI @ 92.63 (2026-03-19 08:4303:42 AMPM MYT)

• Current price is **92.63**. Key support is around **90.23.00**, and resistance is around **100.00*106.25**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **79.1201 to 106.14*25**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **70.4123 to 114.85*115.03**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONGSHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION*TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **87.23**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 24.0%17.6%**, **below support 41.5%0.0%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 137.51%130.04% vs IV2 101.18%103.25%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution is **fairly balanced** between upside and downside tails.
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