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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-1920 15:42:5908:43:20 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260319-154258.20260320-084320.md


Screening Source: screen-report-20260319-154249.20260320-084300.md Extracted Symbols: AAOICRCA, TERN, MAZE

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AAOICRCA 92.6381.99 23.70.00 106.25101.86 NA54.66TRANSITION12.1%24.9%62.12 - 101.8649.30 - 114.68
TERN49.0647.0050.0042.68TRANSITION44.3%32.3%41.45 - 56.6736.55 - 61.57
MAZE49.4345.0050.0036.77 TREND 17.6%63.8% 0.0%39.2% 79.0137.67 - 106.2561.19 70.2330.08 - 115.0368.78

AAOICRCA

Spot: 92.6381.99
Report Time: 2026-03-1920 03:4208:43 PMAM MYT
Regime: TRENDTRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: SHORTLONG

AAOI Daily Candles EMACRCA Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUTCRCA Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-20 21 92.9880.14 130.04%357.84% 7.7513.76
2026-03-2704-17 929 93.1880.93 103.25%142.89% 14.6032.90

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 79.0162.12 106.25101.86 27.2439.74
80% 75.1856.52 110.08107.46 34.9150.93
90% 70.2349.30 115.03114.68 44.8065.37
95% 65.43.04120.94 119.3253.3977.89

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
23.70.00 106.25101.86 NA54.66 23.1.00 17.6%12.1% 0.0%24.9%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
19,6081,259 10,464286 0.5323 05,874 965637 NA0.11 1213.2863.09 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
79.7586.00 91.7390.00 104.4794.000.00 12.8801 11.841.090.00

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
87.4260.52 66.9850.15 93.1249.20 37.6613.68 86.6755.59 135.6797.49 113.08%150.78% 1.230.77 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 23.70.00-106.25101.86 range: fade extremes
  • > 106.25:101.86: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 23.70.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRENDTRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 23.70.00-23.70.00
  • Trim: 106.25-106.25101.86-101.86
  • Add: close > 106.25101.86
  • Cut: close < 23.70.00
  • Best for: trendtransition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOICRCA @ 92.6381.99 (2026-03-1920 03:4208:43 PMAM MYT)

• Current price is **92.63*81.99**. Key support is around **23.70.00**, and resistance is around **106.25*101.86**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **79.0162.12 to 106.25*101.86**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **70.2349.30 to 115.03*114.68**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORTLONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND*TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **54.66**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 17.6%12.1%**, **below support 0.0%24.9%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 130.04%357.84% vs IV2 103.25%142.89%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.77x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **more upside tail potential** than downside tail risk.

TERN

Spot: 49.06
Report Time: 2026-03-20 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

TERN Daily Candles EMA

TERN Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20147.50243.40%5.60
2026-04-172949.0687.83%12.10

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%41.4556.6715.21
80%39.3158.8119.49
90%36.5561.5725.02
95%34.1563.9729.81

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
47.0050.0042.6840.0044.3%32.3%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
3903720.954,1553,1970.77-195.31 vol ptsCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
47.3548.7559.891.7110.830.16

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
44.0740.2043.8438.2343.6749.1124.92%1.48UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 47.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 50.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 47.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 47.00-47.00
  • Trim: 50.00-50.00
  • Add: close > 50.00
  • Cut: close < 47.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 TERN @ 49.06 (2026-03-20 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **49.06**. Key support is around **47.00**, and resistance is around **50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **41.45 to 56.67**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **36.55 to 61.57**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **42.68**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 44.3%**, **below support 32.3%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 243.40% vs IV2 87.83%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution isshows **fairly balanced** betweenmore upside andtail potential** than downside tails.tail risk.

MAZE

Spot: 49.43
Report Time: 2026-03-20 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

MAZE Daily Candles EMA

MAZE Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-20150.33240.51%5.58
2026-04-172949.49160.65%22.30

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%37.6761.1923.53
80%34.3564.5130.15
90%30.0868.7838.70
95%26.3772.4946.11

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
45.0050.0036.7750.0063.8%39.2%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
531160.038444500.53-233.40 vol ptsCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
32.5845.9858.8916.859.461.78

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
48.0545.4248.2842.1047.4152.7222.40%1.19UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.00-50.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 50.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.00-45.00
  • Trim: 50.00-50.00
  • Add: close > 50.00
  • Cut: close < 45.00
  • Best for: trend regime
  • Bias: upside breakout more favored
Raw Text Summary
📌 MAZE @ 49.43 (2026-03-20 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **49.43**. Key support is around **45.00**, and resistance is around **50.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **37.67 to 61.19**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **30.08 to 68.78**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **36.77**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 63.8%**, **below support 39.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 240.51% vs IV2 160.65%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.