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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-23 08:43:08 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260323-084308.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260323-084247.md Extracted Symbols: UVXY, USO, LQDA

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
UVXY 54.10 52.00 55.00 29.78 TRANSITION 45.8% 34.7% 43.41 - 64.79 36.51 - 71.69
USO 121.43 120.00 123.00 114.39 TRANSITION 37.5% 45.2% 107.18 - 135.68 97.99 - 144.87
LQDA 36.41 33.00 42.00 28.71 TREND 19.9% 28.2% 30.76 - 42.06 27.12 - 45.70

UVXY

Spot: 54.10
Report Time: 2026-03-23 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UVXY Daily Candles EMA

UVXY Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-27 5 53.63 148.29% 9.20
2026-04-02 11 53.68 134.88% 12.55

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 43.41 64.79 21.38
80% 40.40 67.80 27.40
90% 36.51 71.69 35.17
95% 33.14 75.06 41.91

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
52.00 55.00 29.78 42.00 45.8% 34.7%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
15,091 5,542 0.37 22,037 8,221 0.37 -38.67 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
28.98 48.34 68.45 25.12 14.35 1.75

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
46.31 43.38 45.55 34.30 45.36 56.43 48.79% 0.90 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 52.00-55.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 55.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 52.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 52.00-52.00
  • Trim: 55.00-55.00
  • Add: close > 55.00
  • Cut: close < 52.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 UVXY @ 54.10 (2026-03-23 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **54.10**. Key support is around **52.00**, and resistance is around **55.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **43.41 to 64.79**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **36.51 to 71.69**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **29.78**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 45.8%**, **below support 34.7%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 148.29% vs IV2 134.88%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

USO

Spot: 121.43
Report Time: 2026-03-23 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

USO Daily Candles EMA

USO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-25 3 121.53 100.11% 10.65
2026-03-27 5 121.55 89.05% 12.40

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 107.18 135.68 28.50
80% 103.17 139.69 36.52
90% 97.99 144.87 46.88
95% 93.50 149.36 55.86

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
120.00 123.00 114.39 115.00 37.5% 45.2%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
19,846 29,735 1.50 16,139 18,057 1.12 2.20 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
58.15 118.25 135.25 63.28 13.82 4.58

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
105.02 91.21 107.92 69.19 101.40 133.60 63.52% 0.86 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 120.00-123.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 123.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 120.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 120.00-120.00
  • Trim: 123.00-123.00
  • Add: close > 123.00
  • Cut: close < 120.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 USO @ 121.43 (2026-03-23 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **121.43**. Key support is around **120.00**, and resistance is around **123.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **107.18 to 135.68**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **97.99 to 144.87**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **114.39**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 37.5%**, **below support 45.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 100.11% vs IV2 89.05%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

LQDA

Spot: 36.41
Report Time: 2026-03-23 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

LQDA Daily Candles EMA

LQDA Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-27 5 36.53 120.95% 5.05
2026-04-02 11 36.42 102.60% 6.43

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 30.76 42.06 11.30
80% 29.17 43.65 14.48
90% 27.12 45.70 18.59
95% 25.34 47.48 22.15

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
33.00 42.00 28.71 34.50 19.9% 28.2%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
855 618 0.72 4,650 1,595 0.34 -37.30 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
27.35 36.56 40.45 9.06 4.04 2.24

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
36.23 36.02 34.08 29.28 34.81 40.34 31.77% 0.76 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 33.00-42.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 42.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 33.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 33.00-33.00
  • Trim: 42.00-42.00
  • Add: close > 42.00
  • Cut: close < 33.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 LQDA @ 36.41 (2026-03-23 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **36.41**. Key support is around **33.00**, and resistance is around **42.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **30.76 to 42.06**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **27.12 to 45.70**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **28.71**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 19.9%**, **below support 28.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 120.95% vs IV2 102.60%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.76x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
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