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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-2023 15:08:43:0708 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260320-154307.20260323-084308.md


Screening Source: screen-report-20260320-154259.20260323-084247.md Extracted Symbols: AAOIUVXY, USO, LQDA

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AAOIUVXY 101.9254.10 23.52.00 117.2655.00 NA29.78TRANSITION45.8%34.7%43.41 - 64.7936.51 - 71.69
USO121.43120.00123.00114.39TRANSITION37.5%45.2%107.18 - 135.6897.99 - 144.87
LQDA36.4133.0042.0028.71 TREND 17.6%19.9% 0.0%28.2% 86.5830.76 - 117.2642.06 76.6827.12 - 127.1645.70

AAOIUVXY

Spot: 101.9254.10
Report Time: 2026-03-2023 03:4308:42 PMAM MYT
Regime: TRENDTRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: SHORTLONG

AAOI Daily Candles EMAUVXY Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUTUVXY Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-2027 15 101.3153.63 167.76%148.29% 6.409.20
2026-03-2704-02 811 101.0053.68 106.66%134.88% 15.5912.55

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 86.5843.41 117.2664.79 30.6921.38
80% 82.2640.40 121.5867.80 39.3327.40
90% 76.6836.51 127.1671.69 50.4735.17
95% 71.8533.14 131.9975.06 60.1441.91

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
23.52.00 117.26NA23.55.00 17.6%29.78 0.0%42.0045.8%34.7%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
16,46315,091 7,8635,542 0.4837 022,037 9658,221 NA0.37 1809.37-38.67 vol pts PUT_SKEWCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
7.0228.98 97.1148.34 108.7568.45 94.9025.12 6.8314.35 13.911.75

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
88.8068.3593.9146.31 43.7338 89.4145.55 135.1034.30 102.18%45.3656.4348.79% 0.8690 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 23.52.00-117.2655.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 117.26:55.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 23.52.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRENDTRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 23.52.00-23.52.00
  • Trim: 117.26-117.2655.00-55.00
  • Add: close > 117.2655.00
  • Cut: close < 23.52.00
  • Best for: trendtransition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOIUVXY @ 101.9254.10 (2026-03-2023 03:4308:42 PMAM MYT)

• Current price is **101.92*54.10**. Key support is around **23.52.00**, and resistance is around **117.26*55.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **86.5843.41 to 117.26*64.79**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **76.6836.51 to 127.16*71.69**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORTLONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND*TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **29.78**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 17.6%45.8%**, **below support 0.0%34.7%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts*calls**, which suggests tradersupside arespeculation payingis morerelatively for downside protection.stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 167.76%148.29% vs IV2 106.66%134.88%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

USO

Spot: 121.43
Report Time: 2026-03-23 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

USO Daily Candles EMA

USO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-253121.53100.11%10.65
2026-03-275121.5589.05%12.40

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%107.18135.6828.50
80%103.17139.6936.52
90%97.99144.8746.88
95%93.50149.3655.86

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
120.00123.00114.39115.0037.5%45.2%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
19,84629,7351.5016,13918,0571.122.20 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
58.15118.25135.2563.2813.824.58

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
105.0291.21107.9269.19101.40133.6063.52%0.86UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 120.00-123.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 123.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 120.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 120.00-120.00
  • Trim: 123.00-123.00
  • Add: close > 123.00
  • Cut: close < 120.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 USO @ 121.43 (2026-03-23 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **121.43**. Key support is around **120.00**, and resistance is around **123.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **107.18 to 135.68**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **97.99 to 144.87**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **114.39**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 37.5%**, **below support 45.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 100.11% vs IV2 89.05%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

LQDA

Spot: 36.41
Report Time: 2026-03-23 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

LQDA Daily Candles EMA

LQDA Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-27536.53120.95%5.05
2026-04-021136.42102.60%6.43

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%30.7642.0611.30
80%29.1743.6514.48
90%27.1245.7018.59
95%25.3447.4822.15

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
33.0042.0028.7134.5019.9%28.2%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
8556180.724,6501,5950.34-37.30 vol ptsCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
27.3536.5640.459.064.042.24

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
36.2336.0234.0829.2834.8140.3431.77%0.76UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 33.00-42.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 42.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 33.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 33.00-33.00
  • Trim: 42.00-42.00
  • Add: close > 42.00
  • Cut: close < 33.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 LQDA @ 36.41 (2026-03-23 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **36.41**. Key support is around **33.00**, and resistance is around **42.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **30.76 to 42.06**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **27.12 to 45.70**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **28.71**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 19.9%**, **below support 28.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 120.95% vs IV2 102.60%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.76x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.