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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-2425 08:43:1006 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260324-084309.20260325-084306.md


Screening Source: screen-report-20260324-084249.20260325-084250.md Extracted Symbols: AAOI, USO, UVXY

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AAOI 95.7695.0097.0080.63TREND48.1%59.2%81.38 - 110.1472.10 - 119.42
USO110.56113.90 110.00 115.00 120.3880.04 TRENDTRANSITION 42.1%39.0% 64.4%40.6% 96.1604 - 124.96131.76 86.8784.52 - 134.25143.28
UVXY 49.8845.0051.56 50.00 28.6452.0030.24 TRANSITION 44.3%43.7% 19.9%32.5% 42.1143.30 - 57.6559.82 37.1097 - 62.6665.15

AAOI

Spot: 95.76113.90
Report Time: 2026-03-2425 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRENDTRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: SHORTLONG

AAOI Daily Candles EMAAAOI Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUTAAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-27 43 95.72113.98 116.66%127.27% 11.4012.70
2026-04-02 109 95.72113.77 103.58%109.43% 16.2519.35

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 81.3896.04 110.14131.76 28.7735.73
80% 77.3391.01 114.19136.79 36.8745.79
90% 72.1084.52 119.42143.28 47.3258.77
95% 67.5778.89 123.95148.91 56.3970.03

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
95.110.00 97.115.00 80.6304 90.00 48.1%39.0% 59.2%40.6%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
18,57027,312 6,29215,515 0.3457 19,28922,612 14,12315,267 0.7368 5.962.25 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
76.9893.89 96.08111.76 109.127.8620.0113.96 18.7814.201.3243

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
89.3691.69 70.1571.8697.3961.05 96.0354.9893.3018 131.6231 82.14%0.77UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 95.00-97.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 97.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 95.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 95.00-95.00
  • Trim: 97.00-97.00
  • Add: close > 97.00
  • Cut: close < 95.00
  • Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOI @ 95.76 (2026-03-24 08:42 AM MYT)

• Current price is **95.76**. Key support is around **95.00**, and resistance is around **97.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **81.38 to 110.14**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **72.10 to 119.42**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **80.63**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 48.1%**, **below support 59.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 116.66% vs IV2 103.58%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.77x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

USO

Spot: 110.56
Report Time: 2026-03-24 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT

USO Daily Candles EMA

USO Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

ExpiryDTEForwardATM IVATM Straddle
2026-03-252110.60104.26%8.10
2026-03-274110.5596.17%10.85

Weekly Range

ConfidenceLowHighWidth
68%96.16124.9628.81
80%92.10129.0236.92
90%86.87134.2547.38
95%82.33138.7956.46

Structure & Probabilities

SupportResistanceGamma FlipMax PainP>ResP<Sup
110.00115.00120.38122.0042.1%64.4%

Flow & Skew

Call VolPut VolVol P/CCall OIPut OIOI P/CSkewSkew Bias
46,30647,35673.05% 1.0225,93635,1191.358.25 vol ptsPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10Q50Q90Down TailUp TailDown/Up
55.97104.85121.4854.5910.925.00

Daily Technicals

EMA20EMA50VWAP20BB LowerBB MidBB UpperBB WidthVol RatioPath
105.5591.97108.2571.95102.88133.8260.14%1.4920 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 110.00-115.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 115.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 110.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRENDTRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 110.00-110.00
  • Trim: 115.00-115.00
  • Add: close > 115.00
  • Cut: close < 110.00
  • Best for: trendtransition regime
  • Bias: downside break risk elevated
Raw Text Summary
📌 USOAAOI @ 110.56113.90 (2026-03-2425 08:4342 AM MYT)

• Current price is **110.56*113.90**. Key support is around **110.00**, and resistance is around **115.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **96.1604 to 124.96*131.76**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **86.8784.52 to 134.25*143.28**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORTLONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND*TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **120.38*80.04**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 42.1%39.0%**, **below support 64.4%40.6%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 104.26%127.27% vs IV2 96.17%109.43%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.

UVXY

Spot: 49.8851.56
Report Time: 2026-03-2425 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UVXY Daily Candles EMAUVXY Daily Candles EMA

UVXY Option Chain CALL vs PUTUVXY Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-27 43 49.9351.36 109.14%127.18% 5.5575
2026-04-02 109 49.7351.21 111.05%112.12% 9.078.98

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 42.1143.30 57.6559.82 15.5516.52
80% 39.9240.98 59.8462.14 19.9221.17
90% 37.1097 62.6665.15 25.5727.17
95% 34.6535.37 65.1167.75 30.4732.38

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
45.0050.00 28.6452.0030.24 45.00 44.3%43.7% 19.9%32.5%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
15,0457,813 7,8025,356 0.5269 29,38730,398 11,133980 0.3839 -49.3210.94 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
41.2639.47 48.49.1159.7312.098.17 58.418.628.531.0148

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
47.1243.9446.3835.65 43.6346.4557.25 46.0134.7745.8156.8548.20%50% 0.9161 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 45.50.00-50.52.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 50.52.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 45.50.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 45.50.00-45.50.00
  • Trim: 50.52.00-50.52.00
  • Add: close > 50.52.00
  • Cut: close < 45.50.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UVXY @ 49.8851.56 (2026-03-2425 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **49.88*51.56**. Key support is around **45.50.00**, and resistance is around **50.52.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **42.1143.30 to 57.65*59.82**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **37.1097 to 62.66*65.15**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **28.64*30.24**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 44.3%43.7%**, **below support 19.9%32.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is lowerhigher than the next expiry (**IV1 109.14%127.18% vs IV2 111.05%112.12%**), which suggests a**near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **contango / calmer front expiry*0.61x** setup.the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution isshows **fairlyheavier balanced*downside tail risk** betweenthan upside andtail downside tails.potential.