Analysis Report
Updated: 2026-03-2425 08:43:1006 MYT
Source File: combined-summary-20260324-084309.20260325-084306.md
Screening Source: screen-report-20260324-084249.20260325-084250.md
Extracted Symbols: AAOI, USO, UVXY
Topline Summary
| Symbol |
Spot |
Support |
Resistance |
Flip |
Regime |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
68% Range |
90% Range |
| AAOI |
95.76 |
95.00 |
97.00 |
80.63 |
TREND |
48.1% |
59.2% |
81.38 - 110.14 |
72.10 - 119.42 |
USO |
110.56113.90 |
110.00 |
115.00 |
120.3880.04 |
TRENDTRANSITION |
42.1%39.0% |
64.4%40.6% |
96.1604 - 124.96131.76 |
86.8784.52 - 134.25143.28 |
| UVXY |
49.88 |
45.0051.56 |
50.00 |
28.6452.00 |
30.24 |
TRANSITION |
44.3%43.7% |
19.9%32.5% |
42.1143.30 - 57.6559.82 |
37.1097 - 62.6665.15 |
AAOI
Spot: 95.76113.90
Report Time: 2026-03-2425 08:42 AM MYT
Regime: TRENDTRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: SHORTLONG




Term Structure
| Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
| 2026-03-27 |
43 |
95.72113.98 |
116.66%127.27% |
11.4012.70 |
| 2026-04-02 |
109 |
95.72113.77 |
103.58%109.43% |
16.2519.35 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
| 68% |
81.3896.04 |
110.14131.76 |
28.7735.73 |
| 80% |
77.3391.01 |
114.19136.79 |
36.8745.79 |
| 90% |
72.1084.52 |
119.42143.28 |
47.3258.77 |
| 95% |
67.5778.89 |
123.95148.91 |
56.3970.03 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
95.110.00 |
97.115.00 |
80.6304 |
90.00 |
48.1%39.0% |
59.2%40.6% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
18,57027,312 |
6,29215,515 |
0.3457 |
19,28922,612 |
14,12315,267 |
0.7368 |
5.962.25 vol pts |
PUT_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
76.9893.89 |
96.08111.76 |
109.127.86 |
20.01 |
13.96 |
18.78 |
14.20 |
1.3243 |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
89.3691.69 |
70.1571.86 |
97.39 |
61.05 |
96.03 |
54.98 |
93.3018 |
131.6231 |
82.14% |
0.77 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
95.00-97.00 range: fade extremes
> 97.00: chase only if hold + vol
< 95.00: risk expand; reduce size
Regime: TREND
Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
Accumulate: 95.00-95.00
Trim: 97.00-97.00
Add: close > 97.00
Cut: close < 95.00
Best for: trend regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOI @ 95.76 (2026-03-24 08:42 AM MYT)
• Current price is **95.76**. Key support is around **95.00**, and resistance is around **97.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **81.38 to 110.14**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **72.10 to 119.42**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **80.63**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 48.1%**, **below support 59.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 116.66% vs IV2 103.58%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.77x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
USO
Spot: 110.56
Report Time: 2026-03-24 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TREND
Dealer Gamma: SHORT


Term Structure
Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
|---|
2026-03-25 |
2 |
110.60 |
104.26% |
8.10 |
2026-03-27 |
4 |
110.55 |
96.17% |
10.85 |
Weekly Range
Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
|---|
68% |
96.16 |
124.96 |
28.81 |
80% |
92.10 |
129.02 |
36.92 |
90% |
86.87 |
134.25 |
47.38 |
95% |
82.33 |
138.79 |
56.46 |
Structure & Probabilities
Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
|---|
110.00 |
115.00 |
120.38 |
122.00 |
42.1% |
64.4% |
Flow & Skew
Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
|---|
46,306 |
47,35673.05% |
1.02 |
25,936 |
35,119 |
1.35 |
8.25 vol pts |
PUT_SKEW |
Tail Risk
Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
|---|
55.97 |
104.85 |
121.48 |
54.59 |
10.92 |
5.00 |
Daily Technicals
EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
|---|
105.55 |
91.97 |
108.25 |
71.95 |
102.88 |
133.82 |
60.14% |
1.4920 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
- 110.00-115.00 range: fade extremes
- > 115.00: chase only if hold + vol
- < 110.00: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime:
TRENDTRANSITION
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate: 110.00-110.00
- Trim: 115.00-115.00
- Add: close > 115.00
- Cut: close < 110.00
- Best for:
trendtransition regime
Bias: downside break risk elevated
Raw Text Summary
📌 USOAAOI @ 110.56113.90 (2026-03-2425 08:4342 AM MYT)
• Current price is **110.56*113.90**. Key support is around **110.00**, and resistance is around **115.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **96.1604 to 124.96*131.76**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **86.8784.52 to 134.25*143.28**.
• Dealer positioning looks **SHORTLONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TREND*TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **120.38*80.04**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 42.1%39.0%**, **below support 64.4%40.6%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 104.26%127.27% vs IV2 96.17%109.43%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
UVXY
Spot: 49.8851.56
Report Time: 2026-03-2425 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG




Term Structure
| Expiry |
DTE |
Forward |
ATM IV |
ATM Straddle |
| 2026-03-27 |
43 |
49.9351.36 |
109.14%127.18% |
5.5575 |
| 2026-04-02 |
109 |
49.7351.21 |
111.05%112.12% |
9.078.98 |
Weekly Range
| Confidence |
Low |
High |
Width |
| 68% |
42.1143.30 |
57.6559.82 |
15.5516.52 |
| 80% |
39.9240.98 |
59.8462.14 |
19.9221.17 |
| 90% |
37.1097 |
62.6665.15 |
25.5727.17 |
| 95% |
34.6535.37 |
65.1167.75 |
30.4732.38 |
Structure & Probabilities
| Support |
Resistance |
Gamma Flip |
Max Pain |
P>Res |
P<Sup |
45.00 |
50.00 |
28.6452.00 |
30.24 |
45.00 |
44.3%43.7% |
19.9%32.5% |
Flow & Skew
| Call Vol |
Put Vol |
Vol P/C |
Call OI |
Put OI |
OI P/C |
Skew |
Skew Bias |
15,0457,813 |
7,8025,356 |
0.5269 |
29,38730,398 |
11,133980 |
0.3839 |
-49.3210.94 vol pts |
CALL_SKEW |
Tail Risk
| Q10 |
Q50 |
Q90 |
Down Tail |
Up Tail |
Down/Up |
41.2639.47 |
48.49.11 |
59.73 |
12.09 |
8.17 |
58.41 |
8.62 |
8.53 |
1.0148 |
Daily Technicals
| EMA20 |
EMA50 |
VWAP20 |
BB Lower |
BB Mid |
BB Upper |
BB Width |
Vol Ratio |
Path |
| 47.12 |
43.94 |
46.38 |
35.65 |
43.6346.45 |
57.25 |
46.01 |
34.77 |
45.81 |
56.85 |
48.20%50% |
0.9161 |
UP trend (expanding) |
Day Plan
45.50.00-50.52.00 range: fade extremes
- >
50.52.00: chase only if hold + vol
- <
45.50.00: risk expand; reduce size
- Regime: TRANSITION
- Tech: UP trend (expanding)
Swing Plan
- Accumulate:
45.50.00-45.50.00
- Trim:
50.52.00-50.52.00
- Add: close >
50.52.00
- Cut: close <
45.50.00
- Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UVXY @ 49.8851.56 (2026-03-2425 08:43 AM MYT)
• Current price is **49.88*51.56**. Key support is around **45.50.00**, and resistance is around **50.52.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **42.1143.30 to 57.65*59.82**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **37.1097 to 62.66*65.15**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **28.64*30.24**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 44.3%43.7%**, **below support 19.9%32.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is lowerhigher than the next expiry (**IV1 109.14%127.18% vs IV2 111.05%112.12%**), which suggests a**near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **contango / calmer front expiry*0.61x** setup.the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution isshows **fairlyheavier balanced*downside tail risk** betweenthan upside andtail downside tails.potential.