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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-29 08:43:12 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260329-084312.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260329-084257.md Extracted Symbols: UVXY, AAOI

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
UVXY 61.65 60.00 65.00 38.43 TRANSITION 38.9% 36.8% 48.87 - 74.43 40.63 - 82.67
AAOI 98.21 95.00 100.00 102.03 TRANSITION 34.7% 38.2% 82.67 - 113.75 72.65 - 123.77

UVXY

Spot: 61.65
Report Time: 2026-03-29 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UVXY Daily Candles EMA

UVXY Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-04-02 5 61.33 153.82% 10.88
2026-04-10 13 60.94 141.22% 16.30

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 48.87 74.43 25.56
80% 45.27 78.03 32.75
90% 40.63 82.67 42.04
95% 36.60 86.70 50.09

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
60.00 65.00 38.43 46.00 38.9% 36.8%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
14,471 8,336 0.58 30,901 9,582 0.31 -38.87 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
47.01 58.44 78.61 14.64 16.96 0.86

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
49.40 45.27 48.36 38.73 49.09 59.44 42.20% 0.86 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 60.00-65.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 65.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 60.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 60.00-60.00
  • Trim: 65.00-65.00
  • Add: close > 65.00
  • Cut: close < 60.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 UVXY @ 61.65 (2026-03-29 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **61.65**. Key support is around **60.00**, and resistance is around **65.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **48.87 to 74.43**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **40.63 to 82.67**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **38.43**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 38.9%**, **below support 36.8%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 153.82% vs IV2 141.22%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **more upside tail potential** than downside tail risk.

AAOI

Spot: 98.21
Report Time: 2026-03-29 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

AAOI Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-04-02 5 98.04 118.09% 13.30
2026-04-10 13 97.72 107.14% 19.70

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 82.67 113.75 31.07
80% 78.30 118.12 39.82
90% 72.65 123.77 51.11
95% 67.76 128.66 60.90

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
95.00 100.00 102.03 100.00 34.7% 38.2%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
5,646 4,506 0.80 7,074 10,011 1.42 8.20 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
40.95 91.94 116.91 57.26 18.70 3.06

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
94.58 75.40 101.45 80.59 101.88 123.17 41.79% 0.56 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 95.00-100.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 100.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 95.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 95.00-95.00
  • Trim: 100.00-100.00
  • Add: close > 100.00
  • Cut: close < 95.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AAOI @ 98.21 (2026-03-29 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **98.21**. Key support is around **95.00**, and resistance is around **100.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **82.67 to 113.75**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **72.65 to 123.77**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **102.03**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 34.7%**, **below support 38.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 118.09% vs IV2 107.14%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.56x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
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