Skip to main content

Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-2529 08:43:0612 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260325-084306.20260329-084312.md


Screening Source: screen-report-20260325-084250.20260329-084257.md Extracted Symbols: AAOI,UVXY, UVXYAAOI

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
AAOIUVXY 113.9061.65 110.60.00 115.65.00 80.0438.43 TRANSITION 39.0%38.9%36.8%48.87 - 74.43 40.6%96.0463 - 131.7684.52 - 143.2882.67
UVXYAAOI 51.5698.21 50.95.00 52.100.00 30.24102.03 TRANSITION 43.34.7% 32.5%38.2% 43.3082.67 - 59.82113.75 37.9772.65 - 65.15123.77

AAOIUVXY

Spot: 113.9061.65
Report Time: 2026-03-2529 08:4243 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

AAOI Daily Candles EMAUVXY Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUTUVXY Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-2704-02 35 113.9861.33 127.27%153.82% 12.7010.88
2026-04-0210 913 113.7760.94 109.43%141.22% 19.3516.30

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 96.0448.87 131.7674.43 35.7325.56
80% 91.0145.27 136.7978.03 45.7932.75
90% 84.5240.63 143.2882.67 58.7742.04
95% 78.8936.60 148.9186.70 70.0350.09

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
110.60.00 115.65.00 80.0438.43 90.46.00 39.0%38.9% 40.6%36.8%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
27,31214,471 15,5158,336 0.5758 22,61230,901 15,2679,582 0.6831 2.25-38.87 vol pts PUT_SKEWCALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
93.89111.76127.8620.47.01 13.58.4478.6114.6416.96 1.430.86

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
91.6949.40 71.8645.27 97.3948.36 61.0538.73 96.1849.09 131.3159.44 73.05%42.20% 1.200.86 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 110.60.00-115.65.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 115.65.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 110.60.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 110.60.00-110.60.00
  • Trim: 115.65.00-115.65.00
  • Add: close > 115.65.00
  • Cut: close < 110.60.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 AAOIUVXY @ 113.9061.65 (2026-03-2529 08:4243 AM MYT)

• Current price is **113.90*61.65**. Key support is around **110.60.00**, and resistance is around **115.65.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **96.0448.87 to 131.76*74.43**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **84.5240.63 to 143.28*82.67**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **80.04*38.43**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 39.0%38.9%**, **below support 40.6%36.8%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts*calls**, which suggests tradersupside arespeculation payingis morerelatively for downside protection.stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 127.27%153.82% vs IV2 109.43%141.22%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heaviermore upside tail potential** than downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.risk.

UVXYAAOI

Spot: 51.5698.21
Report Time: 2026-03-2529 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITION
Dealer Gamma: LONG

UVXY Daily Candles EMAAAOI Daily Candles EMA

UVXY Option Chain CALL vs PUTAAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-03-2704-02 35 51.3698.04 127.18%118.09% 5.7513.30
2026-04-0210 913 51.2197.72 112.12%107.14% 8.9819.70

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 43.3082.67 59.82113.75 16.5231.07
80% 40.9878.30 62.14118.12 21.1739.82
90% 37.9772.65 65.15123.77 27.1751.11
95% 35.3767.76 67.75128.66 32.3860.90

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
50.95.00 52.100.00 30.24102.03 45.100.00 43.34.7% 32.5%38.2%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
7,8135,646 5,3564,506 0.6980 30,3987,074 11,98010,011 0.391.42 -10.948.20 vol pts CALL_SKEWPUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
39.4740.95 49.1191.94 59.73116.91 12.0957.26 8.1718.70 1.483.06

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
47.1294.58 43.9475.40 46.3835.6546.101.45 57.2580.59 46.50%101.88123.1741.79% 0.6156 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 50.95.00-52.100.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 52.100.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 50.95.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITION
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 50.95.00-50.95.00
  • Trim: 52.100.00-52.100.00
  • Add: close > 52.100.00
  • Cut: close < 50.95.00
  • Best for: transition regime
Raw Text Summary
📌 UVXYAAOI @ 51.5698.21 (2026-03-2529 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **51.56*98.21**. Key support is around **50.95.00**, and resistance is around **52.100.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **43.3082.67 to 59.82*113.75**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **37.9772.65 to 65.15*123.77**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONG gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **30.24*102.03**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 43.34.7%**, **below support 32.5%38.2%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls*puts**, which suggests upsidetraders speculationare ispaying relativelymore stronger.for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 127.18%118.09% vs IV2 112.12%107.14%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.61x*56x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.