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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-03-2904-01 08:43:1235 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260329-084312.20260401-084335.md

Screening Source: screen-report-20260329-084257.20260401-084320.md Extracted Symbols: UVXY,LQDA, AAOIAXTI

Topline Summary

Symbol Spot Support Resistance Flip Regime P>Res P<Sup 68% Range 90% Range
UVXYLQDA 61.6537.74 60.35.00 65.40.00 38.4331.23 TRANSITIONTREND 38.9%44.2% 36.8%33.4% 48.8732.50 - 74.4342.98 40.6329.13 - 82.6746.35
AAOIAXTI 98.2156.98 95.56.00 100.58.00 102.0344.39 TRANSITIONTREND 34.7%51.3% 38.2%61.5% 82.6746.42 - 113.7567.54 72.6539.61 - 123.7774.35

UVXYLQDA

Spot: 61.6537.74
Report Time: 2026-03-2904-01 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITIONTREND
Dealer Gamma: LONGSHORT

UVXY Daily Candles EMALQDA Daily Candles EMA

UVXY Option Chain CALL vs PUTLQDA Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-04-02 52 61.3337.45 153.82%192.33% 10.885.10
2026-04-10 1310 60.9437.33 141.22%85.72% 16.5.30

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 48.8732.50 74.4342.98 25.5610.47
80% 45.2778.31.03 32.7544.4513.42
90% 40.6329.13 82.6746.35 42.0417.23
95% 36.6027.48 86.7048.00 50.0920.53

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
60.35.00 65.40.00 38.4331.23 46.0034.50 38.9%44.2% 36.8%33.4%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
14,4714,063 8,3362,281 0.5856 30,90114,264 9,5826,520 0.3146 -38.8719.92 vol pts CALL_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
47.0125.43 58.4435.85 78.6144.10 14.6412.31 16.966.36 0.861.93

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
49.4036.15 45.2736.03 48.3636.1633.8936.37 38.7386 49.0913.66% 59.4442.20%0.861.18 UP trend (expanding)bias

Day Plan

  • 60.35.00-65.40.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 65.40.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 60.35.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITIONTREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)bias

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 60.35.00-60.35.00
  • Trim: 65.40.00-65.40.00
  • Add: close > 65.40.00
  • Cut: close < 60.35.00
  • Best for: transitiontrend regime
Raw Text Summary 
📌 UVXYLQDA @ 61.6537.74 (2026-03-2904-01 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **61.65*37.74**. Key support is around **60.35.00**, and resistance is around **65.40.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **48.8732.50 to 74.43*42.98**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **40.6329.13 to 82.67*46.35**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONGSHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION*TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **38.43*31.23**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 38.9%44.2%**, **below support 36.8%33.4%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **calls**, which suggests upside speculation is relatively stronger.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 153.82%192.33% vs IV2 141.22%85.72%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)*bias**.
• The implied distribution shows **moreheavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential** than downside tail risk.potential.

AAOIAXTI

Spot: 98.2156.98
Report Time: 2026-03-2904-01 08:43 AM MYT
Regime: TRANSITIONTREND
Dealer Gamma: LONGSHORT

AAOI Daily Candles EMAAXTI Daily Candles EMA

AAOI Option Chain CALL vs PUTAXTI Option Chain CALL vs PUT

Term Structure

Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV ATM Straddle
2026-04-02 52 98.0456.57 118.09%167.36% 13.306.70
2026-04-10 1310 97.7256.38 107.14%128.01% 19.7011.95

Weekly Range

Confidence Low High Width
68% 82.6746.42 113.7567.54 31.0721.12
80% 78.3043.45 118.1270.51 39.8227.07
90% 72.6539.61 123.7774.35 51.1134.74
95% 67.7636.28 128.6677.68 60.9041.40

Structure & Probabilities

Support Resistance Gamma Flip Max Pain P>Res P<Sup
95.56.00 100.58.00 102.0344.39 100.55.00 34.7%51.3% 38.2%61.5%

Flow & Skew

Call Vol Put Vol Vol P/C Call OI Put OI OI P/C Skew Skew Bias
5,6461,127 4,5061,9141.703,9511,478 0.8037 7,07410,0111.428.29.20 vol pts PUT_SKEW

Tail Risk

Q10 Q50 Q90 Down Tail Up Tail Down/Up
40.9541.80 91.9458.04 116.9161.90 57.2615.18 18.704.92 3.0608

Daily Technicals

EMA20 EMA50 VWAP20 BB Lower BB Mid BB Upper BB Width Vol Ratio Path
94.5851.79 75.4039.90 101.4551.74 80.5930.80 101.8850.95 123.1771.10 41.79%79.11% 0.561.35 UP trend (expanding)

Day Plan

  • 95.56.00-100.58.00 range: fade extremes
  • > 100.58.00: chase only if hold + vol
  • < 95.56.00: risk expand; reduce size
  • Regime: TRANSITIONTREND
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Plan

  • Accumulate: 95.56.00-95.56.00
  • Trim: 100.58.00-100.58.00
  • Add: close > 100.58.00
  • Cut: close < 95.56.00
  • Best for: transitiontrend regime
  • Bias: downside break risk elevated
Raw Text Summary 
📌 AAOIAXTI @ 98.2156.98 (2026-03-2904-01 08:43 AM MYT)

• Current price is **98.21*56.98**. Key support is around **95.56.00**, and resistance is around **100.58.00**.
• For the next week, the model’s **68% expected range** is roughly **82.6746.42 to 113.75*67.54**.
• A wider **90% range** is about **72.6539.61 to 123.77*74.35**.
• Dealer positioning looks **LONGSHORT gamma**, so the market behavior is classified as **TRANSITION*TREND**.
• The estimated **gamma flip** is near **102.03*44.39**. Crossing and holding beyond this area can change the trading behavior.
• Approximate breakout odds: **above resistance 34.7%51.3%**, **below support 38.2%61.5%** by the target horizon.
• Options skew is tilted toward **puts**, which suggests traders are paying more for downside protection.
• Near-term implied volatility is higher than the next expiry (**IV1 118.09%167.36% vs IV2 107.14%128.01%**), which suggests **near-term event stress / backwardation**.
• Recent volume is only **0.56x** the 20-day average, so breakouts may be less reliable unless volume improves.
• On the daily chart, the stock currently looks like **UP trend (expanding)**.
• The implied distribution shows **heavier downside tail risk** than upside tail potential.
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