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Analysis Report

Updated: 2026-04-05 08:07:37 MYT

Source File: combined-summary-20260405-080036.md


Report Overview

  • Generated: 2026-04-05 08:00 AM MYT
  • Symbols Covered: 6
  • Format: Combined markdown briefing

At a Glance

Symbol Spot Regime Path Weekly 68% Support / Resistance Breakout ↑ / ↓
AAOI 103.91 LONG_GAMMA_PIN UP trend (expanding) 86.55 – 121.27 80.00 / 100.00 49.9% / 11.1%
ASTS 92.62 LONG_GAMMA_PIN Sideways / Range 81.04 – 104.20 85.00 / 95.00 30.2% / 24.4%
RKLB 67.73 LONG_GAMMA_PIN DOWN trend (expanding) 60.17 – 75.29 60.00 / 70.00 29.3% / 13.8%
SATS 128.68 LONG_GAMMA_PIN UP trend (expanding) 117.40 – 139.96 94.00 / 123.00 63.7% / 0.1%
VSAT 53.69 LONG_GAMMA_PIN UP trend (expanding) 48.17 – 59.21 45.00 / 40.00 100.0% / 6.2%
INTC 50.38 LONG_GAMMA_PIN UP bias 46.50 – 54.26 48.00 / 50.00 32.2% / 16.1%

Analyst Notes

Read the At a Glance table first, then jump into each symbol section for the full setup, risk map, and trade plan.


1. AAOI

Quick Take: 这周大概率在 86.5–121.3 区间来回走。

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 103.91
Report Time 2026-04-05 08:00 AM MYT
Execution Regime LONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer Gamma LONG
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 86.55 – 121.27 1σ move 17.36
Weekly 90% 75.35 – 132.47 wider risk band
Support 80.00 downside defense
Resistance 100.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 101.91 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 49.9% close above upper band
Breakout Down 11.1% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.95 directional flow
Put/Call OI 1.56 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 17,628 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 13,668 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-04-10 6 103.70 121.80%
E2 2026-04-17 13 103.87 112.66%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
55.36 97.36 127.77 2.03 23.05 volpts

Executive Summary

  • 这周大概率在 86.5–121.3 区间来回走。
  • 极端情况下可能到 75.4 或 132.5 附近。
  • 80 是关键支撑(收盘跌破,下行风险会变大)。
  • 100 是关键压力(收盘站上去才算转强)。
  • 目前在分界线(约 101.91)上方;跌破它会更危险。
  • 市场更倾向突破压力,而不是跌破支撑。

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 100-105 range: fade extremes
  • 100: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 80: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: elevated (breakout odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 80-100
  • Trim: 100.0-100
  • Add: close > 100
  • Cut: close < 80

2. ASTS

Quick Take: 这周大概率在 81.0–104.2 区间来回走。

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 92.62
Report Time 2026-04-05 08:00 AM MYT
Execution Regime LONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer Gamma LONG
Trend Path Sideways / Range

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 81.04 – 104.20 1σ move 11.58
Weekly 90% 73.57 – 111.67 wider risk band
Support 85.00 downside defense
Resistance 95.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 85.90 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 30.2% close above upper band
Breakout Down 24.4% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.55 directional flow
Put/Call OI 0.58 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 32,561 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 39,653 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-04-10 6 92.61 90.32%
E2 2026-04-17 13 92.72 85.94%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
78.27 92.12 110.86 0.79 5.18 volpts

Executive Summary

  • 这周大概率在 81.0–104.2 区间来回走。
  • 极端情况下可能到 73.6 或 111.7 附近。
  • 85 是关键支撑(收盘跌破,下行风险会变大)。
  • 95 是关键压力(收盘站上去才算转强)。
  • 目前在分界线(约 85.90)上方;跌破它会更危险。
  • 市场更倾向突破压力,而不是跌破支撑。

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 90-95 range: fade extremes
  • 95: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 85: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: Sideways / Range

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 85-90
  • Trim: 94.5-95
  • Add: close > 95
  • Cut: close < 85

3. RKLB

Quick Take: 这周大概率在 60.2–75.3 区间来回走。

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 67.73
Report Time 2026-04-05 08:00 AM MYT
Execution Regime LONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer Gamma LONG
Trend Path DOWN trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 60.17 – 75.29 1σ move 7.56
Weekly 90% 55.29 – 80.17 wider risk band
Support 60.00 downside defense
Resistance 70.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 64.21 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 29.3% close above upper band
Breakout Down 13.8% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.52 directional flow
Put/Call OI 0.55 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 31,749 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 40,436 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-04-10 6 67.71 80.29%
E2 2026-04-17 13 67.61 77.36%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
52.78 63.60 78.83 1.35 2.93 volpts

Executive Summary

  • 这周大概率在 60.2–75.3 区间来回走。
  • 极端情况下可能到 55.3 或 80.2 附近。
  • 60 是关键支撑(收盘跌破,下行风险会变大)。
  • 70 是关键压力(收盘站上去才算转强)。
  • 目前在分界线(约 64.21)上方;跌破它会更危险。
  • 市场更倾向突破压力,而不是跌破支撑。

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 67-70 range: fade extremes
  • 70: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 60: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: DOWN trend (expanding)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 60-67
  • Trim: 69.5-70
  • Add: close > 70
  • Cut: close < 60

4. SATS

Quick Take: 这周大概率在 117.4–140.0 区间来回走。

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 128.68
Report Time 2026-04-05 08:00 AM MYT
Execution Regime LONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer Gamma LONG
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 117.40 – 139.96 1σ move 11.28
Weekly 90% 110.13 – 147.23 wider risk band
Support 94.00 downside defense
Resistance 123.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 127.11 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 63.7% close above upper band
Breakout Down 0.1% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.16 directional flow
Put/Call OI 1.08 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 6,156 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 4,079 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-04-10 6 129.06 64.24%
E2 2026-04-17 13 127.98 58.44%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
113.43 124.81 150.35 0.70 -0.46 volpts

Executive Summary

  • 这周大概率在 117.4–140.0 区间来回走。
  • 极端情况下可能到 110.1 或 147.2 附近。
  • 94 是关键支撑(收盘跌破,下行风险会变大)。
  • 123 是关键压力(收盘站上去才算转强)。
  • 目前在分界线(约 127.11)上方;跌破它会更危险。
  • 市场更倾向突破压力,而不是跌破支撑。

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 123-131 range: fade extremes
  • 123: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 94: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 94-123
  • Trim: 123.0-123
  • Add: close > 123
  • Cut: close < 94

5. VSAT

Quick Take: 这周大概率在 48.2–59.2 区间来回走。

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 53.69
Report Time 2026-04-05 08:00 AM MYT
Execution Regime LONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer Gamma LONG
Trend Path UP trend (expanding)

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 48.17 – 59.21 1σ move 5.52
Weekly 90% 44.61 – 62.77 wider risk band
Support 45.00 downside defense
Resistance 40.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 49.00 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 100.0% close above upper band
Breakout Down 6.2% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 0.15 directional flow
Put/Call OI 0.20 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 5,966 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 32,002 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-04-17 13 53.13 72.51%
E2 2026-05-15 41 53.37 72.11%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
40.39 51.39 61.68 1.66 0.34 volpts

Executive Summary

  • 这周大概率在 48.2–59.2 区间来回走。
  • 极端情况下可能到 44.6 或 62.8 附近。
  • 45 是关键支撑(收盘跌破,下行风险会变大)。
  • 40 是关键压力(收盘站上去才算转强)。
  • 目前在分界线(约 49.00)上方;跌破它会更危险。
  • 市场更倾向突破压力,而不是跌破支撑。

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 48-55 range: fade extremes
  • 40: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 45: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP trend (expanding)
  • Vol: elevated (breakout odds↑)

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 45-48
  • Trim: 40.0-40
  • Add: close > 40
  • Cut: close < 45

6. INTC

Quick Take: 这周大概率在 46.5–54.3 区间来回走。

Snapshot

Item Value
Spot 50.38
Report Time 2026-04-05 08:00 AM MYT
Execution Regime LONG_GAMMA_PIN
Dealer Gamma LONG
Trend Path UP bias

Trading Map

Zone Level / Range Note
Weekly 68% 46.50 – 54.26 1σ move 3.88
Weekly 90% 44.00 – 56.76 wider risk band
Support 48.00 downside defense
Resistance 50.00 upside supply
Gamma Flip 44.86 regime pivot
Max Pain NA pin magnet

Options & Probability Dashboard

Metric Value Interpretation
Breakout Up 32.2% close above upper band
Breakout Down 16.1% close below lower band
Put/Call Volume 1.01 directional flow
Put/Call OI 0.63 positioning bias
Total Option Volume 155,198 nearest expiry
Total Open Interest 134,385 nearest expiry

Term Structure

Leg Expiry DTE Forward ATM IV
E1 2026-04-10 6 50.40 55.51%
E2 2026-04-17 13 50.43 53.09%

Distribution & Tail Risk

Q10 Median Q90 Tail Asymmetry Skew (25ΔP-25ΔC)
40.45 50.07 55.95 1.78 -1.46 volpts

Executive Summary

  • 这周大概率在 46.5–54.3 区间来回走。
  • 极端情况下可能到 44.0 或 56.8 附近。
  • 48 是关键支撑(收盘跌破,下行风险会变大)。
  • 50 是关键压力(收盘站上去才算转强)。
  • 目前在分界线(约 44.86)上方;跌破它会更危险。
  • 市场更倾向突破压力,而不是跌破支撑。

Trade Plans

Day Trade Plan

  • 50-52 range: fade extremes
  • 50: chase only if hold + vol

  • < 48: risk expand; reduce size
  • Tech: UP bias

Swing Trade Plan

  • Accumulate: 48-50
  • Trim: 50.0-50
  • Add: close > 50
  • Cut: close < 48

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